Delaware Park Handicappers’ Notebook 2022 Vol. 2
Correspondent Mike Valiante shares his weekly Delaware Park Handicappers’ Notebook, featuring horses to watch, bet-backs, and more.
Each week he’ll give you the skinny on how the races are unfolding, which horses overcame the bias (or profited from it), and who had troubled trips. Plus, he’ll provide trainer and jockey of the week picks, and much more.
Notable races and trips
June 1 – June 4
This week the dirt course played very fair. Of the 16 winners, four led at the first call while two others were last. In what were largely short fields, all the other winners were second, third or fourth at the first call. The turf course rewarded horses with early speed. Of the eight winners, four had the lead at the first call and two others were in the second and third spots.
- Pimlico: Safe haven, keeper of memories, homeIn this guest column, exercise rider and former jockey Emily Fewster reflects on the last days of the current version of Pimlico, her racing home.
June 1
- Race 1: Mi Yayis was unruly in the paddock and while loading. She almost threw the jockey at the break before running headstrong down the backstretch. She then got parked wide on the turn before being beaten by a low-price winner. Can win at the $12,500 – $16,000 claiming level with any kind of better trip.
- Race 8: The word was out on Sansa Ariel in the first race of the year for two-year-olds. She was bet steadily as soon as wagering opened and went off at 9-5 before looking very impressive and winning by over seven lengths despite slightly drifting in the stretch. This Cal Lynch trainee by Sky Mesa has good potential and should improve as the year continues.
June 2
- Race 6: No Sabe Nada was a horse we touted in a 2021 Notebook article. His trainer, Scott Peck, has spoken repeatedly about the heart this horse displays. In his seasonal debut he battled very gamely down the stretch to beat the favorite. If properly spotted this horse should once again be a player on the local scene this season.
June 4
- Race 4: The bad trip of the day award went to Style. She broke bad, dropped to last and had to go wide before losing only to a logical favorite. Can win at mid-level claiming ranks or potentially at this first allowance level with a better trip.
Jockey and Trainer of the Week
Jockey Daniel Centeno had quite a winter in Tampa. Not only did he bring home 42 winners, but he also welcomed a new daughter into the world. This week at Delaware he had three winners in eight starts. For the meet he now has five winners with just 16 starters for a 31% strike rate.
On Saturday trainer Jonathan Thomas saddled Be Here to victory in an allowance/optional claimer to run his training record to 3-for-3 so far in the meet. Given the high-end owners who employ Thomas — Be Here is a homebred for George Strawbridge’s Augustin Stabe — you can bet that he will have a high percentage of winners throughout the meet. The iconic green-and-white silks of Augustin have long been a staple, not just at Delaware but throughout US racing, under the ownership of George Strawbridge and his now retired trainer Jonathan Sheppard.
- Maryland-breds fared well at Fasig-Tipton yearling saleThe average value of Maryland-breds sold at Tuesday’s Fasig-Tipton yearling sale was up over 8% from 2023, helping the sale to hold its own.
Handicappers’ Toolbox
Delaware Park will be running a card on Friday, June 10. This will be the first of 16 weeks where the track will run four days a week. So far this meet only eight races have been carded daily. Even so, the dirt fields have had a small number of entries and the addition of a fourth day may exacerbate this problem. As a handicapper, short fields can cripple your chances to make a profit. One tactic to overcome that challenge is to play doubles. Doubles often outperform the price you would get in a two-race parlay largely because you only have to offset one takeout. There obviously is no value in playing favorites in both halves of a double, so look for a race or preferably a pair of races with vulnerable favorites. By skipping some of the short field single races, you can save capital and increase your units bet in the double races where you can find value.
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Shrewd advice regarding compensating for the short fields, Mike. I love Delaware, and love to be on site, but the short fields make me look to the bigger venues. Here’s hoping the new owners are able to improve the field size as the season progresses (and have the intentions to do so).
I agree about the short fields. I concentrate on the rolling pick-3s. I can usually find some value there like I did with Twitty City on Saturday. Of course with Pick 3s you have to deal with that brutal 25% takeout. If they would get smart and lower it to 19% like the double it would be the perfect bet.
Delaware isnt a small track. Its not NYRA or CD but it has purses to where it should be able to compete for more horses. Hopefully the new owners will be more proactive on the racing side of things. Dirt races everywhere including Ny and Kentucky just arent pruducing large fields. Its a problem all of racing is dealing with. Midatlantic area just has so many tracks competing against each other it makes it tough. Delaware has tried to work with other area tracks in the past to not have so many overlapping dates,but both Parx and Maryland never want to give up” the run 12 months a year way of doing things”. Its a shame because if they would give a little it would benefit everyone.
I agree. Tracks aren’t known for cooperating with each other..LOL There must be some way of making it more profitable to raise more foals. Raising foals must not be a profitable business because there sure is a shortage.