PARX PICKS AND ANALYSIS: May 11

Math Wizard
Math Wizard was along in time to upset the 2019 Grade 1, $1 million Pennsylvania Derby. Photo by Allison Janezic.

Parx Racing has an 11-race card this afternoon, and Joe Parisi is on board to handicap. Post time is 12:55 p.m. Good luck!

Carryovers: Jackpot Pick 5, $13,833

Note: Joe likes multi-race wagers, so horses in these may be considered for doubles and Pick 3s, in particular.

RACE 1

  • #2 Digging for Gold (6-1): Had trouble on the far turn in last. Can win with a trouble-free trip.
  • #4 Charlies Safari (9-5): Has been improving every race and now dropping down a level after dueling last time.
  • #6 A Gray for Carolyn (3-1): Aqueduct shipper has been facing better in New York and had good speed figures.
    • PICK 4 WAGER (the following wagers are meant to cover a range of possibilities while putting more money behind those considered most likely):
    • $2 P4:    2/5/2/1
    • $1 P4:    4,6/5/2/1    2/1,3/2/1    2/5/1,8/1    2/5/2/2,6
    • $0.50:    4,6/1,3/2/1    4,6/5/1,8/1    4,6/5/2/2,6    2/1,3/1,8/1    2/1,3/2/2,6     2/5/1,8/2,6
    • Total Bet: $22.00

RACE 2

  • #5 Vinny Dream (5-2): Keeps improving as a 3-year-old and still has not run his best.
  • #1 Lavery (3-1): Gulfstream shipper trying Parx for the first time. Has speed figures to compete with these.
  • #3 Boy Who Cried Wolf (5-1): Won for fun in his first start, and if he can repeat that race, he will be a threat again.

RACE 3

  • #2 Russian Runner (4-1): No horses have run close to par this year. Seems like a good spot for a first-time starter.
  • #1 Big Time Operator (12-1): Showed some early speed before fading last out. Drop may help put him in contention.
  • #8 Reigning Champion (3-1): Has had several decent races at Md 25000. Will compete with these.

RACE 4

  • #1 Knokke by the Sea (6-1): Made a late bid last time but got blocked in the stretch. Can win with a better trip.
  • #6 Green Growth (5-2):  Good win with a decent figure last time. In good form.
  • #2 Bronxville (9-2): Very wide trip last time. Will be in the mix if he runs back the March 4 race.

RACE 5

  • #3 Bob’s My Uncle (6-1): This 9-year-old still has some gas in the tank and should compete for the win here.
  • #7 Hitmewthurbestshot (3-1): Dropping down for this race and speed figures say he will be a strong contender. Kate DeMasi good after a layoff.
  • #2 Flashy Kyem (4-1): Very consistent and should be in the trifecta if he runs his normal race and last is thrown out.
    • PICK 4 WAGER (the following wagers are meant to cover a range of possibilities while putting more money behind those considered most likely):
    • $2 P4:    3/6/5/4  
    • $1 P4:    2,7/6/5/4    3/3,7/5/4    3/6/3,6/4    3/6/5/1,5   
    • $0.50:    2,7/3,7/5/4    2,7/6/3,6/4    2,7/6/5/1,5    3/3,7/3,6/4    3/3,7/5/1,5    3/6/3,6/1,5  
    • Total Bet: $22

RACE 6

  • #6 Le Weekend (9-5): Got caught in a duel last time. May go wire to wire against this field.
  • #7 Gypsy Janie (3-1): Has faced tough competition and not disgraced himself. 9 wins in 33 starts.
  • #3 Li’lbito’charm (6-1): In good form. Fits well with these.

RACE 7

  • #5 Mass Appeal (6-1): Has run evenly lately but likely to be decent odds and can beat these on any given day.
  • #3 Kid Mac Cool (15-1): Needs some others to have early speed to make a closing run and may get it in this race.
  • #6 Wushu Warrior (5-2): Has a good shot here if last is thrown out.

RACE 8

  • #4 Precious (5-2): Very strong effort last time and a repeat of that race should win this.
  • #1 Trolley Ride (5-1): Second after long layoff but and if she can return to last year’s form she will be right in the mix.
  • #5 Dilly Dilly Philly (6-1): Always give a good effort and should get a piece of the exotics here.
    • PICK 4 WAGER (the following wagers are meant to cover a range of possibilities while putting more money behind those considered most likely):
    • $2 P4:    4/3/5/10     
    • $1 P4:     1,5/3/5/10    4/1,5/5/10    4/3/7,8/10    4/3/5/8,9
    • $0.50:    1,5/1,5/5/10    1,5/3/7,8/10    1,5/3/5/8,9    4/1,5/7,8/10    4/1,5/5/8,9    4/3/7,8/8,9
    • Total Bet: $22

RACE 9

  • #3 Exogen (4-1): Has been facing stiff competition and been holding his own. The one to beat.
  • #5 Double Doink (5-1): Has been facing lesser competition but ascending speed figures look promising.
  • #1 Did I Stutter (9-2): Winner of 4 in a row is in excellent form.

RACE 10

  • #5 Dalton (3-1): Always gives a game effort and can win here if he runs his best.
  • #7 Spectatorless (6-1): Ran very well in his maiden race. Then tried graded stakes and turf where he did not fare well. Back to his preferred surface today.
  • #8 Exculpatory (5-1): Game effort after a slow start in debut. Fits well with these.

RACE 11

  • #10 Majestic Jazz (3-1): Should be able to get the lead with this group of horses and if he does will be tough to catch.
  • #9 West Fork (6-1): Decent races in last two. Any improvement on that run will put him in contention.
  • #8 Inky Dinky Do (15-1): Back down to the level where he should be able to compete.

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