Tiz the Law
Tiz the Law won the Champagne Stakes at Belmont Park. Photo by NYRA.

Can Essential Quality keep the undefeated train on track? Will Rock Your World…umm… rock everyone’s world? Can any of the 50-1 shots make some noise?

We asked four top handicappers for their picks for today’s back-on-schedule Kentucky Derby. Their answers:

CapperDerby Bill WatsonNick HahnTed BlackJoe Aiello
1#15 Rock Your World#9 Hot Rod Charlie#17 Highly Motivated#15 Rock Your World
2#1 Known Agenda#15 Rock Your World#15 Rock Your World#1 Known Agenda
3#8 Medina Spirit#17 Highly Motivated#14 Essential Quality#14 Essential Quality
4#14 Essential Quality#14 Essential Quality#18 Super Stock#7 Mandaloun

Check out our Kentucky Derby horse-by-horse analysis, including video pps.

CONSENSUS: No love for the undefeated favorite Essential Quality; none of our ‘cappers has him better than third… Lots of love, on the other hand, for consensus top choice Rock Your World, who gets to backing him to win and two to place… Highly Motivated and Known Agenda both get a pair of ‘cappers tabbing them, with Highly Motivated’s one win pick giving him the nod… Call it Rock Your World-Highly Motivated-Essential Quality with Hot Rod Charlie or Known Agenda filling out the super.


  • Joe Aiello provides Saratoga selections for The Racing Biz.
  • Ted Black is a longtime racing correspondent who provides weekly Saturday Charles Town picks.
  • Nick Hahn is host of Off to the Races radio and writes the daily Nick’s Picks tip sheet for Colonial Downs racing.
  • Derby Bill Watson was the original on-air handicapper for Colonial Downs and is a regular on Off to the Races radio.

Music at the beginning is:

Monkeys Spinning Monkeys by Kevin MacLeod
Link: https://incompetech.filmmusic.io/song/4071-monkeys-spinning-monkeys
License: https://filmmusic.io/standard-license

Music at the end is:

Guts and Bourbon Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License