The GQ Approach – Laurel November 17

by | Nov 17, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 0 comments

Photo by Dottie Miller.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel for the live fall racing meet, Post Time 12:25pm EST including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: none
  • Super High 5: $2,036.15
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – $2 Double  4 w/ 1, 2, 3, 5 ($8)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5 2, 6, 11 w/ 3, 5, 9 w/ 2, 6 w/ 1, 5 w/ 2, 4 ($36)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 1, 5 w/ 2, 4 ($8)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 3: #3 – Factor It In (8-5)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 6: #5 – Onemoregreattime (6-1)

 Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy ; high mid-40s
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST

First Race Post Time 12:25pm EDT

Race 1 

  1. #4 – Ready to Run (5-2): Lrl dirt oval has been kind to early speed along the rail and there’s no doubt who will get the first call and A. Cintron will immediately head to the golden rail to try an nurse this one along as on a “fair playing track”, he gets leg-weary late     
  2. #3 – Baptize the Boy (9-5): Second race after trainer C. Gonzalez $25k claim, stretched out to a mile showing early speed then threw out the anchor in the lane; comes back to back to sprint 
  3. #5 – Cool Man Cletus (4-1): 3-year-old can’t quite shake Seconditis (17:1-8-4) with only win coming at The Big T this year; last three versus winners have been promising that he warrants a look   

Race 2 

  1. #3 – Justwaveandsmile (4-1): Love the work tab of this gelded son of Secret Circle out of an Officer mare) for trainer D. Capuano (30% with first-time starters); has been getting hustled in the A.M. and finsihed prep work from the gate        
  2. #5 – Tapping the Glass (3-1): Got a valuable education in debut when tardy leaving the gate but showed late interest to earn SHOW purse behind as top two came back to win next outing          
  3. #4 – Toy (5-2): Dark Hollow Farm home-bred had to break from the dreaded rail in debut but handled himself well getting position in mid-pack, then made a sustained run through the stretch; with a better post today, expect an improvement           

Race 3 

  1. #3 – Factor It In (8-5): *** BEST BET *** Been quick from the gate entire eight-race career and has built stamina of late going 6 1/2 furlongs at Parx, though weakening late, he only needs to go 6 furlongs here; only entry on the Lrl card for trainer John Servis who has enjoyed getting to Winners Circle 26% of the time with J. Vargas, Jr. in the irons 
  2. #5 – Time Flies By (4-1): Is void of eaarly speed so will be hoping for a pace meltdown; just missed in latest for same condition and distance s today 
  3. #6 – Brush Country (7-2): Bel-based and NYRA raced 3-year-old for trainer T. Morley seeks an easier group in MD but may find the Land of Pleasant Living isn’t the easy pickin’s of years past; just 1 for 14 on a fast track 

Race 4 

  1. #2 – Bahama Babe (6-1): Fifth career start, first on dirt and second with blinkers as best effort to date was in debut when she was a bridesmaid by a neck trainer K. Breen won the Smart Halo yesterday with lone entry on Lrl card, goes for a Double with this gal     
  2. #6 – Takechargmatriarch (2-1): Could go off as the betting choice for fourth consecutive start for three different trainers; had excuses in the two prior to missing by a neck in latest, her first start for the A. Farrior barn 
  3. #3 – Paloma Gris (12-1): Adds blinkers after racing to her fourth third-place finish in as many career starts; Prx-based runner makes Lrl debut  

Race 5 

  1. #6 – Gold Man (5-1): Based on his last two races, one might think this 10-year-old gelding has lost his edge, but he’s tossed in some chunkers in the past plus both of those came on the Pen oval; trainer T. Kreiser does the right thing by dropping down a couple levels 
  2. #11 – Cort’n Asong (4-1): One of two in here with early speed; has heart of a lion with 12 victories from 39 career starts; took $6,250 claimers gate-to-wire in last two at Del; has back class to beat these at the $8k open level 
  3. #2 – Big City Blues (5-1): Huge drop in class after this gelding stopped on a dime 16 days ago in first race after 9-month layoff; are you willing to believe all is well  That trainer L. Gaudet and fiance’/rider J. Rosado are trying to steal a win and be eligible for $8k Starters for the next two years? Hmmm   

Race 6 

  1. #5 – Onemoregreattime (6-1): $$$ Longshot Play $$$ Faced a tough group of sprinters in the MD Million Sprint Hcp, not getting the cleanest of starts, made a middle move then flattened out in mid-stretch, while jock X. Perez saved this 4-year-old Great Notion gelding to fight another day… which is today  
  2. #3 – Cinderela El Chrome (4-1): Owner – Robert Cole, Jr. + Trainer – Kevin Patterson + Jovkey Arnoldo Bocachica = Laurel Winners CIrcle photo 51% of their tries BUT this one is hurting that gawdy figure by going 0 for 4 since entering Patterson’s barn 
  3. #9 – Bustoff (4-1): Goes for seventh consecutive victory after winning just one in his first 13 career races; has earned career best, eye-popping 90+ Brisnet#s in last three starts, after trainer H. McMahon $16k claim 

 Race 7 

  1. #2 – Omni Diva (3-1): First-time starter by Awesome Again out of a Smart Strike mare shows an extensive work tab, finishing up with a bullet from the gate; trainer M. Reid does well with 2-year-olds and will give a leg up to go-to rider J. Correa  
  2. #2 – Princess Adira (7-5): Twice a bridesmaid in as many starts in her young career; has show late foot rather than early speed which could hamper her chances to graduate; gets experienced rider switch in A. Cintron as J. Correa goes with our top pick here
  3. #7 – Sudden Brilliance (6-1): Nearly pulled off a sudden victory in debut with a game effort on the grass missing by a nostril; this daughter of Blame should have no problem putting in a top effort on dirt   

Race 8 

  1. #5 – Sir Orinoco (8-5): Loves Lrl dirt oval (27:7-5-2) and this distance (6 wins from 18 starts); 7-year-old might be in best condition of his career having been part of the Exacta in his last six starts while he goes for a natural Hat Trick today   
  2. #1 – Cozy Lover (7-2): Consistent runner always picks up a check; 12 wins from 37 starts but 0 for 4 on Lrl dirt; trainer C. Gonzalez seems loyal to riders regardless of where they call home as R. Rosado makes the trip in just to ride this one  
  3. #2 – Daily News (5-2): Been a while since this 7-year-old visited the Winners Circle but gives 110% effort at this high level; runer-up to top pick in latest as third-place finisher caame back to win next outing  

Race 9

  1. #4 – Hard Rock Blues (2-1): Away since May but been working in the A.M. in earnest for come back; last dirt try came here versus a level higher, crossed the wire first but was DQ’d to second   
  2. #2 – Bee’snbee’s (3-1): A big caution flag should be waving on this filly as she exited a 5-month layoff, dropping multiple class level, was chilly on the baord (17-1) and finished 14-lengths behind winner, beating no one… yet this capper cannot confidently endorse any other  
  3. #5 – Simmard Shenanigan (9-5): First start after trainer R. D’Angelo’s claim for $5k; seems to find trouble in every race but hits the board 7 times in twelve dirt starts; change of scenery may help get him second career victory