Spa selections 2020: Saratoga picks September 7

by | Sep 6, 2020 | Breaking, Handicapping

Ginger N Rye

Ginger N Rye won the 2017 Smart N Fancy Stakes at Saratoga. Photo by Chelsea Durand/NYRA.

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by Joseph Aiello

In Spa Selections, Saratoga on-site correspondent Joseph Aiello provides Saratoga picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!

Race 8 – Lure Stakes

1. #5 Breaking the Rules (3-2) – Is two for two this year, plus Rosario jumps off of Devamani to ride this five year old in good form

2. #4 Ballagh Rocks (8-1) – Should be a good price and while not as classy as Devamani, can win with a more forward trip here

3. #2 Largent (5-2) – Will likely be in control of the pace here, and can win if he gets away without pressure with Luis Saez

Race 11 – Alw 50000s

1. #6 Mr. Kringle (4-1) – Ran third to Decorated Invader two back in a Grade II, so clearly has the most class here and will win with a good effort

2. #1 Mystery Bank (7-2) – Draws Jose Ortiz and should be forwardly placed here, plus has been finishing in the money routinely

3. #10 Scanno (5-1) – Tough post, but was impressive last time out, albeit in a maiden claimer, and can run well here with a repeat performance

Race 12 – Alw 74000n1x

1. #7 Proven Strategies (6-1) – A bit classier than Bray, and should have a speed advantage here looking to go wire to wire if he breaks

2. #3 Lonesome Fugitive (2-1) – Ran impressively last time out in defeat, and is the likely winner with a repeat performance and being a bit more forwardly placed

3. #5 Basquiat (8-1) – This colt by American Pharoah switches to the turf for the first time for Chad Brown, and gets Joel Rosario

Race 13 – Grade I Hopeful Stakes

1. #5 Reinvestment Risk (8-5) – Chad and Klaravich entry crushed his field in his only start, and likely has the right running style and distance preference here

2. #6 Jackie’s Warrior (7-5) – Won easily in the Saratoga Special after going wire to wire, and can win again if he gets away easy and with slower fractions

3. #3 Mutasaabeq (5-2) – Certainly a capable winner here for trainer Todd Pletcher, and may get the benefit of a stalking trip and hot fractions with a chance to take over late

Race 14 – MC 40000

1. #9 Mohjestic (4-1) – First time gelding ran well in his only start last year, and gets Jose Ortiz here for George Weaver

2. #2 Stare Decisis (7-2) – Drops from three straight open maiden tries, and despite being given up on by Chad Brown, this gelding should still improve with the class drop

3. #5 Bold Gem (8-1) – Has quietly put in a few decent efforts in his last two tries, and can certainly finish in the mix here if aggressive


About The Author

Joseph Aiello

Joseph Aiello, III, a graduate of Colgate University, is a lifelong racing fan and frequent Saratoga visitor, where he avidly hones his handicapping skills.

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