Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

• RACES ON CARD: 8
• CARRYOVERS: Middle P5 (starts R3), $4,022; Middle P5 (starts R5), $40,113; Late P5 (starts R6), $5,594; P4 (starts R4), $3,667; P4 (starts R7), $7,728
• POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.

RACE 1

4. Ravi	First Mondays colt makes career bow for Pecoraro; trainer has a positive ROI debuting 2yo in maiden claiming company; this one has been working in company with #6, and both could be live
2. Williston Warrior	Has finished third in three straight and looks for breakthrough
7. Dancing Denae	Three-time runner-up gets hot-riding bug Hazlewood in the irons

RACE 2

5. Haileysfirstnotion	All this guy does is run good races and could kick off a nice DEL weekend for Gary Cap; plenty of early lick but doesn’t need the lead
1. Chipotle	Stellar year with five wins in six tries, and only off-color outing came in the Chick Lang; figures to gun for the lead leaving from the rail
3. Spikezone	So..umm… what do you make of this guy? Formerly possessed of tons of early foot, he refused altogether two back and was slow away in latest before running ’em all down; needs to get out of the gate in good order versus these

RACE 3

5. Jumping the Gun	Simoff-trained Gun Runner filly hasn’t done a thing wrong to date; likely to want more ground ultimately but that shouldn’t be a concern here in a race with plenty of early speed to aim at
7. Sweet Shenanigans	Solid graduation score and most likely survivor of the speed
1. Thirst for Hope	Even outing in the Blue Hen but gets blinkers on; the projected pace scenario might allow her to unleash late kick

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RACE 4

4. Onyx Ten	Trainer Capuano has a positive ROI off similar breaks; this miss is a stakes winner at the trip
1. Malibu Beauty	By far the most accomplished of these and a five-time winner at the trip, but most of her recent work has come around two turns; might get hooked early
6. Devil Pays in Gold	Has finished in the trifecta in eight straight and is a stone-cold sprinter

RACE 5

7. Major Offensive	Might be just enough pace in here to soften up #1 and give this guy the edge; ran a sneaky good race in most recent turf outing when staying on after being close to a wicked early pace and three wide
1. Arjay	Might be speed of the speed and could be tough to reel in if allowed to settle; put it all together when posting a dominant graduation win, though it’s worth noting none of eight to run back has won since
4. Great Composer	Unleashed late kick in latest when given a pace to run into

RACING NOTES

• Upsets were the order of the day Saturday as five horses paid more than $20 on a two-dollar win wager, including two that paid more than $50. See above for carryovers to today…
• Jockey Martin Chuan won twice Saturday, scoring on Group Ticket ($8.20) for leading trainer Jamie Ness and on Like a Dream ($9.60) for Keri Brion…
• Trainer Graham Motion, who won two stakes Saturday at Laurel, took the Rosenberger Memorial with Distant Winter ($4.20), who was an easy winner under Kevin Gomez. Bred in South Africa, Distant Winter is 2-for-3 in North America…
• Point Dume ($24.60) upset the DTHA Governors Day, setting rapid fractions under Angel Rodriguez and fending off all comers to win by three parts of a length. The four-year-old Into Mischief gelding is trained by Tim Kreiser…

RACE 6

6. Probably Dreaming	Miles the best in debut after stumbling start and wide journey; scratched out of the Dover but has worked four times since
4. Majestic Blue	Nothing wrong with his two starts, including runner-up outing in the Dover; shouldn’t be far off it at any point
7. Code of Silence	Willing try after slow break and wide trip in debut; plenty of upside

RACE 7

6. Magical Mondays	Willing try while widest in latest in toughest test to date; still on the improve
7. Stormy Flight	Good try in latest versus second-level allowance foes; won’t be far off what could be a zippy pace
4. Crabs N Beer	G3-placed runner didn’t miss by much in latest versus similar but has lost 11 straight on turf, albeit mostly versus better

RACE 8

9. Scar	Cleared to the lead before tiring late in first in seven months; tighter today and gets to sit behind speed
7. Kick Startness	Loves this trip and could be speed of the speed
4. H C Holiday	Pretty good account of himself when moving up the ladder

RACE 9

4. Eastbostonbenny	Formful sort has plenty of early foot and three wins in his last four on the dirt
10. Boat Song	Competitive versus these in latest and could sit a good trip off the speed
1. Hammer	Ran big in latest in a three-other-than at the Big T

RACE 10

9. Fontabelle	Gave solid account of herself in first versus winners and shortens up to winning distance again today; might be main speed, and trainer-jock combo over 40% at DEL
2. New Diamond	Don’t love losing at 2-5 but still didn’t run terribly; leading rider remains aboard
10. Hold On	Improving sort will look to run ’em down late