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Spa selections 2019: Saratoga August 3

by Aug 2, 2019Breaking, Handicapping0 comments

Pret Say Eye

Pret Say Eye was antsy early, strong late for trainer Lacey Gaudet (left) at Saratoga in 2016. Photo by Teresa Genaro.

by Joseph Aiello

In Spa Selections, Saratoga on-site correspondent Joseph Aiello provides picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!

Race 5 – Grade III Troy Stakes

1. #1 World of Trouble (3-5) – We’ve seen Mitole get pressured by a horse to his outside, and this could be a similar scenario with Pure Sensation, but still too good and first one out wins

2. #5 Wet Your Whistle (8-1) – Most likely beneficiary of pace duel, has won all three tries this year including a Grade I in his last, and Alex Cintron has already upset at Saratoga

3. #6 Lenster (15-1) – Cheaper than these, but strong back to back wins at this distance and a good stalking trip give this colt every chance to takeover at the top of the stretch

Race 7 – Fasig-Tipton Lure Stakes

1. #2 Lucullan (3-1) – Has the running style best suited for this race, is two for two at this distance, and had a good win coming off a long layoff last time

2. #6 Say the Word (12-1) – Should be mid pack, and showed some serious turn of foot last time; could be a great chance for a potential career day for Junior Alvarado

3. #8 Ticonderoga (4-1) – Any pace from Voodoo Song and Gidu will set up for this classy closer who likes this track and distance

Race 8 – Grade I Longines Test Stakes

1. #5 Royal Charlotte (3-1) – Javier Castellano is the perfect jockey to time a closing move with this undefeated filly as others try to vie for the lead

2. #2 Bellafina (2-1) – Should be in a prime position sitting off the leaders and gets a plus for being strong at this distance and running well off the layoff

3. #1 Serengeti Empress (7-2) – Covfefe might compromise this filly with early speed, but the bullet workout and jockey make her impossible to ignore

Race 9 – Grade I Whitney Stakes

1. #8 Preservationist (3-1) – In a field which lacks true front runners and plenty of stalkers, this horse should benefit the most, and might find his sweet spot in this distance

2. #6 McKinzie (7-5) – This Baffert trainee has had a troubling trend of narrow losses, but showed some versatility in his last try and should have a stalking trip

3. #4 Thunder Snow (3-1) – Yoshida and Vino Rosso need more speed, and this horse seems to always find himself in the mix and should like this track

Race 10 – Fasig-Tipton De La Rose Stakes

1. #1 Desert Isle (20-1) – Have a feeling this could be a race for a longshot, especially one with a stalking or forwardly placed trip with plenty of closers and a dry turf course playing to speed

2. #8 Get Stormy (3-1) – Has been running against better company, keeps Tyler Gaffalione and every win has come at a mile; timing will be the difference between first and second

3. #9 Stella di Camelot (4-1) – Tough post, but this Brown trainee closed well in her last try and could win here with a repeat of that performance