Laurel Park picks and ponderings November 22, 2019

by | Nov 22, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Anna's Bandit

Anna’s Bandit. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

In which we pick the races from Laurel Park each day…

Post time: 12:25 p.m.

Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — None; Super High 5 — None; Late Pick 5 — None




  • 4-8-9-2
  • Last time out #4 West Coast Sky (7-2) gave a pretty good account of herself, clearing to the lead in the lane before faltering while wandering about the track erratically; that was her second decent start in a row, and if she can keep it straight in the lane, she may graduate today… The speedy #8 Courtesy Shuffle (5-2) may give her something to sweat in the early going, though, as she made the lead last out early versus better before fading… Probably worth a look at the firsters in this spot, and we’ll have #9 Tap Toboggan (10-1) on the ticket; she’s been working well enough towards her debut for a trainer, Wayne Potts, who’s 5-for-41 with 2-year-olds debuting in maiden claiming company…


  • 1-2-4-3
  • The likely favorite in here, #2 Olive Kat (6-5), has better figs than most of thse and some pretty good tries to run back to, including an easy win last out; but she’s going to be odds-on, most likely, and while trainer Jamie Ness and rider Trevor McCarthy are two of the most successful on the grounds, neither is having a great meet (10% and 12% strike rates, respectively) and together they have returned to bettors just about 60 cents on the dollar at the meet, which is a long-winded way of saying, “Let’s try to beat ’em at short odds”… We’ll take a swing with #1 Foggy Dreams (9-2), who does own an allowance win on the main track… #4 Little Skiff (7-2) ought to take to the dirt just fine; her siblings have been good on both turf and dirt, and Midshipman is a versatile sire…


  • 3-6-1-7
  • Favored #1 Master Distiller (7-5) takes a precipitous drop to the $25,000 level after two stinkers, and if he can get back to the form he showed when trainer DePaz had him last winter, he’ll win here; but the odds are gonna be waaaayyyy short on a horse whose last two are awful and who has not raced in six months… If he falters, who else can win? Give a look to the class-dropping #3 Mystic Times (3-1), who should appreciate both the class relieft and the cutback to six furlongs after showing speed to the furlong grounds in three straight, and first-timer #6 Noble Way (8-1), whose trainer, Katy Voss, is 3-for-10 with four others in the money with runners debuting in maiden claiming company…



  • 5-6-8-2
  • Drink up! #5 Tempted by Tito’s (3-1) is one of two live runners in here trained by Jerry Robb, and go-to rider Xavier Perez chooses this one… #6 Silver Sides (7-2) ran OK last time out — though that was back in August — in a race that produced two next-out winners and two runners-up…


  • 9-3-5-8
  • True, his only win came while on the lead, but in his last couple, particularly two back at the Big T, #9 Analyze Your Risk (5-2) has shown the ability to run into a pace, which gives him the jump on his rivals in this speed-heavy contest; and he’ll be finding his lowest level to date… Don’t sleep on the other late runner here, #5 Mucho Macho Danny (8-1); the Claudio Gonzalez trainee did benefit from an ideal setup last time but went on to win easily, and Gonzalez wins at a 28% clip with a positive ROI with runners who broke their maidens last out… #3 Forfiftygiverocket (6-1) stands the best chance of the speedy types to survive after a good try last out…


  • 3-9-4-7
  • On the drop from $25,000 company, this looks like a primo spot for #3 Amphitrite (2-1) to graduate; she contended with Magical Luna last time out, and that runner won that day and then doubled up yesterday against much better… #9 Baby Bam Bam (5-2) just missed last time against similar and rates a solid shot here… 



  • 6-3-7-11
  • There’s some speed in this nickel sprint, so we’ll give the edge to #6 Quality Matters (4-1), who figures to do his best running late; the Quality Road gelding makes his second start for trainer Michael Sandoval after an even effort against better last time… Two with early zip who could make an impact are #3 Expect Drama (8-1), who was second at this level last time, and #7 Crazed (9-2), who’s making his first start for trainer Hugh McMahon but is drpping in class… Favored #11 Flat Out Mine (5-2) certainly contends here if rider Francois can work out a trip from the outside; the top three to run back from her last all won their follow-ups…


  • 13-6-4-11
  • Speaking of working out a trip, that’s what rider Victor Carrasco’ll have to do to get top choice #13 Call Triple A (8-1) into the winner’s circle; the Michelle Nevin trainee makes his second start off a 15-month layoff after a useful enough return against allowance foes at Parx… Another making a big drop is the Joe Sharp trainee #6 Always Forgiven (2-1), who two back was second against $32,000 three-year-olds but last out got throttled by older runners…


  • 9-2-7-5
  • Favored #2 Bayano (3-1) takes a two-level drop here after a middling effort against better and may be tough… We’ll have him on the ticket but try to beat him with #9 Dyna’s Knight (5-1), who probably ought to appreciate the added ground today (he’s a son of Flat Out out of a Dynaformer mare)… Hall of Fame trainer King Leatherbury has had a rough 2019 but should contend in this spot with #7 Auld Lange Syne (8-1)…


About The Author

Frank Vespe

Frank Vespe, the founder and publisher of The Racing Biz, has owned, bought, sold, claimed, written, and talked about horses, in varying combinations, for a decade. Email him at [email protected] or follow him on twitter @TheRacingBiz.

What's Hot


Sign Up Now

Get The Racing Biz in your inbox!

Join our mailing list to get our latest news delivered to your inbox each week! And, by the way, we never sell our lists or share your info with outside parties.

You have Successfully Subscribed!