Timonium picks 2022: GQ Approach September 5

Longtime handicapper Gary Quill got his ‘capping start at Timonium, and he returns once again this year with the GQ Approach, providing Timonium picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the Maryland State Fair.

Where’s the value? When do you eat the chalk, and when do you take a stand against it? And, hey, where’s the corn dog stand? Nobody knows Timonium better than Gary!

Race 1

  1. #2 – Axxerator (3-1): Race condition is for non-winners of 3 races OR 3-year-olds; this one is 3 with 3 wins on his resume     
  2. #5 – Knowhowiknow (6-5): Lookie here, another 3-year-old who has been to the Winners Circle FOUR times  
  3. #3 – Golden Avieator (4-1): Jock R. Mena comes in from Del for only mount on this speedy son of a… Strong Hope dam

Race 2

  1. #6 – Miss Fussy Pants (4-1): This gal seems to have been aptly named as she was a handful prior to her most recent start which cost her when it came time to race; tough today  
  2. #2 – Need a Marker (8-5): MD-bred first-time starter by local sire Mosler; trainer J. Robb has a barn full of quality runners  
  3. #5 – Galactic Tide (9-5): Hard-luck loser who went toe-2-toe with Saratoga shipper last weekend, much the second best    

Race 3

  1. #2 – Jackie A (6-1): Appears to be a plethora of early speed in this event while this one begins his rally passing ferris wheel   
  2. #5 – Free Square(5-2): Only runner in this event to have made three trips to the Winners Circle; overmatched at Toga   
  3. #8 – Brother Conway (9-2): Broke maiden at bottom level but continues to get better with each outing; waters get deeper                    

Race 4

  1. #2 – Read the Spec(6-1): $ Price Play $ Somewhere in the fairgrounds trainer Dale Capuano is crying, “WHY?! We just got the GQ Kiss-of-Death… again!”. Yesterday this 2 y.o. was my pick but scratched out of an easier spot as the co-choice per 3-1 ML; so today in a tougher spot we might get better odds; makes racing debut following a nice, extensive work pattern and his dam has produced 4 others who have all crossed the Finish Line first early in their careers. Sorry Dale.
  2. #10 – Barzini (5-2): Saratoga shippers not surprisingly have done well at The Big T; this MD-bred was 3rd up there in debut but speed figure was nothing special; adds blinkers    
  3. #9 – Feeling Woozy (10-1): This is ol’ GQ’s Hunch Play of the Day because the past few days been dealing with a bit of Vertigo, which I can now safely blame for all of my losing opinions this weekend; the runner is a son of Irish War Cry making his racing debut following a plethora of nice works

Race 5

  1. #4 – Lost Weekend (2-1): MD-bred son of top sire Great Notion shows a nice work pattern including two bullets (fastest work for that day and distance) both from the gate             
  2. #5 – Island d’Lite (7-2): Trainer/Jockey combo is a good one (34% win pct. In the past year) for this KY-breds career debut         
  3. #6 – Silver Patron (6-1): PA-bred sired by Blofeld whose runners typically take a liking to Big T bull ring makes debut

Race 6

  1. #8 – Fuhgeddaboudit (9-5): This one is for all my friends in NY, both of them; this gal scratched on Saturday to go here      
  2. #5 – Polish Cookie (15-1): Aptly named as her dam’s name is Chrusciki which is Polish for “cookie”; got to Winners Circle in latest effort, her 22nd start; maybe she finally gets it?      
  3. #4 – Loving Cup (6-1): She’s yet to lose on dirt because all 4 career races have been on turf; steps up in class after claim       

Race 7

  1. #4 – Zabracadabra (5-2): * BEST BET * Short field of five (before any scratches) and this one appears to be lone speed
  2. #2 – Ain’t Da Beer Cold (2-1): Thanks to the resurgence of our Bawlamer Oreos, fond memories of Timonium resident Chuck Thompson ring true today with this hard trying gelding who can challenge top pick or stalk if needed                
  3. #5 – Bustoff (7-2): Faced a salty group in first race after 5-month layoff and wasn’t up to the task; usually bounces back in race following a clunker; jock in irons wants riding title            

Race 8

  1. #3 – Callyourightback (4-5): Let’s wrap up the 2022 Big T meet with a bang by touting a prohibitive favorite who is 0 for 20… oh boy! Last Sunday the runner who he finished 10 lengths behind came back on Saturday to win impressively   
  2. #2 – Baltimore Winning (6-1): If a runner named Baltimore Bud can win at The Big T (which he did last weekend), then why not another sired by Baltimore Bob? New barn magic?                     
  3. #4 – Casa Grande (6-1): Draw a line through his last two races which were on the turf; the extra distance should help this gelding who has been slow into stride in all 6 starts