Timonium picks 2022: GQ Approach September 4

Longtime handicapper Gary Quill got his ‘capping start at Timonium, and he returns once again this year with the GQ Approach, providing Timonium picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the Maryland State Fair.

Where’s the value? When do you eat the chalk, and when do you take a stand against it? And, hey, where’s the corn dog stand? Nobody knows Timonium better than Gary!

Race 1

  1. #3 – To the Front (4-5): Which is typically not his running style (his name) but w/ Carlos Lopez in the irons, he might be      
  2. #4 – Zorb (7-2): Has flashed early speed but not the kind #5 displayed in his last start; just hope for an alert start   
  3. #5 – The Cairo Kid (7-2): Just 7 days ago earned 5-figures for a 4-furlong breeze as no rivals were up to the task in his first outing at The Big T; likely left enough in the tank for today  

Race 2

  1. #2 – Kozy’s Wildcat (1-1): Enjoying the Chalk City tip sheet yet? After this race, the prices will come, whether I tout them or not This cat has faced much better lately; jock/trainer combo good                  
  2. #5 – Erawan (7-2): Gonna be tough to get a “W” as this colt is used to getting out of 2nd gear when this event distance ends  
  3. #3 – Aftermath (7-2): Ran to his (7-1) odds in first start after trainer B. Brooks claim at this level but rivals today are weaker 

Race 3

  1. #1 – Untouched Elegance (5-1): $ LONGSHOT $ Much the second best in solid effort at Del with jock who only wins at a 5% clip but will make Big T maiden voyage from tough post   
  2. #5 – Checotah(6-5): Was so impressive in winning here last Sunday, why not run it back? Jock J. Barbosa stays aboard  
  3. #3 – Lookingforanewspot (4-1): 9-year-old mare has quite a resume’ (77: 19-14-9), won last time she took a similar break                     

Race 4

  1. #1 – She’s a Tripp (3-1): An 0-for-14 maiden who has PLACEd or SHOWed in half of her starts; these types usually continue to disappoint; last seen 2 months ago at Lrl losing by a neck  
  2. #6 – Kobe’s Girl (7-5): Here’s another who seeks diploma in 16th career start; seems to prefer a wet track (3:0-1-2) but that’s doubtful today; best chance is going gate-to-wire       
  3. #2 – Ellarouge (30-1): Lone 4 y.o. v. 3’s has been on the shelf since last Nov.; jock A. Delgado rode a winner on Friday at age 57, today he’s a day removed from his 58th birthday; if I were a betting man, he tries to take this one to the lead    

Race 5

  1. #5 – Assembly Point (3-1): Could turn out to be a prudent claim for trainer R. Sillaman as this gelding has back class         
  2. #3 – Our Hoisted Mast (3-1): Aggressive bug rider takes the reins on this one for first time and will try to lead at every pole        
  3. #2 – R Tenderoni (10-1): Also saddled by Sillaman, these gals (both filly and jock) take on the boys as they did in latest which resulted in a runner-up effort; steps up in class today

Race 6

  1. #2 – Mavilus (4-1): A rousing endorsement as jock J. Ruiz who hasn’t had a mount at The Big T thus far comes in to ride two for trainer C. Mancilla but this one is why he’s here… IMHO      
  2. #5 – Acadian Girl (9-5): Exits a brief 2-month layoff while trying for a natural Hat Trick; has met the #2 and #6 multiple times w/ mixed results but has gotten better of both lately       
  3. #6 – Breviary (8-5): Just 8 days ago prevailed in the only stakes race at The Big T as 10-1 longshot; question the quick turnaround but in July she ran back in 9 days to win handily     

Race 7

  1. #2 – Read the Spec (3-1): * BEST BET * Yikes! Somewhere in the fairgrounds trainer D. Capuano is crying, “WHY?! We just got the GQ Kiss-of-Death!”; this 2 y.o. makes racing debut following a nice, extensive work pattern and his dam has produced 4 others who have all crossed the Finish Line first
  2. #1 – Smart and Fast (3-1): Tough rail post but with 3 prior races, this Congrats colt should show early speed w/ blinkers            
  3. #9 – Hope He’s Fast (5-2): Trainer J. Robb’s barn is loaded w/ quality runners; must respect this 1st-time starter w/ X-Man             

Race 8

  1. Small field of 5 but could make an excuse for liking any of them; returns from 3-month layoff which has reenergized him in the past; only one to win at 6½    
  2. #1 – Alwaysinahurry (7-2): Should be able to sit a nice, rail   stalking trip behind #3 and #4; if good enough could prevail    
  3. #5 – Youngest of Five (3-1): This 6 y.o. is desperately seeking (not Susan) but his back class; may try to contest early lead  

Race 9

  1. #2 – Mejoramiga (5-2): Your decision on this gal should be based on how Kobe’s Girl ran in 4thrace today; if bad, pass 
  2. #3 – Way Lucky (7-2): Been competing v. better but on the turf; small barn had only start of meet run 2nd; gets good jock
  3. #6 – Toussaud’s Ransom (6-1): 5 y.o. has maturity edge but belongs on turf; gets class relief, hustling to lead would help