Laurel Park picks and ponderings November 29, 2019

by | Nov 29, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Anna's Bandit

Anna’s Bandit. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

In which we pick the races from Laurel Park each day…

Post time: 12:25 p.m.

Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — $5,633; Super High 5 — None; Late Pick 5 — None

Notable: Trainer Michelle Nevin wins at a 30% clip with maiden claimers at Laurel Park.



  • 2-5-1-4
  • The speedy #2 Celtic Treasure (8-5) set a zippy pace last out and went on to win nicely up at PEN in a race that’s produced two next-out winners and a total of four (of five to run back) that have finished in the triple; he’s a three-time winner drawing in here by virtue of being a 3yo… #5 Lucid Dream (8-1) showed improved early foot last time out and my be sitting on a step forward… 


  • 6-5-2-1
  • Top choice #6 Top Me Off (2-1) made a bit of a middle move last out against better before fading late and should appreciate some class relief today… Curious to see what leading trainer Claudio Gonzalez has up his sleeve with #5 Biz Nasty (3-1); the Fed Biz ridgling’s career best try came sprinting, but he’s sending her a mile here in her first start in two months… #2 Curlin’s Knight (3-1) might end up offering value; he just missed two back against similar at Belmont, and his form is darkened by a bad outing against much better in his first try over the sometimes challenging Parx surface…


  • 1-8-3-5
  • Pretty lukewarm group of bottom maidens will square off here, and one of these will graduate today… right? Top choice #1 Expect Talk (7-2) ran well enough three back in her last dirt try (albeit at the bottom at TIM), and that day’s winner, Ask Contrition, has won since; may not be much to hang your hat on, but it may be enough in this group… #8 Thirsty Again (2-1) probably goes favored in this contest in her second try off a nine-month break and second in Dale Capuano’s barn; like to see that Capuano waived the claiming tag last out, which suggests he at least hopes he can get this one running better….



  • 2-6-4-5
  • Top choice #2 Sybil’s Prophecy (10-1) won by a pole in her debut, but her subsequent tries leave something to be desired; she showed improved speed last out in her first with blinks and, with just three starts under her belt, still has room to improve; a return to her best would put her in the mix here… Morning line favorite #4 Crossingthevalley (5-2) just missed at this level last time, and two of three to run back have won their follow-ups; her best efforts have come going shorter, though…


  • 1A-4-7-5
  • His entrymate scratched out but #1A Cowboy Mz (2-1) still can be a handful in here; the Jamie Ness trainee are kinda middling, but he has better efforts to run back to and projects as controlling speed… #4 Blue Y Gold (5-2) dropped below this level to win last out and perhaps regained confidence… His recent form doesn’t inspire hope, but #7 It’s the Journey (5-1) certainly has ample back class; he was a near-miss third in 2018 G3 General George…


  • 7-5-6-3
  • Good effort last time out by #7 Cause I’m Edgy (8-5) when second against similar; she won the speed duel before getting reeled in late and settling for second, and her main speed rival came back to win her next start… The lightly raced #5 Friend Me Charlie (5-1) makes her third start after a three-month break after a middling effort in a race that’s produced two next-out winners from four to run back… Let’s give #6 Had the Notion (15-1) one more crack; that was a superb effort two back when third (at 40-1) behind the hard-hitting (and now retired) Shimmering Aspen; that sort of run puts her right in the mix today, but whether that was a one-off or something repeatable remains to be seen; the value should be there if you want to fish in these waters… 



  • 2-6-8-3
  • Top choice #2 Jazzy Juder (2-1) won the speed duel but lost the war last out, makes her second start after a two-month break… #6 Wee Monie Creek (10-1) made a bit of a middle move while wide after breaking slowly last time and should appreciate a bit of class relief on the drop into beaten company… #8 Fender Baby (9-5) presents a pretty similar profile as Jazzy Juder and has faced some better groups than these…


  • 4-5-8-1
  • Game effort last time by #4 Chicken Dinner (9-5), who re-rallied to just miss against similar and fits snugly at this level… We’ll give another crack to #5 Slowpoke (12-1), who did not run well last time but who two back rallied a bit against never-won-three rivals and should enjoy never-won-two company a bit more… 


  • 1-3-5-6
  • Top choice #1 Silent Fluidity (8-5) made a middle move last time while well wide on the course throughout and understandably ran out of gas; the cutback and perhaps a less challenging trip won’t hurt… Trainer Michelle Nevin is 11-for-37 (30%) with maiden claimers at Laurel, and #3 Gottahaveaholiday (5-2) has better efforts to run back to… #6 Kickstartmyheart (4-1) hasn’t shown a ton so far but is lightly raced enough to offer the hope of improvement… You’ll get paid (and should) if #5 Bodette (12-1) gets the money in this spot; the daughter of Bodemeister will be the best of four out of her dam if she wins here, but it’s the type of group that a talented firster might handle…


About The Author

Frank Vespe

Frank Vespe, the founder and publisher of The Racing Biz, has owned, bought, sold, claimed, written, and talked about horses, in varying combinations, for a decade. Email him at [email protected] or follow him on twitter @TheRacingBiz.

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