Charles Town picks and analysis: May 4, 2024

Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:

  • DATE: May 4, 2024
  • RACES ON CARD: 8
  • CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $4,452

RACE 1

5. Whiskey and WineLast dirt try, at the Spa, produced two next-out winners
1. Papa DonGood speed in last and draws the rail again
4. StayinyourlaneRan big in last going two turns; not sure cutback does him any favors

RACE 2

6. Yo VinnieMakes third start of the cycle and arrives off a dominant win versus lesser; bug boy Chavez rode both Runco trainees last out and lands here
3. Nickel NickelShould control the early pace
2. Captain CreedNever worse than second in three tries on off tracks and makes third start after a two-month vacation

RACE 3

5. SaffronWell-bred filly makes debut for McKee barn that’s been heating up of late (3-for-9 in the last 30 days)
2. Collected DreamsJockey and trainer both winless on the season, but nothing wrong with this miss’s first local outing
1. Debt ReliefMorning line fave is a bit of a ‘tweener — shows speed and fades going two turns, a bit outfooted going one

RACE 4

6. Lady RamboSharp graduation score has produced a next-out winner; drawn outside others with speed
1. ThelastsayDoesn’t need the lead but rail draw complicates the trip
5. Another Fine JubaSpeedy sort probably makes the front early

RACE 5

2. OzoneReturn to 2yo dirt form would make this one tough to handle in this spot
8. Triple BadHis two ’24 starts are just fine; draws outside post for third consecutive time
5. Hopping HenryMorning line fave drops from allowance company

RACE 6

6. Judy’s ArmyShould sit a good trip behind the speed
3. Cajun JoeShould make the lead but may be softened up for top choice to pounce
2. Z MystiqueViands barn enjoying productive season

RACE 7

2. Deco StrongLate-running sort a nose shy of #1 when they met in this one’s last
1. Lightnin RunnerFigures best in here after last-out stakes win but not sure we can live with the morning line price
4. Happy CloudsMakes season debut and shifts into Gillespie barn; won prior local start

RACE 8

4. Auburn MillShould control the early running; trainer Magee 31% at the track last five years
7. Mark Did ItCan’t fault this one’s form, though a cleaner break would aid the cause
1. TapioBetter effort than it looked in last; wet track a plus

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