PARX PICKS AND ANALYSIS: MARCH 31

Math Wizard
Math Wizard was along in time to upset the 2019 Grade 1, $1 million Pennsylvania Derby. Photo by Allison Janezic.

Parx Racing has an 11-race card this afternoon, and Joe Parisi is on board to handicap. Post time is 12:55 p.m. Good luck!

Carryovers: None

Note: Joe likes multi-race wagers, so horses in these may be considered for doubles and Pick 3s, in particular.

RACE 1

  • #1A Cape May Ferry (5-2): DQ’d last time but still ran a good race. A repeat of that effort will win this.
  • #3 West Fork (5-1): Made a late gain last time on the rail. Any improvement on that run will put him in contention.
  • #6 The Italian (8-5): Has been running well recently. Should be in contention.
  • PICK 4 WAGER (the following wagers are meant to cover a range of possibilities while putting more money behind those considered most likely):
    • $2.50 P4: 1/3/1/7
    • $1.00 P4: 3,6/3/1/7,   1/8/1/7,  1/3/6/7,  1/3/1/5,8
    • $0.50 P4:  3,6/8/1/7,   3,6/3/6/7,  3,6/3/1/5,8,  1/8/6/7,   1/8/1/5,8,   1/3/6/5,8,   1/3/3/7
    • Total: $15

RACE 2

  • #3 Savatiano (6-1): Keeps improving every race. May run a big one today.
  • #8 Call Fitzroy (3-1): Has been running well lately and may make it two in a row if he can break well.
  • #7 Spaceman (9-1): Moving down in company. Best back speed figures.

RACE 3

  • #1 Mija Bella (8-5): Has better speed figures than the others here, Should be able to handle these.
  • #6 Towson (20-1): Has some early speed.  Won at this level in September. Has speed if she keeps her head in the game.
  • #3 Anissa (3-1): Very bad start last time. If she gets off better this time she will be competitive here.

RACE 4

  • #7 Thrilling Baby (6-1): Bad first start at Woodbine in November on synthetic. Now in the competent hands of Linder and horse has solid pedigree with first time Lasix.
  • #5 Wham Bam Shrimp (7-2): Solid pedigree and nice workout pattern.
  • #8 Shetalkstomuch (5-1): Decent try in last. If the first time starters don’t fire she has a shot.

RACE 5

  • #1 Tonka Flower (9-5): Has been running against tougher. Should be able to beat this group.
  • #4 Aced (5-1): Consistent runner dropping back down to a level where he won before.
  • #2 Federal Case (10-1): Second back after impressive win. May be able to step up to next level and win again.

RACE 6

  • #3 I’m Not Joking (8-5): Best class in the field and decent speed figures make her the top choice.
  • #1 Oceano Rosso (6-1): Best early speed makes this mare a threat.
  • #2 Enigmatica (6-1): Other speed horse could fill out the trifecta.

RACE 7

  • #5 Strong Breeze (6-1): Abrams seems to have a good feeling for this horse’s ability. He does well bringing back horses from a layoff.
  • #2 True Boldness (7-2): Good speed figures and fits well with these.
  • #7 Ninetyeightoctane (9-2): Ninetyeightoctane. Nuff said.

RACE 8

  • #1 Incite (8-5): Very competitive last time under these conditions.
  • #7 Strawberry Red (6-1): Dull in last effort after only an eight-day gap between races. Should do better this time with an eight-week break. Good workout on 24 March.
  • #5 Wise Jude (7-2): Fits well here. Second try at restricted from open company.

RACE 9

  • #1A Lula’s Roadrunner (8-5): This filly held her own in open optional claiming races, now returning to restricted company, which will help her effort
  • #1 Rolls Royce Joyce (8-5): Speed figures are superior to others in this field but often settles for the place spot.
  • #7 Misquillo (6-1): Will be in the picture if she runs her best.

RACE 10

  • #5 Bird King (9-5): More early speed in this race than last and pressing style should help him here.
  • #6 Rock on Luke (2-1): Wired the field under same conditions last time. This time he may have company from Gold Rush Dancer.
  • #3 Deal Driven (5-1): Will be up with the leaders running early again and should figure into the trifecta.

RACE 11

  • #1 Mission Oberon (6-1): Keeps dropping in class. Speed figures say he might have found the right level.
  • #2 Shandian (9-2): Nice win last time and he could win again at the next condition
  • #10 Royal Coup (6-1): Was overmatched last time out. May have found a level where he can be competitive.

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