Charles Town picks and analysis: October 8

Charles Town has an eight-race Saturday card. Post time is 7:00 p.m. Good luck!

Carryovers: Jackpot Pick 6 $98,533

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RACE 1 $75,000 West Virginia Dash For Cash Breeders’ Classic

3-2-4-1

In the opening race on the latest edition of the West Virginia Breeders Classics card, #3 Hypothesis (5-2) arrives as the defending champion of this one-turn dash for older males and will look to turn the tables on Penguin Power who prevailed handily in the prep. #2 Penguin Power (1-1) actually seeks his fourth straight WVBC score for trainer Jeff Runco after taking the previous two editions of the Onion Juice and he will be the solid choice at post time following his sharp score in the Last Enchantment Stakes last out. #4 Nico (3-1) is rounding into form at the right time for trainer Javier Contreras and looms a major player in this compact group. #1 Golden Key (6-1) has ample speed to make his presence known early for trainer Ronney Brown and merits respect here.

RACE 2$75,000 West Virginia Triple Crown Nutrition Breeders’ Classic

1-5-2-4

In the first of two stakes for state-bred two-year-olds on the card, #1 Sail On Breeze (5-2) was the beaten favorite in the Rachel;’s Turn last out but gets favorable rail draw and adds blinkers and gets the nod to atone for trainer Jeff Runco. #5 Strong Willed (9-5) was sharp second in the Rachel’s Turn last out for trainer Anthony Farrior and merits respect here as the likely post time choice. #2 Juba’s Parade (15-1) was solid second in latest outing and tries stakes company for the first time as logical long shot for trainer John A. Casey. #4 Bella Mela (6-1) graduated smartly in career debut last out for trainer Javier Contreras and should be a factor here in stakes debut.

  • Winning Time scores in PA Nursery
    Debut winner Winning Time handled the step up to stakes company with aplomb, winning Tuesday’s $200,000 Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes at Parx.

RACE 3 $75,000 West Virginia Vincent Moscarelli Memorial Breeders’ Classic

4-8-2-9

In the second of two stakes for state-bred two-year-olds, #4 Pinnacle Reef (5-1) makes stakes debut but graduated going two turns and gets the nod for mild upset here. #8 Paymengold (6-1) won the Henry Mercer Memorial Stakes at 23-1 for owner-trainer-breeder Dewayne Johnson and seeks second straight stakes score while stretching out for the first time. #2 Honeyquist (4-5) won career debut in impressive fashion for trainer Anthony Farrior and makes stakes debut and tries two turns for the first time in this spot. #9 Xcellent Start (8-1) rallied late to gain the place spot in the Mercer and gives Runco outside chance to run one-two while stretching out here.

RACE 4$75,000 West Virginia Roger Ramey Distaff Breeders’ Classic

3-4-1-5

In this three-turn event for fillies and mares, #3 Stowe Angel (7-5) arrives as the defending champion of this event for trainer Jeff Runco and will seek to atone for modest effort in the Sadie Hawkins last out. #4 Ocean Lilly (5-1) has been fourth in each of last three outings after winning two straight for trainer Tim Grams and could forge mild upset in this wide-open affair. #1 Mady Rose (4-1) arrives winless in 10 starts this year for trainer Javier Contreras but should benefit from rail draw here. #5 Navy Sword (9-2) seeks first tally since January but gives Runco tepid chance to run one-two in this event.

RACE 5$75,000 West Virginia Department of Tourism Breeders’ Classic

7-1-2-4

In this interesting two-turn event for state-bred three-year-old fillies, #7 Change the World (3-5) has won three straight against allowance company for trainer Jeff Runco and seeks first stakes tally as very short-priced favorite here. #1 Seneca Rocks (7-2) was solid second in Sylvia Bishop Stakes three starts back for trainer Javier Contreras and could forge mild upset in this spot. #2 Aim’s Jubilee (6-1) was good fourth in the Sylvia Bishop Stakes last out for trainer Stephen Reggetts and merits respect if ready off mild break. #4 Cousin Winnie (12-1) could complete several gimmicks at a very generous price here for owner-trainer John McKee.

