Delaware Park picks and analysis: July 12, 2025 * The Racing Biz

Delaware Park picks and analysis: July 12, 2025

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

RACE 1

12. Map to the Moon	Finds lowest level for jock-trainer combo winning at a 24% clip with a positive ROI
5. Hold On	Wide journey in latest and kept on grinding after encoutering traffic issues in upper stretch; hopes for a cleaner trip here
2. Ruby River	Drops to bottom after good two-back try one step up and should be part of the early pace; makes third start in three weeks
6. Reece’s Drama	Improved outing in latest though DQed after cutting off a rival

RACE 2

4. Ginger Girl	Arrives in good form off two wins, including in second-level allowance, and plentiful tactical speed should make a good trip
2. Lovely Charm	Might head right to the front again
1. Concrete Faze	Reunited with rider Chuan, who won on her two back

RACE 3

3. A Shawtown Girl	First career two-turn try for a runner light on early speed sprinting; sire Lord Nelson can get a middle distance type of horse, and dam Smiles From Sadie got her only win at 1 1/16 miles
6. The Feisty One	OK tries
2. Ritz On Broadway	Trainer Compton is 3/16 bringing horses back off long layoffs

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RACE 4

4. Knock Knock	Stidham barn wins at a 19% clip, and this miss is by high-end sire Practical Joke
9. Ballykeefe	Full-sister to a pair of turf winners, including 3-time winner Juniper Juice
10. Tai Tai Rush	First foal out of an eight-time turf winner

RACE 5

2. Icing	First start since January and shifts into Schoenthal barn; on best she wins here and race flow could work to her advantage
3. Living Water	Formful Kravets claimback will be part of lively pace
6. Dance for Green	Has run well since coming into the Nazario barn in April

RACING NOTES

Jockey Jaime Rodriguez swept the last three races of the Friday card, winning aboard Military Road ($2.20), Spikezone ($3.00), and J D Factor ($2.60). The last two were for leading trainer Jamie Ness, while the first was aboard a ship-in for Miguel Clement…
With four odds-on winners in a five-race sequence, the late Pick 5 returned just $34.75 on a 50-cent wager…
J D Factor’s win was his third straight and came in the day’s featured allowance contest. He set a solid pace and drew away to win by over six lengths in 1:43.62 for 1 1/16 miles on dirt, originally scheduled for turf. He has five wins and over $230,000 in earnings from 21 starts…

RACE 6

4. Arjay	Cooked as part of a very fast pace in first turf route try; can improve in third off the bench
8. Shane Falco	Lands in better spot after setting a solid pace versus better last out
7. Kitten’s Ploy	Finds easier company

RACE 7

6. He’s in Charge	Tactical ability gives him a big shot to extend five-race win streak, all versus similar
7. Remembering Wilbur	Terrific effort in latest when holding off rivals despite being under siege every step of the way; good form now
4. The Wolfman	Veteran is 4-for-4 at the trip and probably speed of the speed; the question is if he’s still good enough to hold off the likes of #6

RACE 8

5. Afraidofthebunny	Keeps running pretty good races, including against solid groups last couple; might get a good trip breaking from the outside and with some speed inside him
3. Ournationonparade	Cooked when dueling with eventual winner St. Jude in rugged allowance heat in return from lengthy break; can improve off that and anything like his better form would win this
4. Sir Exton	Arrives on 3-race heater

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