PARX PICKS AND ANALYSIS: MARCH 30

Math Wizard
Math Wizard was along in time to upset the 2019 Grade 1, $1 million Pennsylvania Derby. Photo by Allison Janezic.

Parx Racing has an 11-race card this afternoon, and Joe Parisi is on board to handicap. Post time is 12:55 p.m. Good luck!

Carryovers: None

Note: Joe likes multi-race wagers, so horses in these may be considered for doubles and Pick 3s, in particular.

RACE 1

  • #3 Irish Colonel (9-2): 8-year-old ran well after layoff last time and another 90-day freshening may have done him well.
  • #7 La Waun (3-1): Has been running very consistently since the move to Parx
  • #6 Pitching Ari (8-1): Should improve in second try of 4-year-old season after being freshened.
    • PICK 4 WAGER (the following wagers are meant to cover a range of possibilities while putting more money behind those considered most likely):
      • $2.50 P4: 3/6/1/5
      • $1.50 P4: 7/6/1/5,  3/7/1/5,  3/6/2/5,  3/6/1/7
      • $1.00 P4: 7/7/1/5.  7/6/2/5, 7/6/1/7, 3/7/2/5, 3/7/1/7, 3/6/2/7, 6/6/1/5, 3/5/1/5, 3/6/1/2
      • Total $17.50

RACE 2

  • #6 Nikkis Kitten (4-1): First time at this level. Others here have had many chances and failed.
  • #7 Fashion Nova (6-1): Raced greenly and went wide last time. Should improve today
  • #5 Page Eleven (7-2): Has run second often at this level. Weak field should leave him in top three again.

RACE 3

  • #1 Mr. Roundtree (7-2): Very consistent and will be running late.
  • #2 Mr Thrifty (2-1): Last two were bad but may improve with Pennington back up.

RACE 4

  • #5 Oak Creek Canyon (2-1): Second race at this level since shipping to Parx. First with new trainer and may show improvement.
  • #7 Almost Evil (7-2): Only one with any early speed in the race makes her a possibility.
  • #2 Wanna Be Regal (5-1): If this 7-year-old maiden ever wins it might be against this bunch.

RACE 5

  • #5 Don’t Make It Easy (5-2): Just qualified for this condition and dropping to lowest level he has competed at in some time.
  • #7 Hey Jabber Jaw (4-1): Most consistent horse in the race, usually gives a good effort.
  • #6 Pharaoh’s City (9-2): Has run well at this condition before. Will be competitive if he can run a figure like last time.

RACE 6

  • #2 Kristi’s Copilot (5-1): Back to a one-turn sprint, which he seems to prefer. Can win if he gets back to his December form.
  • #4 Bob’s My Uncle (6-1): Although he ran poorly last time it was a game effort two back. This 9-year-old still has some gas in the tank.

RACE 7

  • #8 Lookingforanewspot (5-1): Came back from layoff in good form. A repeat of last effort should be enough to handle these.
  • #4 Prospective Belle (4-1}: Betancourt does well on first after claim and this horse won at this level in December.

RACE 8

  • #6 Commissioner Dave (7-2): It appears he might be able to handle 12 furlongs. Ran second at this distance before.
  • #5 Lookin At Roses (4-1): Another horse who looks like he might still be running in the stretch of this marathon.
  • #2 O’Kram (9-5): Good speed figures but 1 1/2-mile distance is a question mark.

RACE 9

  • #9 Strawberry Red (10-1): Dull in last effort after only an eight day gap between races. Should do better this time with an eight-week break. Good workout on 24 March.
  • #5 Monteleone (3-1): Consistent recent top speed figures and will be running late.
  • #8 Flashy Kyem (4-1): Very consistent and should be in the Trifecta if he runs his normal race.

RACE 10

  • #1A Wentz (7-2): Closed late on a real tough horse in Breezy Gust last time. Has a very good shot against this field
  • #6 Mount Travers (5-1): Usually puts in a competitive effort and no reason for that to not continue today.
  • #7 Optic Way (4-1): Front-running style and competitive speed figures make him dangerous.

RACE 11

  • #3 Lorden’s Love (4-1): Only speed in here and a fast workout on 17 March. Dangerous if she gets clear early.
  • #8 Sweet Blame (8-1): Has been dull since the claim but now returning to the level where she won in November.

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