Spa selections 2021: Saratoga picks August 11
Ginger N Rye won the 2017 Smart N Fancy Stakes at Saratoga. Photo by Chelsea Durand/NYRA.
by Joseph Aiello
In Spa Selections, Saratoga on-site correspondent Joseph Aiello provides Saratoga picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!
Race 3 – Evan Shipman Handicap
1. #2 Mr. Buff (7-5) – Not a great sign to lose by seventeen last time, but still the one with the best chance to wire this group and should win if he gets control early
2. #3 Sea Foam (4-1) – A strong record at Saratoga and good connection with Joel Rosario make this horse the next best here
3. #4 Three Jokers (7-2) – Not many others with enough upside to put over this colt who could be distance limited and unlikely to wire, but hung on last time at a mile and one sixteenth
Race 8 – OC 45000n2x
1. #4 Trinni Luck (7-2) – This filly has only had one poor career effort in four tries, and generally runs well in the stretch plus should like this distance
2. #2 Betsy Blue (9-5) – Probably the most likely, but may have been a beneficiary of some sloppy tracks recently, where she seems to run her best
3. #6 Honey Money (4-1) – On the contrary to Betsy Blue, this one has struggled in the slop and could be aiming for a front-running score if the track is dry here
Race 9 – Mahony Stakes
1. #8 Arrest Me Red (9-2) – Has won both turf sprint efforts and switches to the barn of Wesley Ward, this colt by Pioneerof the Nile should be ready off the layoff here
2. #3 Sky’s Not Falling (9-2) – Has some winning troubles, but the right closing style and possibly a bit better price than the morning line odds make this one worth playing
3. #1 Into the Sunrise (7-2) – Two for four at the distance and possesses enough speed here to hold off other front-end runners for a potential wire to wire effort
We provide full-card picks and analysis for this afternoon’s races at Laurel Park.
We provide picks and analysis for this evening’s card at Charles Town Races.
We’ve got Delaware Park picks and horses to watch for this afternoon’s racing program.