Jockey Carlos Lopez and trainer Ronney Brown have enjoyed especially productive periods during the last three weeks at Charles Town Races, winning seven and eight races, respectively, to lead their peers in that category.

As the new racing week kicks off, here’s a quick look at who’s hot among trainers and jockeys. We looked at the last three weeks of racing at Charles Town and compared how often jockeys and trainers won to what their takeout-adjusted odds would have predicted. Jockeys must have made at least 10 starts to appear on the list, and trainers, more than five. Here’s what we found:

Carlos Lopez won with two mounts at Charles Town this past weekend to bring his mark in the last three weekends to seven wins from 17 starts. That’s 4.17 wins more than his odds would have predicted, a stellar 12.26 wins above expectations per 50 starts. His nearest pursuer these last few weeks in wins above expectations is Wesley Ho, whose four wins are 1.74 more than expected, good for 4.59 wins above expectations per 50 starts…

Others in the lead group by wins above expectations include Antonio Lopez (4.56 wins above expectations/50 starts), Maximo Chilo (3.83), and Fredy Peltroche (3.28)…

The colony leader in wins over the last three weeks has been Arnaldo Bocachica, who posted nine wins from 41 starts. That, however, was 1.52 wins below expectations

Others exceeding expectations by more than two wins include Antonio Lopez (3-for-16, 4.67 wins above expectations per 50 starts), Javier Rivera (2-for-15, 2.66), and Wesley Ho (4-for-22, 2.50)…

Lopez has taken 26.1% of available purse money the last three weeks to lead the colony. His nearest competitors include Arnaldo Bocachica (20.9%), Larry Reynolds (19.5%), and Wesley Ho (18.6%)…

Twelve of 22 riders with at least 10 mounts in recent weeks have won less frequently than their odds would predict. That includes Gustavo Larrosa (6.74 wins fewer than expected per 50 starts), Marshall Mendez (4.85 fewer), Luis Batista (4.34), Abnel Bocachica (3.35), and Reshawn Latchman (2.18)…

Of the 22 riders to make at least 10 starts in the last three weeks, 19 won at least one race…

CHARLES TOWN JOCKEYS: WHO’S HOT NOW?

Jockey	Wins above expected/50 starts	Starts	Wins
Lopez Carlos Eduardo	12.26	17	7
Ho Wesley	4.59	19	4
Lopez Antonio	4.56	14	3
Chilo Maximo	3.83	26	4
Peltroche F	3.28	18	3
Acosta J D	1.43	35	6
Bocachica O	1.08	28	3

For the full list of trainers and jockeys and their wins above expectations for 2024 to date, check out our Handicapping page.

Among trainers Ronney Brown was 8-for28, good for 3.29 wins above expectations per 25 starts. His eight wins were four more than any other trainer, and he was third in wins above expectations per 25 starts…

The top pair in wins above expectations were David Walters (4.92 per 25 starts) and Anthony Lucas (4.75 per 25 starts). Both have two wins over the last three weeks locally…

Others doing well in the wins above expectations category recently include Crystal Pickett (2.48), Tim Shanley (2.26), Stacey Viands (2.22), and Kristy Petty (2.20)…

Tim Grams has pulled in 22.5% of available purse money in his races the last three weeks, tops in the colony. Grams has won with three of 14 starters, but remarkably enough, 13 of the 14 have finished fourth or better. David Walters (22.1%) and Ronney Brown (20.0%) are the others above 20% in this category…

Trainers winning less frequently than their odds predict include Anthony Farrior (-4.80 wins per 50 starts), Ronald Sigler (-4.54), Cynthia McKee (-3.92), Anthony Rideoutt (-3.88), and Christopher Keller (-3.41)…

Thirteen of 22 trainers with more than five starts won at least one race…

CHARLES TOWN TRAINERS: WHO’S HOT NOW?

Trainer	Wins above expected/25 starts	Starts	Wins
Walters David L	4.92	6	2
Lucas Anthony	4.75	7	2
Brown Ronney W	3.29	28	8
Pickett Crystal G	2.48	13	2
Shanley Timothy	2.26	13	2
Viands Stacey R	2.22	13	3
Petty Kristy	2.20	8	2
Joy Kevin J	1.66	14	4

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