Charles Town: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Feb. 22? * The Racing Biz

Charles Town: Which jockeys and trainers are hot Feb. 22?

The Biz
February 22, 2023

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Charles Town are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 30 days. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 23 qualifying jockeys and 15 qualifying trainers.

JOCKEYS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top CT jockeys from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Baez Jan M	38	13%	26%	147%	157
Batista Luis Angel	16	6%	38%	69%	101
Latchman Reshawn	51	29%	65%	31%	99
Hiraldo Christian	46	7%	43%	59%	96
Peltroche Fredy	42	10%	36%	42%	84
Acosta J D	26	15%	46%	33%	84
Cecil Kim	12	17%	33%	35%	83
Lopez Carlos Eduardo	42	19%	48%	19%	78

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying jockeys range from 157 to -24; the median is 58… The leading rider in wins the last 30 days among all jocks Arnaldo Bocachica with 19, four more than Reshawn Latchman, who leads qualifying jocks with a 29% strike rate… Boca’s composite score is 58 for the last 30 days… Jan Baez leads all riders with a +157% ROI; his only winner last week paid $31… Fredy Peltroche and Kim Cecil are new to the top eight this week; Bocachica and Javier Rivera slide out this week… Marshall Mendez, Victor Rodriguez, and Wesley Ho, all with scores between 64 and 69, and the former two having positive ROIs the last 30 days, are just outside the top group…

TRAINERS ON HOT STREAKS

Here are the top CT trainers from the last 30 days:

Name	Starts	Win Pct.	ITM Pct.	ROI	Composite score
Contreras Javier	21	29%	48%	52%	111
Shanley Timothy	12	17%	33%	60%	100
Figgins III Ollie L	18	28%	56%	19%	92
Petty Kristy	15	20%	53%	19%	84
Ramosagosto Miguel	11	27%	45%	-3%	73
Jones Jr Michael E	23	17%	48%	-23%	53

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 111 to -5; the median score is 39… Anthony Farrior continues to win in bunches, 15 times in the last 30 days, six more than his nearest competitor, Jeff Runco. Farrior’s composite score is 38… Runco’s composite of 44 leaves him just outside the top six… The lone newcomer to the top six is Miguel Ramasoagosto, who won with three of 11 starters and had a nearly break-even ROI. He replaces Farrior… Mike Jones, Jr. led last week’s list… The four leading trainers were the only ones to record positive wagering ROIs in the last month…