Spa selections: Saratoga August 5

by | Aug 5, 2017 | Breaking, Handicapping

Pret Say Eye

Pret Say Eye was antsy early, strong late for trainer Lacey Gaudet (left) at Saratoga last year. Photo by Teresa Genaro.

by Joseph Aiello

In Spa Selections, Saratoga on-site correspondent Joseph Aiello provides picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga. Today, it’s four races, including the Grade 2 National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame Stakes!

Race 3 – Grade III Fasig-Tipton Waya Stakes

  1. #4 Suffused (7-5) First of a few Juddmonte entries that are simply too good to ignore
  2. #8 Guilty Twelve (5-1) Two-for-two this year for trainer Graham Motion and one-for-one at Saratoga
  3. #7 Summersault (7-2) Will give jockey Paco Lopez his first win this year at the Spa if he is within range at the top of the stretch

Race 7 – Fasig-Tipton Lure Stakes

  1. #1 Projected (9-5) Favorite from Juddmonte draws inside post in stacked field with others like Camelot Kitten drawing tougher spots
  2. #7 Blacktype (8-1) Clement trainee loses Jose Ortiz to Ring Weekend, but is solid at distance and can close in stretch run
  3. #3 Zennor (15-1) Yet to run in graded races, but five-year-old gelding by Medaglia d’Oro has been strong so far this year

Race 8 – Grade I Longines Test Stakes

  1. #8 Faypien (3-1) Baffert tends to bring in sprinters from out West who steal races with front end speed in big races each year
  2. #10 American Gal (5-2) Jose Ortiz left other fillies to ride this recent winner of the Victory Ride for trainer Simon Callaghan
  3. #6 Cursor (30-1) Cheaper than others, but filly by Quality Road might surprise as best closer in field other than Tequilita

Race 9 – Grade I Whitney Stakes

  1. #5 Keen Ice (3-1)Won in huge upset over American Pharoah in Travers here two years ago, and his return to Spa could lead to similar result
  2. #6 Gun Runner (4-5) Deserving favorite, but not worth the value and a softened track that has stopped favoring speed may lead to fade in stretch
  3. #4 Tu Brutus (8-1) Kind of a toss up after the first two and needs more distance, but this five year old horse will have plenty left in the stretch

Race 10 – Fasig-Tipton De La Rose Stakes

  1. #7 On Leave (3-1) Should be off of front then pass others in stretch who figure to be battling for position
  2. #2 Sassy Little Lila (5-2) Fastest in race who is best pace of field and ran huge in the Just A Game Stakes two months back
  3. #10 Elysea’s World (5-1) Filly probably wants more distance than this for trainer Chad Brown, but could close from deep if front gets crowded