Preakness Profiles: Improbable

by | May 18, 2019 | Breaking, Maryland, MD Racing, Triple Crown Trail


Improbable. Photo by Dottie Miller.

#4 Improbable (5-2)

Why he COULD win the Preakness: Three of the last five Preaknesses have been won by the Morning Line favorite which he wears that tag along with being the only Grade 1 winner in this field. His jock is known as “Money Mike” because of how he rises to the occasion on the big stage, most recently winning the Triple Crown aboard Justify last year. If the track is “fast”, he’s your guy, winning 4 of 5 races when the track is listed as “fast” with only blemish a neck loss in the G2 Rebel Stakes.

Why he SHOULD NOT be able to win the Preakness: Very high-strung colt who could use up precious energy before the starting gates open. Trainer wasn’t thrilled by Derby trip “covered up” behind horses on the inside. With an inward post, if Smith is unable to negotiate to the 3-5 path entering the first turn, his chances will be compromised. Not often can a horse win the Preakness or any Grade 1 race coming off three consecutive losses.

Improbable File

  • Record: 6-3-2-0, earnings of $769,520
  • Key Wins: G1 Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity
  • Breeding: City Zip-Rare Event, by A. P. Indy, bred in Kentucky by St. George Farm LLC and G. Watts Humphrey, Jr.
  • Trainer: Bob Baffert
  • Owner: WinStar Farm LLC, China Horse Club International, Starlight Racing
  • Jockey: Mike Smith

Video Past Performances

5/4/19Kentucky DerbyChurchill Downs4
4/13/19Arkansas DerbyOaklawn Park2
3/16/19RebelOaklawn Park2
12/8/18Los Alamitos FuturityLos Alamitos1