Nick’s Picks: Colonial Downs picks September 4, 2025
He’s probably the only public handicapper who’s ‘capped every race at Colonial Downs since Day One, and he’s back for more in 2025: Nick’s Picks returns with picks and analysis for every day of the Colonial meet.
- DATE/POST TIME: Sept. 4/12:30 p.m.
- RACES: 8
- CARRYOVERS: Pick 6, $3,744
- Play in our free handicapping contest Saturday featuring Colonial!
RACE 1
Virginia-restricted female $16k maiden claimers sprint on the turf, with one big newcomer shipping into familiar Colonial circles.
6. Hail No | One of the better finishes of the meet cost Woodberry’s filly a win. Not much left in the way after two near misses at $16k in the meet. |
5. Drifting | One question might be how much the speed gets pushed? Cruz’s filly may be the best known threat to Hail No. |
4. Big Earn | While the only unknown threat is Trombetta’s newcomer coming in from the Asmussen barn and has only seen turf once. |
RACE 2
Perhaps the shortest field of the meet is this first-level allowance/optional claiming six-furlong sprint on the dirt.
1. Village Person | Klesaris looks to stay undefeated with his Mucho Macho Man gelding, a potential three-peat with one Colonial win in the spring and one (to date) in the summer. |
4. Uncaptured Warrior | Joseph’s gelding has amassed six career wins in Florida and Minnesota. Had one at this level and distance to start the summer. |
5. Kirin | Missed by a nose in an allowance at this distance. Coming back to the distance and surface where he broke his maiden. |
RACE 3
In a $70k MSW turf sprint, the leading candidates are sent by trainers largely unaccustomed to Colonial this meet against many with solid starts at this level.
6. Virtuosity | Could the cutback by a half-furlong be to the detriment of Trombetta’s colt? Not likely as he appears ready for another step forward. |
7. Danner | The mile didn’t work out for Bailes’s new Omaha Beach gelding, but he showed some ability at Laurel with Toledo aboard. |
8. Rebel With a Clue | Ward starts his Irish-bred for the first time this year with Lopez aboard after running a solid race on the Gulfstream grass in December. |
RACE 4
Four of these starter/optional claimers have won two of their last three starts..
4. Rigel | A little uncertainity with the new jockey aboard, but this popular gelding has performed well switching riders and even trainers before. |
6. Class Photo | Lucky (no longer Longshot) Leanne Hester to win for the third time in this meet with a colt that also sees new riders in a rematch with Rigel. |
1. American Unity | The extra sixteenth may have been a bridge too far in his last start for Ness’s veteran making his Colonial bow in his 39th career start. |
RACE 5
Fillies and mares go a two-turn turf mile in a $50k maiden claiming race that features an interesting inside duel.
1. Dandy Vandy | Lopez and Sanchez basically switch mounts with Sanchez getting the call on a Saratoga ship-in for Ness that prefers a mile. |
2. Mambo Queen | Lopez takes the reigns from Sanchez on Trombetta’s Mendelssohn filly that should like the minor cutback and the lead. |
8. Hope Diamond | Centeno will be looking to the inside aboard Brion’s high-priced Authentic filly but stretches out and jumps a little in class. |
RACE 6
In a turf sprint, $16k claimers “nonwinners of two lifetime” feature two Capuano geldings with wins this summer and jockeys named Lopez.
9. Great Artist | A question remains about sprints but there is little doubt about running on the turf at this level. May prefer Colonial’s turf to Delaware. |
2. Mamba Mindset | It wouldn’t be the first time a trainer sweeps the exacta. Adding Paco aboard is a plus for the recent maiden breaker at Colonial. |
7. Paez | Though Paez has a win over Mamba Mindset early in the meet, that was on a wet-fast track that was pulled from the turf. |
NICK’S NOTES
- Picks continue below.
- A pair of jockeys won twice each on Wednesday. Jevian Toledo won a pair, aboard Night Time Nap ($5.40) for Brittany Russell and on Boujee Bubblez ($19.60) for Hugh McMahon…
- Also doubling up was Ubardo Casique, who won aboard Ihaveanappforthat ($42.40) and Blessings Bestowed ($4.80) both for Roland Clement, III…
- Leading trainer Michael Trombetta also won a pair, scoring with Maclean’s Rook ($10.00) and Souper Forces ($14.40)…
RACE 7
The pace of this distaff second-level allowance turf sprint leans toward early speed.
8. Cavalier Cupid | Colonial lover passed on a previous start to run today in her home venue. |
7. Top Gun Girl | After some recent attempts on dirt, Russell turns to Russell in the return to grass for this six-year-old journeyman mare, a pre-meet claim. |
1. Numero Seis | Sharp, getting reunited with Colonial, drops his Frosted mare for her Colonial debut off a layoff among other speedy combatants. |
RACE 8
An first allowance/optional $25k optional claimer for fillies and mares going a mile on the turf drew 11 to add value to the late double.
7. Cairo Street | A Claiming Crown qualifier returns to Colonial again, looking for her three-peat. Shortening to a mile shouldn’t be a factor. |
5. Quadra | Delacour’s filly ran the race we’ve been waiting for in her last start, a turf sprint win, but now returns to two turns for Audley Farm. |
6. Lady de Berry | Russell’s filly hopes to find the firmer going for the first time in 2025 and will find the shorter route to her advantage. |
Picture of the day
Cavalier
Cavalier Cupid, a two-time winner at Colonial Downs, took the 2021 Keswick Stakes over the strip and returns to action today. Horacio Karamanos will ride for trainer Sarah Nagle and Big Lick Farm.

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