Laurel Park picks and ponderings December 21, 2019

by | Dec 21, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Anna's Bandit

Anna’s Bandit. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

In which we pick the races from Laurel Park each day…

Post time: 12:25 p.m.

Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — None; Super High 5 — $2,253; Late Pick 5 — None

Notable: Trainer Graham Motion (Security Breach, race 9) wins 22% of the time with horses making their second career starts in maiden special weight company at Laurel.



  • 1-5-3-6
  • Morning line favorite #1 Lawn Boy (4-5) ought to be a handful on the three-level drop to the bottom here in a race that seems to be his for the taking; three of four to run back from his last – when he didn’t run badly to be fourth – won their follow-ups… First start in 20ish months for #5 Me Darlin Chessie (7-2), who has a couple of not-too-bad tries in his background; also marks the first local start in nearly three months for jockey Katie Davis, who’s made one start since the end of September, a second-place finish yesterday at the Big A…


  • 7-8-5-3
  • Top choice #7 Shak’s Hidden Gem (3-1) lands in the right spot two starts after a good try versus better and makes third outing in Potts barn… #8 Gallanor (5-2) was a decent second last time out but none of three to run back has finished in the money…


  • 6-8-7-4
  • Good try last time out by #6 Talented Dr. B (7-2), who won the speed duel but could not contain the late run of Mike the Tiger while remaining well clear of the rest… Look for an improved effort from #8 Spiritus (15-1), who ran on willingly in the lane while under a hand ride; the added ground won’t hurt, either… Favored #7 Coffee Please (2-1) certainly fits here but has failed two straight at this level as the chalk, including last time at 3-5…



  • 5-3-7-6
  • Contessa shippers don’t have a ton of success at Laurel (11% strike rate in the last five years) and usually are overbet ($0.78 ROI), but we’re thinking #5 Invest (6-1) has a chance to score and offer some value; the NY-bred son of Super Saver cost a ton of money at auction – $240k – and now can be yours for the low price of $16,000; his last two aren’t great, but he has better efforts to run back to and makes his third start off a four-month break today; he gets blinkers on and will be relieved not to see any runners like last-out winner El Hermano, who won again in his follow-up while recording a 97 Beyer fig… #3 Junior Senator (5-1) graduated last time out and lands in the right spot for his follow-up one claiming level down; runner-up Galerio came back to be runner-up against better yesterday…


  • 3-1-6-8
  • Last time out #3 Last Chukker (5-1) ran a pretty OK race at this $10,000 level; the added furlong he’ll get here works to his advantage, and note that trainer Sanchez-Salomon will leg up Pimentel today; those two are 6-for-12 together in the last couple years… #1 Nick Papagiorgio (3-1) chased a loose leader last time to no avail and fits here… #6 Charging Lion (15-1) and #8 Sapphire Shilling (5-2) both have won more than the two prior wins permitted horses in this race (they slip in as 3-year-olds), and the former should appreciate the class relief he’ll get today after butting heads against much better…


  • 6-9-8-10
  • Her last was poor, but it was also on the lawn, so we’ll forgive #6 Khalos Vision (7-2) for that one; like to see new trainer Capuano keep her at this level even though she’s out of jail, and he 6-for-23 with maidens first time off the claim… The O’Dwyer-trained favorite #9 Rockin Anna Rollin (5-2) is likely to have something to say about the outcome today and showed much-improved early zip last time in her second career start… Inclined to give #10 Always a Queen (10-1) one more crack; her debut wasn’t bad at all, but in her next two she was pulled up and eased; in a new barn with six weeks between races, maybe she can get back to her debut form…



  • 7-8-6-4
  • Here’s a stat: trainer Anthony Farrior wins 26% of the time with horses making their second starts after he claimed them, and he’s 3-for-6 when he stretches those horses out from sprints to routes, all of which augurs well for #7 Earned It (4-1), who rallied a little bit into third last time out at a similar level… The Lacey Gaudet-trained #8 Whole Lotta Luck (9-2) beat similar two back, when Gaudet claimed him, gets blinks on, and finds a softer spot here than in his last… Gonna give one more crack to #6 Super Buddy (15-1), who improved a bit last time sprinting, makes his third start off a break, and has some prior tries good enough to win here…


  • 8-2-7-4
  • The talented #8 My Star Potential (5-2) romped in a-other-than company last out and catches a manageable group for her first foray into second-level allowance company and first try beyond six furlongs (this one is seven); it’s the latter fact that worries us just a touch, but she looks likely to be speed of the speed here and finished up nicely last time… #2 Caramel Cream (4-1) won nicely last time out at Parx and can move forward in her third start after a six-month layoff… #7 Turkmenistan (8-1) arrives in pretty good form with second- and third-place finishes at this level in her last two, and note that two-back winner Vault came back to win the Thirty Eight Go Go Stakes at Laurel…


  • 2-6-4-3
  • Decent debut for #2 Security Breach (2-1), who ran fourth, beaten a couple by impressive debut winner Mine Not Mine, who subsequently ran a rallying fourth in the Maryland Juvenile Futurity and then was sold for $210,000 at auction; expected second-race improvemen should suffice here… Trying to spice things up a bit with second-timer #6 Dreams of Yvonne (12-1), who was involved early in his debut at Churchill before fading from the scene…


About The Author

Frank Vespe

Frank Vespe, the founder and publisher of The Racing Biz, has owned, bought, sold, claimed, written, and talked about horses, in varying combinations, for a decade. Email him at [email protected] or follow him on twitter @TheRacingBiz.

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