Gabby Gaudet’s got some thoughts on a Pick 3 play.
For todays’ big 12-race card at Laurel Park, Maryland racing analyst Gabby Gaudet shares her thoughts on a Pick 3, beginning with race 4.
[su_box title=”GABBY’S PICK 3 PLAY” style=”glass”]
- Race 4 – 2, 4, 6, 8
- Race 5 – 1, 2, 4, 7
- Race 6 – 1, 4, 9
- Ticket cost (0.50 unit) $24.00
GABBY’S RACING NOTES[su_list icon=”icon: check”].
- Race 4 –($25,000 maiden claimer for two-year-old fillies going 5 1/2 furlongs) Maiden claiming races for two-year-olds can be a little tought to figure at times — the favorite here, #2 Becky Kecki, is a lukewarm 3-1 — because so much of what you’re trying to handicap involves the intentions of the connections. Here, I think you have to respect the favorite, as well as couple of other horses that have run well against similar, #4 Street Miz (5-1) and #8 Destination Love (6-1). But I think the most interesting horse here is #6 Rise to the Top (5-1), a homebred Pioneerof the Nile filly for Zayat Stables making her career debut. Trainer Rudy Rodriguez ships her in from her Aqueduct base with plenty of workouts in preparation, and he doesn’t usually come to Laurel unless he’s intending to win. On the other hand, it’s an interesting move to ship a filly by one of the country’s hottest sires 200 miles to run in a claiming race.
- Race 5 — ($10,000 claimer for three-year-olds and up that have never won two races going one mile) These never-won-two races often have runners that are sort of chronically stuck in the condition, but that’s not the case here. Almost all of these are lightly raced enough that you can see them stepping forward to win here.
- Race 6 — (N1X allowance for fillies and mares three and up going 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf) I love #9 Lemon de Oro (7-2) in this spot. In her lone turf sprint, she was forced wide because another horse bolted out and so was completely compromised. She should be very fit for this spot in her third race off a layoff… My long shot play in there is #4 Pret Say Eye (20-1). She cuts back to her preferred sprint distance from a two-turn try, and she gets light weight with seven-pound apprentice Amelia Green. Last time she sprinted on the turf, she experienced trouble throughout but still hung on for a good 4th place finish.