Timonium picks 2022: GQ Approach September 3

Longtime handicapper Gary Quill got his ‘capping start at Timonium, and he returns once again this year with the GQ Approach, providing Timonium picks and analysis for every day of live racing at the Maryland State Fair.

Where’s the value? When do you eat the chalk, and when do you take a stand against it? And, hey, where’s the corn dog stand? Nobody knows Timonium better than Gary!

Race 1

  1. #3 – Grass Cutter (5-1): Sent off as lukewarm PT favorite in debut at Lrl last month but never picked up her hooves; still the 4f split was 6-lengths better than #1 and #5 latest outing       
  2. #6 – Unrelenting Love (2-1): Very successful trainer B. Russell (24%) saddled a $25.20 debut winner here yesterday but ol’ GQ is a Doubting Thomas with this one, why in for $10k?   
  3. #4 – Spyentist (8-1): When ya take a stand against the other 3 in here, you land on this FTS whose trainer in past 3 years has won with 3 of 8 maiden claimers on debut w/ +4.25 ROI

Race 2

  1. #5 – Sommer Velvet (6-5): Beaten favorite and claimed out of latest go-round in the mud at Lrl v. similar foes; has the edge in early speed to sprint away for a gate-to-wire victory                  
  2. #2 – Honor Your Mother (7-2): Draw a line thru this filly’s last outing on Del grass; returns to preferred surface and distance   
  3. #1 – Shiny Penny (3-1): This 3-year-old holds at least one advantage over these fillies, she’s won 3 times v. others 2 or 1 

Race 3 

  1. #1 – Valiant Gabe (7-2): Adds Lasix (anti-bleeder med) for first time in 7th career start; could provide gate-2-wire “W”     
  2. #4 – Bliss This (1-1): The way favorites have been going down the drain during this meet, here’s a vulnerable one IMHO 
  3. #2 – Dynamite Duke (12-1): Took a 3-month vacation after he finished 27 behind the winner but that was v much better                   

Race 4 

  1. #4 – Pray for the U S A (5-2): A little bird told me this one was ‘live’ last Sunday here but only managed PLACE; redemption?       
  2. #2 – Ashara (2-1): Failing to win a race in her first 13 starts, trainer C. Doran adds blinkers today, could be winning move    
  3. #3 – Silver’s Girl (6-1): This speedy filly stumbled when exiting the gate in last start; has a shot with a clean break  

Race 5 

  1. #4 – Amicalola Falls (2-1): This honest running gelding always gives 110% but second career win continues to elude him 
  2. #2 – Highland Dream (7-2): Made short work of his foes here on Sunday when easily earning diploma at bottom maiden ranks; wheels right back for trainer M. Serey who claimed him 
  3. #5 – Big Daddy D R (6-5): Another whose most recent outing was his maiden winner; some handicappers believe in the “Lightbulb Theory” i.e. horse finally understands his/her job 

Race 6 

  1. #4 – Maythehorsebwithu (6-1): Star Wars fans will put a few bucks on this one; trainer J. Ness reclaimed him for the second time after last effort which is a ringing endorsement      
  2. #5 – Rapid Response (5-1): 2nd start after trainer A. Farrior claim at a level lower; failed as PT fav. in latest v similar 2day  
  3. #2 – Royal Thunder (9-2): Gets rematch with #6 (ML fav.) as roles are reversed after this one offered a no excuse 4th place     

Race 7 

  1. #3 – Hello Rosie Say (2-1): * BEST BET *Fits this condition “like a glove!” (re: Ace Ventura); gets stalking trip for “W”            
  2. #4 – Emma and I (9-5): Seems to be lone speed but when ol’ GQ thinks that will be the case, a jock on another decides today is the day to run fast early, thus creating a speed duel 
  3. #5 – Miss Moreno (3-1): She’s a perfect 1-for-1 at The Big T and not too shabby when running on a fast, dirt oval (3-for-7)            

Race 8 

  1. #4 – I’m Gittin There (10-1): $ LONGSHOT $ Call me crazy because I’ve been called worse; see a lot of early speed in here and this gal has a late kick good enough to pass’em all  
  2. #3 – A Girl Named Jac (4-1): Been testing her talent on the turf sprinting in last three outings w/o a “W”, in fact hasn’t visited the Winners Circle in last 13 starts; today’s the day?                 
  3. #1– Red Queen (6-1): Beaten favorite in the slop at CT in first start since trainer A. Farrior claim in KY (CD); she actually ran behind KY Oaks victor Secret Oath… 22-lengths behind her      

Race 9   

  1. #4 – I Once Stood Alone (5-2): Been away from races for a little over 2-months; never took to Pid’s synthetic surface but showed dirt ability in debut at Parx; like the 5f A.M. drill         
  2. #2 – Preacher Amos (9-2): Lone start came 4+ months ago at GP which doesn’t look like much of an effort but was quick from gate and splits were faster than in here can get close to         
  3. #3 – Brewsinski (10-1): After a pair of turf tries at Colonial Downs resulted in finishing ahead of just 3 rivals, it’s time to give dirt a shot after all morning workouts at Lrl are on dirt 

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