PARX PICKS AND HORSES TO WATCH: Nov. 3

Notapradaprice
Notapradaprice won the 2019 G3 Dr. James Penny Memorial Stakes at Parx. Photo by RJ Umberger /EQUI-PHOTO.

Parx Racing has a 10-race card on tap for this afternoon. Post time for the opener is 12:55p.m., and we’ve got Parx picks.

Carryovers: None

Check out our other handicapping here!

RACE NUMBERCONTENDERSCOMMENTS
Race 75-3-4-8We’ll try for the mild upset in this starter allowance with #5 Le Petite Papillon (9-2). This miss won easily last out on the drop to $5,000 claiming company and now is stepping back into starter company in which she had thrown a couple of clunkers. But earlier this year, she was competitive with these sorts, winning and running second against starters, and in this field, she looks like the controlling speed. Watch for jockey Andy Hernandez to put her on the lead early and take ’em as far as they can… Morning line fave #3 Flashing Diamond (8-5) just missed against two-other-than rivals last time out and, despite an off-color race two back, generally is in good form and should contend today. Note that she did lose to our top choice back in July… #4 Charity Stripe (5-1), a late-running sort, should have a lot to do late in this one and may not have the pace she wants to do it, but she’s been running competitively against similar… #8 Li’lbitofcharm (4-1) has been in the exacta five straight including a win and two seconds against these types…
Race 95-7-3-1The question with morning line favorite #3 Admiral Abe (2-1) is the distance: the speedy Midshipman gelding tries hard and just about always gives a good account of himself, and if this race were at five or 5 1/2 furlongs, he’d be an easy pick. But he’s just 1-for-5 at six furlongs, and the last time he tried similar at the distance, he gacked up a two-length lead in the final furlong and finished third. He’ll be in front early, but we’ll try to beat him with a horse who has a perfect record at the trip: #5 Dontmesawithme (7-2). The Flint Stites trainee is 3-for-3 at the distance, two back easily besting similar. He was a pretty well-beaten third last out going seven panels, but we won’t sweat that too much; winner My Boy Tate returned to win a stake at Finger Lakes, and prior to that, he’d run a good second in the Tale of the Cat to Wondrwherecraigis, who since then has been first-past-the-post in back-to-back Grade 3 events… #7 Final Shot (5-1) won nicely last out at Monmouth and is showing a couple of pretty fast works in the interim… #1 Hopeful Treasure (4-1) is another who loves the distance, with five exacta finishes from six tries…

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