RACE 6$75,000 West Virginia Thoroughbred Breeders Association Onion Juice Breeders’ Classic

3-6-8-1

In this interesting, competitive edition of the Onion Juice, #3 Fancy Concho (3-1) exits three-turn allowance won by Candy Invasion last out and was placed first in the Frank Gall one race prior and gets the nod for mild upset here. #6 No Change (5-2) was third in same allowance that Fancy Concho exits last out and is looking to regain form that carried him to five wins in first six starts this year for trainer John McKee and certainly merits respect. #8 Social Chic (8-5) was placed second in the Gall after narrow win and won the sophomore stakes on this card a year ago and looks for rebound score as tepid favorite for trainer Jeff Runco. #1 Humpty Grumpty (12-1) gets favorable inside draw and seeking to regain winning ways amid mild drought for trainer Javier Contreras.

RACE 7 $125,000 Cavada Breeders’ Classic

7-2-4-1

In the annual two-turn feature for state-bred fillies and mares, #7 The Sky Is Falling (6-5) bested older rivals last out in the Sadie Hawkins for trainer Jeff Runco and looks to be the heir to the throne with Star of Night retired. #2 Moonlit Shadow (3-1) faded to fourth in the Sadie Hawkins last out after impressive allowance score two back for trainer Tim Grams, and full-sister to Moonlit Song merits respect here. #4 Hessica (6-1) won allowance smartly last out after sold second-place effort behind the choice in the Sylvia Bishop and could forge genuine upset here for trainer Kristy Petty. #1 Azzurra (9-2) has been consistent sort her entire career for trainer Anthony Farrior and cannot be overlooked in this event.

RACE 8$300,000 Sam Huff West Virginia Breeders’ Classic

6-5-7-2

In the annual feature for state-breds going nine furlongs, #6 Muad’dib (3-5) arrives off a solid, second-place effort in the Grade II, $1 million Charles Town Classic and the defending champion of this event will likely be odds-on in his repeat bid. #5 Candy Invasion (5-2) has won each of his last two outings in three-turn allowance events for owner-trainer John A. Casey and late-running sort will certainly make his presence known in the event. #7 Buff’s Eye View (15-1) was second in this event two years ago and second last out for trainer David Walters and merits respect in this spot. #2 Hero’s Man (12-1) was the runner-up behind the odds-on choice in this event last year and will be the one to catch in the lane for trainer James W. Casey.

RACE 9$75,000 West Virginia Lottery Breeders’ Classic

7-10-6-5

In this interesting two-turn event for state-bred three-year-old boys, #7 Jungle Beast (9-5) was placed first last out against allowance foes after being beaten choice in the Leavitt two back but gets the nod to prevail in this spot for trainer Javier Contreras. #10 Free Sailin (6-1) won the Leavitt here two back in his only previous local outing and certainly merits respect here as likely solid second choice for trainer Juan DeCosta. #6 One Night Mike (4-1) has won last two for Contreras and could forge mild upset in stakes debut. #5 Well Equipped (12-1) has displayed a fondness for the distance for trainer Crystal Pickett and cannot be entirely overlooked.

RACE 10 The $50,000 Blue And Gold Stakes

10-9-3-2

In the wide-open running of the inaugural edition of this one-turn dash for state-bred fillies and mares that is technically not a Breeders’ Classics event, #10 Full Moon Lover (7-2) sports five wins and four runner-up efforts in nine seasonal outings and was sharp second in local prep for trainer Ronney Brown. #9 Good Karma (6-1) also gets favorable outside draw and looms a presence early here for trainer Tim Grams, #3 Silky Serena (4-1) won two stakes earlier at the distance for owner-trainer John McKee and merits respect in this spot. #2 Alpine Moon (5-1) won the latest prep for this event for trainer Russell Davis and seeks 16th victory in 49th career try.

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