Charles Town: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 16? * The Racing Biz

Charles Town: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 16?

The Biz
March 16, 2023

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Charles Town are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 30 days. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 28 qualifying jockeys and 13 qualifying trainers.

JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top CT jockeys from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Rodriguez Victor	47	13%	26%	59%	95
Ramgeet Andre R	29	10%	24%	45%	82
Mendez Marshall	69	25%	54%	-5%	67
Nunez Juan Mauricio	19	11%	26%	14%	61
Ho Wesley	21	19%	52%	-14%	56
Bocachica Arnaldo	52	29%	65%	-30%	55
Peltroche Fredy	40	10%	48%	-11%	50
Latchman Reshawn	47	17%	47%	-21%	47
Lopez Carlos Eduardo	44	16%	48%	-23%	46
Rivera Javier	17	6%	18%	2%	46

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying jockeys range from 95 to -22; the median is 17.5… With ROIs of +59% and +45%, Victor Rodriguez and Andre Ramgeet top the list of who’s hot… Marshall Mendez led the colony in starts and wins; his 17 wins are two more than Arnaldo Bocachica managed… Rodriguez and Ramgeet, along with Juan Mauricio Nunez (+14%) and Javier Rivera (+2%) were the only riders with positive wagering ROIs in the last 30 days, meaning a bettor betting on every horse that rider rode would have had a net profit during the period… Bocachica led the colony in win percentage and percentage of horses in the money during the period…

TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top CT trainers from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Lucas Anthony	13	15%	46%	231%	213
Jones Jr Michael E	23	26%	57%	-23%	64
Contreras Javier	23	17%	52%	-10%	62
Figgins III Ollie L	13	31%	54%	-40%	56
Farrior Anthony	50	24%	64%	-41%	53
Petty Kristy	20	15%	45%	-34%	43

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 213 to 0; the median score is 23… Anthony Farrior’s 12 wins (from 50 starts) lead all local trainers the last 30 days… Anthony Lucas has two wins in the last 30 days, and they went off at 30-1 and 11-1, powering his gaudy +231% ROI and propelling him to the top of the list… Ollie Figgins won with four of his 13 starters the last month… Lucas was the only qualifying trainer with a positive wagering ROI… Just off the list, because she only made nine starts in the 30 day-period, is another trainer on major hot streak: Kristy Gazzier, who has won with five of nine starters with a +418% ROI…