Lady Baltimore: Ginger N Rye, plus odds and analysis

by | Sep 10, 2016 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing, Racing

Onus won last year’s G3 Commonwealth Oaks.  Photo by Laurie Asseo.

From a Maryland Jockey Club release

Second in three of four starts this year including a pair of local stakes, Sagamore Farm homebred Ginger N Rye looks to break through with her first black-type victory in Saturday’s $150,000 Lady Baltimore at Laurel Park.

The 45th running of the Lady Baltimore for fillies and mares 3 and up at 1 1/16 miles on the grass is the richest of six stakes worth $575,000 on the 11-race Laurel Turf Cup program.

[su_box title=”LADY BALTIMORE STAKES ENTRIES” style=”glass”]For fillies and mares three and up, 1 1/16 miles turf, $150,000 purse

  1. Monster Sleeping (15-1) — Sheldon Russell/Dale Capuano — Hard-knocker needs to find better form to compete here
  2. Vielsalm (20-1) — Feargal Lynch/Lynn Ashby — Mare should appreciate the drop from G3 company but needs an improved try here, and regular pilot Boyce chooses fave
  3. Ginger N Rye (8-1) — Trevor McCarthy/Horacio DePaz — Knocking on the door with two runner-up tries in stakes in last four; still eligible for N2X
  4. Onus (8-5) — Forest Boyce/Shug McGaughey — G3 winner undefeated over the strip and been keeping better company than these, including recent credible races in G1, G2 company
  5. Tuttipaesi (3-1) — Chris DeCarlo/Bill Mott — Most likely upsetter owns a G2 win, never out of the money at the trip; regular pilot DeCarlo comes for the ride
  6. Catcharising Star (6-1) — Edgar Prado/Graham Motion — Speedster cross-entered at Delaware, figures to go to the front and take ’em as far as she can; those tactics won a stake last out
  7. McArthur Parkway (30-1) — NA/Tim Keefe — Pass.
  8. Robillard (7-2) — Jevian Toledo/Kiaran McLaughlin — G2-placed runner has three wins in six tries at the distance

Other grass stakes on the card are the $100,000 Laurel Dash for 3-year-olds and up going six furlongs and featuring 26-time stakes-winning multimillionaire Ben’s Cat; the $100,000 Laurel Turf Cup for 3-year-olds and up at 1 ½ miles; and the $75,000 Laurel Futurity for 2-year-olds and the $75,000 Selima for 2-year-old fillies, both 5 ½-furlong turf sprints. They are joined by the $75,000 Shine Again for 3-year-olds and up at seven furlongs on the main track.

Ginger N Rye, a 4-year-old daughter of More Than Ready, returns to a Laurel turf course where she has three wins and three seconds from nine career starts. She was beaten a half-length after being in tight quarters early in the Dahlia Stakes April 16, and came up a head short as the favorite in the All Brandy Stakes June 25.

“We’d like to win it for her,” trainer Horacio DePaz said. “I still have her two-other-than condition, and I would have liked to run her in that condition and then run her in a stake to build her up and kind of get her some confidence; not that she’s not doing right, but just to take advantage of that condition.

“But it’s kind of the end of the year and there’s not any other stakes races here at Laurel and I don’t want to go somewhere else,” he added. “This just seemed like the logical spot. Hopefully, she can get it done. If not, we’ll come back in a two-other-than and bring her back for next year and see. She should be able to mature and continue to campaign. She’s a pretty honest filly.”

DePaz took Ginger N Rye to Saratoga Race Course off her All Brandy effort and she was dead game in an open second-level optional claiming allowance going one mile, holding the lead past the eighth pole before giving way late to lose by a head. She has breezed three times since that July 24 race, most recently going a half-mile in 49 seconds Sept. 3 at Laurel.

“I was very, very pleased that she could leave Maryland and compete in a two-other-than at Saratoga. She put in a dogfight there,” DePaz said. “She’s a small filly and she got stuck on the rail with a big filly on the outside of her, so she definitely had to fight her way through. It was a pretty good effort.”

Trevor McCarthy will ride from post 3 of eight at 118 pounds.

Among Ginger N Rye’s rivals in the Lady Baltimore is New York shipper Robillard, trained by Kiaran McLaughlin for Godolphin Racing. The 4-year-old Distorted Humor filly is also seeking her first stakes win, having run third in the Sheepshead Bay (G2) May 7 at Belmont Park.

“She has graded stakes black type from before, but we’re trying to win a stake with her. She’s training very well and training great, so we thought this was a good spot,” McLaughlin said. “She’s been in tough a couple of times but she’s done well this year. She’s really come back well. We gave her time off for quite a while and just kept her in the barn and she’s looking good and doing well. Hopefully it’s not too tough.”

Last time out, Robillard sat just off the pace on the outside but encountered traffic trouble at the three-sixteenths pole and weakened to finish sixth in the De La Rose Stakes Aug. 6 at Saratoga. She was a gate-to-wire winner of an optional claiming allowance at the Lady Baltimore distance June 23 at Belmont.

“The last one was a tough race,” McLaughlin said. “She had a rough trip and still only got beat a few lengths. Hopefully she fits there well. It’s not going to be easy but we’re happy with her. She’s doing well.”

Jevian Toledo, coming off Laurel’s summer meet title, has the call from outside post 8 at 118 pounds.

Drawing the rail is Charles J. Reed’s multiple stakes winner Monster Sleeping, making her fourth start of the year and third straight in stakes company. She was fourth, beaten 1 ¼ lengths in the All Brandy and third after having to steady and being carried out in the six-furlong Jameela Aug. 20 at Laurel.