Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 17?

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Laurel Park are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider or trainer with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 14 race cards. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 25 qualifying jockeys and 16 qualifying trainers.


Here are the top Laurel Park jockeys from the last 30 days:

NameStartsWin Pct.ITM Pct.ROIComposite score
Hernandez Jorge F1217%25%777%514
Monterrey Richard1030%30%129%155
Concepcion Axel1828%44%92%137
Lyapustina Tais1520%40%59%106
Rivera Jr Luis R3418%38%54%100
Rodriguez Jaime7527%65%8%96
Ortiz Yomar Orlando2524%32%20%85
Gomez Kevin2715%48%9%75

NOTES This week’s composite scores range from 428 down to 1. The median is 55… Hernandez, rider of a 100-1 winner, continues at the top but is getting limited opportunities to ride… Youngsters Axel Concepcion and Luis Rivera, Jr. are both making an impression with positive ROIs (meaning that a bet on all of their mounts would have netted you a profit) and solid win percentages… Other riders not in the top third by composite score that have positive ROIs are J. D. Acosta (composite: 67), with an ROI of +27%, and Jean Briceno (composite: 57), whose ROI is right at break-even…


Here are the top Laurel Park trainers from the last 30 days:

NameStartsWin Pct.ITM Pct.ROIComposite score
Serey Jr Mario1817%33%577%378
Sanchez-Salomon R3135%55%121%157
Ness Jamie4529%80%27%110
Farrior Anthony2421%67%45%107
Magee Kieron2129%62%-3%87
Russell Brittany T3132%71%-17%86
Smith Hamilton A1822%56%3%80

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 378 to 18; the median score is 69.5… Mario Serey has won three races int the last 30 days, at odds of 10-1, 101-1, and 6-1… Jamie Ness led the colony with 13 wins in the last 30 days, while Rudy Sanchez-Salomon’s 35% win rate was tops among qualifying trainers; Ness’s horses finished in the money a remarkable 80% of the time… The only trainer not in this top group to have a positive ROI is Jose Corrales, whose runners produced an ROI of +17%; his composite score was 66…