CHARLES TOWN PICKS AND HORSES TO WATCH: October 15
Frank Vespe- October 15, 2021
Charles Town Races has an eight-race card on tap for this evening. Post time for the opener is 7:00 p.m., and we’ve got Charles Town picks.
Carryovers: Jackpot Pick 6, $7,161
- Charles Town jockeys and trainers to watchWhich Charles Town jockeys and trainers are winning more than their odds would predict? We crunch the numbers.
| RACE NUMBER | CONTENDERS | COMMENTS |
| Race 6 | 5-1-2-4 | The morning line favorite in this maiden event, the second of two divisions of a maiden dash for two-year-old state-bred fillies, is #2 My Juba (6-5). The value proposition is a little tough to get your head around with this miss; she’s already run four times against state-bred maidens without a win, which makes evenish money a little bit much. We can forgive her last, when she backed up going 6 1/2 furlongs. Now back to a one-turn dash, she can get back to her better efforts and certainly is a contender for win honors… Because of the value question, we’ll try to beat her with #5 Jules Rules (8-5). This first-time starter by Summer Front is out of the Eastover Court mare Julie B, who’s already thrown five winners. Trainer Javier Contreras wins 17% of the time with debut maiden special weight runners… A price play perhaps worth a look is #1 Princess Halo (12-1). This one ran on nicely in her debut after getting left at the gate, and while her follow-up wasn’t great, she also was going two turns that day. She returns to a one-turn event here and will make her second start with blinkers… |
| Race 7 | 4-3-1-6 | There are some question marks around the favorite in this starter/optional claimer going 6 1/2 furlongs. The fave, #6 Slingin Sammy B (6-5), was running in starter company for most of the year until switched into the Farrior barn. Two back, Farrior ran her for $25,000, where she finished third as the favorite. Dropped in for $12,500 last out, she won and was claimed, but the claim was voided by the state vet. Now she’s taking another small drop and is offered for $10,000. Can she win? Of course; on paper, she’s best in here. But the pattern displayed her — dropping in successive races despite a win, a voided claim — gives us enough pause to shop around, again concerned about the value proposition… #4 Bird Traffic (5-1) has run some pretty good races here and against similar, likes the distance, and may sit a good trip… #3 Upsy Daisy Do (12-1) ran a big one last out to be second against similar at 46-1 odds. Can she repeat? She’s done her best work when on the lead early, and her ability to run that race back may depend on getting the advantage, which won’t be easy… |
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6th. “A Blonde Thing”can bring me to attention
but I think”Jules Rules” here.
7th.Frank’s assessment of”Slinging Sammy B”mirrors mine
-not this time with my dime. I think “Upsa Daisy may Do” it again,
at least”She’s Earned The Shot”to outshine “Alpine Moon”.