Maryland racing analyst Gabby Gaudet has thoughts on a Pick 3 and a longshot on this afternoon’s card at Pimlico!


Pimlico has a 50-cent All-Stakes Pick 3 beginning with race 8, which is the Primonetta Stakes.  Post time for the eighth is 4:26 p.m.

MJC analyst Gabby Gaudet will share her longshot and exotic plays with The Racing Biz each Saturday.  Photo courtesy of the Maryland Jockey Club.

MJC analyst Gabby Gaudet will share her longshot and exotic plays with The Racing Biz each Saturday. Photo courtesy of the Maryland Jockey Club.

Gabby’s Selections

  • Race 8 — 2, 3, 4, 8
  • Race 9 – 1, 4, 5, 6
  • Race 10 — 2, 4, 7
  • Wager cost: $24 ($0.50 unit)

Gabby says….

“These three stakes are all interesting races with plenty of ways to go and some live longshots.  The first is the Primonetta, a six-furlong race for older fillies and mares, and I have four of these.  #2 I’m Mom’s Favorite is the horse for the course, with two wins from two starts here, including last year’s Miss Preakness.  Her recent form isn’t as good, but I think that being back here might help to wake her up.  The speedy #3 Winning Image likes to win — 12 from 26 starts — and I think she might be able to outsprint everyone from the gate.  If she gets loose on the lead, she’ll be tough to run down.  #4 Do Somethin is the ‘now’ horse, having won three straight at Laurel.  She’s won 10 of 19, she can rate off the pace and then make a move, and she’s my top selection here.  I’m a little concerned about the last race for #8 She’s Ordained; she was the 3-10 favorite and should have galloped, but she didn’t even win, and I don’t feel like she had any great excuses.  I’m not tossing her, though, because her best efforts are certainly competitive here.

“The ninth is a one-mile turf stake, the Henry S. Clark, that’s been used as a prep for the Grade 2 Dixie on Preakness day.  I really like #1 Roadhog.  He’s just a really strong, really consistent horse who never seems to run a bad race.  Trainer Elizabeth Merryman does a good job getting horses ready off the layoff.  Breaking from the rail might be a minor problem, but I think this horse has the tactical speed to work out a trip.  I thought #4 Under Control’s last race, when he closed from far back to be third at Gulfstream in an allowance/optional claimer, was really good against a biased course, and he’s been keeping good company.  I think #6 Nutello is either going to run lights out — or he’s a toss.  I thought his effort in the Grade 1 Sword Dancer, his first in North America, was excellent, but his last two were awful.  He’ll appreciate the class relief, and I think you can’t leave him out of your multi-race tickets — but I also couldn’t back him to win at 5-2.

“In the 10th, the Federico Tesio — the last local prep for the Grade 1 Preakness — I think you have to respect #2 Oliver Zip.  He’s returning quickly, having run just two weeks ago, and that, coupled with his first try around two turns, gives me pause.  But I thought he ran great to be second in the Grade 3 Bayshore, and he showed, for the first time, the ability to rate off the pace.  I think #4 Joint Custody is a horse who keeps surprising, keeps running better than you expect him to.  In his last, the Private Terms, he rated off the pace nicely and moved to a clear lead.  But then it looked to me like he got a little bit distracted, like maybe he jumped a shadow or something.  He was a solid second, though, and trainer Jerry Robb liked what he saw enough to bring him here.  I thought the Private Terms was absolutely a fantastic race for #7 Kid Cruz, and a repeat of that effort would probably win this.  When he closed, he absolutely kicked into a new gear and just seemed to be floating over the track.  He’s had minor physical issues since, but I don’t think they’re here unless the horse is right, so those don’t worry me.


“In the ninth, the Henry S. Clark, my longshot play is #5 Super Chunky.  I love him in this spot. I don’t fault his last at Tampa, which, at 1 1/8 miles, was probably too long for him.  I think the one-mile distance of today’s race will be perfect for him, he’s got plenty of speed to get into a good position, and at 15-1, I think he’s worth a shot here.

“Good luck!”

(Featured image, of Ben’s Cat, by Laurie Asseo.)