Laurel Park: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Mar. 9?
The Biz- March 9, 2023
For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Laurel Park are hot right now?
The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).
The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider or trainer with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.
To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 14 race cards. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.
Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 26 qualifying jockeys and 21 qualifying trainers.
JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS
Here are the top Laurel Park jockeys from the last 30 days:
| Name | Starts | Win Pct. | ITM Pct. | ROI | Composite score |
| Hernandez Jorge F | 15 | 20% | 27% | 621% | 428 |
| Gomez Kevin | 29 | 24% | 55% | 67% | 122 |
| Monterrey Richard | 20 | 20% | 25% | 93% | 120 |
| Lyapustina Tais | 12 | 17% | 33% | 66% | 104 |
| Rodriguez Jaime | 72 | 26% | 68% | -11% | 85 |
| Ortiz Yomar Orlando | 27 | 22% | 41% | 11% | 81 |
| Concepcion Axel | 10 | 20% | 50% | 2% | 78 |
| Briceno Jean Gregor | 16 | 13% | 38% | 15% | 72 |
| Perez Xavier | 30 | 20% | 63% | -19% | 71 |
| Rivera Jr Luis R | 24 | 13% | 33% | 18% | 71 |
NOTES This week’s composite scores range from 428 down to -3. The median is 60.5…Hernandez continues at the top in large part because of his extremely high ROI, generated by a 100-1 winner a couple of weeks ago… With two more wins March 4, Richard Monterrey is putting together a sneaky-good season; the same goes for Kevin Gomez, who won twice at Laurel last weekend and added the Society Hill Stakes at Parx on March 6… No rider with at least 10 starts other than several of those listed here generated a positive wagering ROI… Jeiron Barbosa (composite score: 56) led all riders with 76 starts during the period, while Jaime Rodriguez won 19, most wins of any rider… Rodriguez has finished in the money more often than any other rider…
TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS
Here are the top Laurel Park trainers from the last 30 days:
| Name | Starts | Win Pct. | ITM Pct. | ROI | Composite score |
| Serey Jr Mario | 22 | 14% | 18% | 472% | 311 |
| Sepulveda Carlos M | 10 | 20% | 40% | 166% | 160 |
| Farrior Anthony | 22 | 27% | 68% | 98% | 142 |
| Sanchez-Salomon R | 38 | 29% | 47% | 82% | 126 |
| Ness Jamie | 45 | 27% | 76% | 19% | 102 |
| Smith Hamilton A | 16 | 25% | 63% | 16% | 93 |
| Corrales Jose | 26 | 15% | 38% | 49% | 91 |
NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 311to 1; the median score is 71… Mario Serey trains Rascally Rebel, the horse Hernandez rode to a 100-1 upset, and is atop the list though shut out last week… Jamie Ness’s runners made 45 starts in the last 14 cards, most of any trainer, and his 12 wins were also the most, one more than Rudy Sanchez-Salomon… Jerry Robb is just outside the top group with a composite of 87, which includes being in the money 77% of the time in the last 14 cards… Michael Gorham (composite: 74) is the only trainer not in the top group with a positive ROI…
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