Charles Town: Which jockeys and trainers are hot?

For bettors, finding jockeys and trainers on a hot streak can be a huge advantage. Which jockeys and trainers at Charles Town are hot right now?

The metric we devised takes into account win percentage, percentage of in-the-money finishes, and wagering return on investment (i.e., if you’d bet on all of the jockey’s or trainer’s horses, how would you have done financially?).

The most heavily weighted of the three is wagering ROI, so a rider/trainer who is doing well in that category will generally score well even if their other elements aren’t great. But we included the other elements because a) a rider with a high strike rate and a high ROI is the best bet of all and b) they also go to whether a rider/trainer is usable in exotics. Of course, many other factors are also critical in constructing wagers.

To put the focus on the “who’s hot” element, we have included data only from the last 30 days. What’s more, to minimize small-sample-size problems that could significantly affect the list, we have included only those riders and trainers who have made more than 10 starts in the last 30 days.

Limiting the list to those with more than 10 starts leaves us with 24 qualifying jockeys and 17 qualifying trainers.


Here are the top CT jockeys from the last 30 days:

NameStartsWin Pct.ITM Pct.ROIComposite score
Hiraldo Christian4813%46%154%169
Baez Jan M3913%26%125%142
Batista Luis Angel1513%47%98%130
Acosta J D2715%44%24%77
Lopez Carlos Eduardo4918%51%14%74
Rivera Javier1619%25%25%74
Bocachica Arnaldo7233%58%-10%70
Latchman Reshawn6324%52%2%70

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying jockeys range from 169 to -25; the median is 45… As has typically been the case, Arnaldo Bocachica has a strong lead in wins, and for a rider with as many mounts — and as many favorites — as he has, his -10% wagering ROI is solid… If you’d bet on all of Christian Hiraldo’s and Jan Baez’s horses to date, you’d have more than doubled your money, and the same is nearly true for Luis Batista… Marshall Mendez is just off the list with a composite score of 69, which includes a +12% ROI…


Here are the top CT trainers from the last 30 days:

NameStartsWin Pct.ITM Pct.ROIComposite score
Jones Jr Michael E2218%50%55%104
Petty Kristy1520%47%38%94
Figgins III Ollie L1625%44%22%87
Shanley Timothy1513%33%28%76
Contreras Javier2119%43%-20%54
Farrior Anthony7827%50%-39%52

NOTES The composite scores of all qualifying trainers range from 104 to -2; the median score is 43… Anthony Farrior has a long lead in wins (21) and starts (78)… Had you bet on all the horses sent out by the top four trainers by composite score, you’d have made good money, as all have an ROI of at least +22%. They are the only trainers with positive ROIs in the last 30 days… Farrior leads with a 27% strike rate, while Jeff Runco’s ITM rate is 59%…