Charles Town picks and analysis: June 20

by | Jun 20, 2020 | Breaking, Handicapping, West Virginia, WV Racing

Aaron's Tap

Photo by Allison Janezic.



Pretty good try under sub-optimal circumstances last time for #6 Tun Tun (4-1), who may control from the outside stall… Four-year-old first-timer #2 Mountain Express (5-1) rates consideration if for no other reason than several others don’t… A.M. favorite #3 Stacksdenero (8-5) had a bunch of tries at the bottom at LRL, finds a lower bottom here in first try for new trainer and first since 10/19 – will take wait-and-see approach on mid-pack sort shortening up to 4 1/2…



If he’s right, favorite #6 Awesome Fu (1-1) wins here – but that’s the question, isn’t it? Why is trainer Farrior dropping this one in for a nickel in his return to action after seven straight (including four wins) in starter company? Let’s try to beat him with the perpetually hanging #7 El Emanuel (8-1), who led late last time going 9 furlongs, cuts back a bit today, and makes his third start off the bench. If nothing else, the value should be there…



First time out since December for the Kevin Patterson-trained #6 Cuttin Edge Tech (3-5). The six-year-old is a rocket ship out of the gate, but do note that in her last two starts going 4 1/2, she led early but stopped; her last two wins have come going a quarter-mile at MNR… Let’s try #3 Miss Blue Dot (6-1) for the upset here, if she can get the jump on her rival from the inside…



Did the light bulb finally go on for #3 Sharp’s Mission (6-1)? The five-year-old mare came home fast to dead-heat for the win last time out — the leader was stopping badly, which didn’t hurt — for her diploma in her 20th try; do note that her two-back third came against the boys, and this tepid group might just give her a shot to double up…



Have a hard time thinking you’ll get 6-1 on #9 My Lovely Girl (6-1), but if you do, grab it: she ran a big one in her debut, perhaps getting a bit discouraged late but still clearly holding second while well beaten by 1-9 Blip Says Bye, who’d been competing against much better at Oaklawn and who returned to win an allowance next time…#1 Willa (9-2) is a half to two stakes winners, by a sire (Will Take Charge) who has a national profile, and comes from the Runco barn, which wins 30% of the time with debut runners; she may want more ground than this, but she deserves a look here…



We’ll take the chalk in here, as #8 Bacoli (3-5) is taking an appropriate drop to the bottom, makes his second start off the bench, and has figs that tower over these…



We’re inclined to give another crack to #2 Rockstar Princess (8-1), who did the heavy lifting fighting it out with winner Brigantine Island last time; the speedy sort has better outcomes on her resume, and makes her second start off a long break here… Nice rally on the wrong lead last time for #1 The Better One (6-1), who’ll be running late; she’ll need to step it up to contend for the top spot, though, as her race was a full second slower (and on the same night) as the race Rockstar Princess and two others exit…



Maybe it’s just that the competition was too tough, but favorite #5 Catauga County (9-5) didn’t show a thing last time, and while that was on the lawn, he’d run OK on the lawn previously… Why can’t #4 Valadier (10-1) have a say in the outcome here? He was a clear (if well-beaten) second last time, and we’re inclined to toss the three prior tries…


About The Author

Frank Vespe

Frank Vespe, the founder and publisher of The Racing Biz, has owned, bought, sold, claimed, written, and talked about horses, in varying combinations, for a decade. Email him at [email protected] or follow him on twitter @TheRacingBiz.

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