Delaware Park picks and analysis: September 21, 2023

Live racing at Delaware Park kicks off May 24 and runs through late October.

Once again this year, we will have Delaware Park picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the venerable track. Today’s card features eight races, and first post is 12:30 EDT.

Today’s carryovers: None

Race #1 Picks: 6-1-5-2

In this $50,000 maiden claiming race for two-year-olds at five and a half furlongs, we don’t many past performances to analyze. Since we aren’t able see the tote board to see the betting trend, and there are no standout horses based on pedigree, we are going to look at workouts. #6 Bella Carmelina (6-1) has run more furlongs in workouts than any of the horses in this race. This includes a five-furlong workout. We have found this correlates to a good performance for first-time starters. This colt should have generous odds and we have this him on top.We don’t prefer unraced two-year-olds on the rail, but #1 Bold Baby (5-2) also has a nice workout pattern including a sharp five-furlong work on September 8. We think he will be in the mix. #5 Spirited Ride (9-5) is another colt with a solid workout line and is running for a high percentage trainer.

Race #2 Picks: 6-3-5-1

In this $32,000 maiden claiming race for fillies and mares at one mile, #6 Rowsie Express (8-5) was running well in Maryland before trying the grass in Delaware. She ran third in a Maryland-bred stakes race and the move back to the claiming ranks makes him the favorite to win today’s event. #3 Pasta Salad Rhonda (8-1) will be trying claimers for the first time. She struggled in an allowance race taken off the turf last time, but the class drop may put her in the picture today. #5 Dry Humor (8-1) flashed speed in a claiming race here in July and should improve in the third race after a layoff. One to consider.

Race #3 Picks: 5-1-2-4

In this $5000 claiming race at six furlongs, #5 Justinspeightofit (6-1) is coming from Monmouth after being claimed two back. He ran evenly there, but the fields tend to be a little tougher, and now with the move down to bottom-level claimers he should be in a good position to win. #1 Hidden Warrior (4-1) will be making his second start after being away for two months and Jaime Rodriguez will be back on top. We expect improvement and think he will be challenging for the top spot.  #2 Top of the Mint (8-5) won his first race back this year after a nine-month absence. He should be in the mix again today.


Race #4 Picks: 7-1-6-5

In this $6250 N2L claiming race for fillies and mares at 1 1/16 miles, #7 Ojitos Bellos (3-1) has been running better lately and may have an advantage in a race where none of the runners can boast any noticeable speed. Jockey Angel Arroyo is back on top after running a closing second two back. We have this filly on top. #1 My JoJo (8-5) is a closer who had a couple of decent races over the summer and could find herself in the mix. #6 Purrfect Dani (6-1) has speed figures that indicate she might be involved today. One to be considered.

Race #5 Picks: 7-5-12-3

In this $38,000 maiden race for two-year-old fillies at five furlongs on the turf, there are many first-time-starters and only one of the fourteen starters has run on the turf so we don’t have much information to work with. The tote board should be watched closely for clues.  #7 Active (9-2) was purchased for $200,000 and has a long string of workouts. Her sire Gun Runner’s two-year-old first-time starters have won at 19% in 118 attempts.  #5 Big Bolt (10-1) has run well in workouts and trainer Greg Compton has won with two of six first time starters this year. One to consider. #12 White Heat (15-1) has three turf races under her belt and that experience could help her today.

Joe’s Notes

  • After Saturday’s card was dominated by horses at a price, the longest-priced winner Wednesday was 6-1…
  • Racing oddity: Wednesday’s eight races went to eight different jockeys and eight different trainers…

Race #6 Picks: 2-7-3-6

In this optional claiming/starter allowance race at five and a half furlongs, #2 Nick’s Little Boy (3-1) tried $25,000 claimers and ran third while having a rough tripafter winning a maiden claiming race. He looks like the best of this group and if he gets a clean trip he should prevail today. #7 Disco Devil (4-1) has been improving and his speed figures have been ascending in his last three outings.  He fits well here and if he matches his last he will compete for the win. #3 Tuna N Stamps (6-1) broke through with a win after nine tries in last. He should find his way into the trifecta today.

Race #7 Picks: 3-1-12-11

In this optional claiming/starter allowance race at 7 ½ furlongs on the turf, #3 Uncle Andrew (10-1) has been running short turf sprints and had some decent races. Today he is stretching out and four out of five of his lifetime victories have come at today’s distance. We think he can win today. In a race lacking in early speed, #1 Borgobythesea (12-1) should be able to get to the front. He just missed here two races back. This race may set up well for his style and we think he will be in the mix. #12 Dream Liner (5-1) will be closing late and passing tiring horses. If the frontrunners aren’t up to the task he could pick up the pieces and win.

Race #8 Picks: 5-2-1-3

In this $12,500 claiming race for fillies and mares at six furlongs, #5 Liking it Twisted (8-5) has been running well and has three wins this year. She looks to be the best of this group and we have her on top. #2 Parisian Vibe (5-2) will be making her second start for Gregory Sacco. She has been facing tougher at Monmouth and fits well here. #1 True Atka (5-1) has run some decent races this year. Has a recent bullet workout. A possibility.