Timonium picks AND PONDERINGS: AUGUST 27, 2023

John Piassek is here to provide Timonium picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the Maryland State Fair.

Post time: 12:25 p.m.

Carryovers: Late Pick 5: $0

RACE 1: MAIDEN CLAIMING $5,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 1/2 FURLONGS

  1. #5 – Aztec Bay (7-2): One of two in here exiting the 9th race on Aug. 13, the winner of which, Cora’s Choice, finished second on opening day; this one has run her best races within her last two starts and is fast early.
  2. #6 – Cowgirl Hop (6-1): Ran a huge race at Charles Town last out, closing off a very slow early pace to lose by a length.
  3. #3 – Super Money (6-1): Chased Cora’s Choice while wide and finished second in the aforementioned Aug. 13 affair; she should at least save more ground this time.

RACE 2: CLAIMING $5,000 (CONDITIONED), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 MILE

  1. #3 – Viking Queen (3-5): Her speed figures are vastly superior to those of the others, and she should handle them without drama.
  2. #5 – Emma and I (8-1): Charles Town shipper has good late speed.
  3. #6 – Some is Nine (7-2): Has trouble sustaining her rallies going shorter, but the track might carry her if she’s close enough early.

RACE 3: CLAIMING $5,000 (CONDITIONED), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 1/2 FURLONGS

  1. #5– Minister Quinn (10-1): Take out his last race, where he broke terribly and never had a chance, and he looks like a major player.
  2. #3 – Backatya (6-5): Led late after a wide trip near the pace last out and got caught; now, he’s the one who will control the pace.
  3. #2 – Spitball (3-1): Has decent speed and a good post, but he’s just 1-for-22 in the past 24 months.                  

RACE 4: MAIDEN CLAIMING $5,000, 3, 4, AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, 4 FURLONGS

  1. #7 – Runaway Road (9-5): Returns to dirt and gets some class relief after his last few starts.    
  2. #1 – Mashua (4-1): Held well last out despite a wide trip on a contested pace.
  3. #2 –Mo Eh Hennessy (7-2): Getting better with every start for the tough Anthony Farrior/Arnaldo Bocachica combo.                                 

RACE 5: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING (N/W1X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 MILE

  1. #3 – Goodafternoonoscar (4-1): Ran a big race on the lead at Delaware last out and held third; tries older horses for the first time here.
  2. #4 – Under the Radar (9-5): Has good tactical speed and strong recent workouts for his first start since April 5.
  3. #6 – The Khozan One (5-2): Fought gamely near the pace and lost a three-horse photo last out; beat older rivals two starts back.

RACE 6: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING (N/W2X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 1/2 FURLONGS

  1. #3 – Parish Belle (7-5): Hasn’t had an anxious moment in three starts this year and looks like a future stakes-winning filly.
  2. #4 – Mama G’s Wish (9-2): Improved sharply to win third off the layoff last out against some solid local runners; should press the pace here.
  3. #5 – Our Liberty Belle (8-1): She’s quickly climbing the class ladder with three straight wins after an 0-for-6 start to her career.        

RACE 7: STARTER ALLOWANCE $5,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 4 FURLONGS

  1. #5 – Wild Behavior (7-5): Looks fast enough to run them off their feet. 
  2. #6– Pit Stop Man (5-2): Ran some big races earlier this year and looks for a rebound after two subpar efforts.  
  3. #3 – Kitchen Fire (9-2): Lost by a nose after a game performance at Delaware last out.  

RACE 8: ALLOWANCE (OPEN), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

  1. #1 – Al Love Josie (8-5): Lasted on the lead last out in a bounce-back effort; will try to keep the momentum going here.
  2. #4 – Dollarization (9-5): Finished second behind Al Loves Josie last out with a strong late rally.
  3. #6 – Backnthewoods (5-2): Showed a new dimension last out, coming from off the pace to earn a hard-fought victory. 

RACE 9: CLAIMING $5,000 (N/W3L), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 1/2 FURLONGS

  1. #2 – Sir Smoak (8-1): Has a good workout since a distant defeat last out and should enjoy the cutback from a mile.
  2. #3 – Bowie Two Step (5-2): Has finished in the top three in each of his last six starts and got caught wide last out.
  3. #1 – I Once Stood Alone (10-1): Presque Isle shipper has consistently solid speed figures and won from off the pace three starts back.

LATEST NEWS