Charles Town picks and analysis: January 11, 2025
The Biz- January 11, 2025
Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:
- DATE: January 26, 2025
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $4,253
- POST TIME: 7:00 p.m.
RACE 1
| 4. Diva’s Demon | Switches into Farrior barn (31% first off the claim at CT) after galloping to graduate; in a race surprisingly light on speed, might be controlling pace presence |
| 9. Christopher’sheart | First in the Frock barn off a couple of decent tries |
| 2. Salty Starkey | Graduated nicely in latest but no match for top choice two back |
RACE 2
| 5. Sparkleinyoureye | Second start off the bench for this Jones trainee; last couple are awful, but this mare isn’t that far removed from races that would win here, and might be an attractive price; trainer-jock combo has a positve ROI |
| 4. Dream Leader | First start since October for lightly raced Grams (19% off similar layoffs) trainee |
| 2. Pipe Dreamin | Need to forgive messy last outing, but there are reasons to do so: sloppy going, tough company may have been too much for her; can improve back in more congenial company |
RACE 3
| 10. Our Lady in Red | Sneaky good try in latest when hopping at the break, rushing up to the lead before tiring in late stages; clean break could put her in the winner’s circle |
| 9. Thundar Cloud | Never worse than third in six tries but just a middling try in latest as 4-5 choice; not quite enthralled enough to take likely short odds on top |
| 7. Heavenly Lady | Jockey Lewis jumps off top choice for this miss; trainer Brown with a positive ROI when horses in maiden claiming company switch into his barn |
RACE 4
| 7. Gran Andrews | 4-for-5 at the trip and 10-for-12 at CT, this veteran has won nine straight over the strip, all at this level; reunited with top pilot Bocachica |
| 5. Mark Did It | Formful sort arrives off an allowance win and was a solid second to top choice three back |
| 3. Gabriel’s Wing | Finished behind top choices four back and drops back into starter company after three middling allowance outings; Figgins barn looking for a bounceback year after uncharacteristic struggles in ’24 |
RACE 5
| 2. Rock of Ages | First-timer has win-early indicators: decent sire record with firsters (11%), solid work tab including a bullet 12/14 and solid gate move 1/3, and 2-of-4 sibs to race won on debut, while the other two finished in the money; trainer Contreras has a positive ROI with debut runners |
| 4. Talented Lino | Uncle Lino gelding is out of an 11-time winner and half to two first-out winners from two to race; trainer Grams had both, and they won their first outings by a combined 20 lengths |
| 9. T Rex Union | Has the experience edge and is moving in the right direction |
RACE 6
| 9. Hey Boots | Willing effort last out when bumped and forced to take back leaving the chute and then widest of all around the turn; cleaner trip probably yields a win |
| 7. Advance Cash | Will be running late in heat with plentiful speed; not that far removed from efforts that win with these |
| 3. Ellie’s Boyfriend | Nice-looking score in latest when wearing down Ship the Goods late; speedster will be in the early pace mix |
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RACE 7
| 1. Lil Miss Honkytonk | Nice-looking score last out after good try despite being fractious in gate on debut; runner-up from maiden score returned to be second a head versus special weight rivals |
| 5. Medallion of Ash | Won nicely at first asking and owns right to improve |
| 4. Crafty Candygram | Return to one-turn trip should aid the cause |
RACE 8
| 1. Peggy’s Way | Speed of the speed draws the rail and arrives off sharp score versus two-in-life company |
| 10. Shared Authority | Gets back to one-turn dash and more modest company; top pair from three-back effort entered that with seven and five wins |
| 3. Whiskey Wild | Consistent sort usually runs decently; caught razor-sharp Blue Trillion in latest |
LATEST NEWS
1.Frock may block Farrior’s stock.
2.Positive ROI is a useless stat,I’m “Pipe Dreamin” tonight.
3.I’ll go with Brown to take down “Thunder Cloud”.
4.It would be “Ridiculous” to go against Farrior here.
5.I’m told “Favorite Road” can carry the load,but Runco looks too tough.
6.I’ll “Advance Cash” to crash the Winners Circle and “Ship the Goods”.
7.”Lil Miss Honkytonk” is “Fill of Charm” but I sticks with “Candy Tricks”,
8.”Peggy’s Way” may hold sway tho I pick “Whiskey Wild” in a mild upset.
1.I’m forced to write yet again,2nd & 3rd pay turd.
2.See where the positive ROI gets ya?
3.”Thunder Cloud” was too loud,Lewis a little late.
4.Like money in the bank,”Ridiculous a little late
5.My tip at 28-1 got you a cold exacta for a nifty $51.60.
6.Gotta go back to the stash for more “Advance Cash”
7. “Candy Tricks”sticks around for the $12.40 place in dis race.
8.I’m off the sauce but on “Whiskey Wild” honey chile. 🙂
Charlie did keep me in the chips once again.