The GQ Approach – Timonium August 23

by | Aug 23, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 3 comments

Timonium

Photo by The Racing Biz.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Timonium for the Maryland State Fair racing meet, Post Time 1:05pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: none
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – $2 DOUBLE  3, 4 w/ 2, 5, 7 ($12)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5 1, 4, 7 w/ 3, 6, 7 w/ 1, 3 w/ 1,  5 w/ 8, 9 ($36)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 1, 5 w/ 3, 8, 9 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 8: #5 – Lion Lord (3-1)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 9: #8 – Defend the Bay (6-1)

 Analysis

  • Weather: Cloudy with showers; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: No turf at The Big T
  • Projected track conditions: Main – GOOD/SLOPPY

First Race Post Time 1:05pm EDT

Race 1 

  1. #3 – Tracy With a Y (4-1): Just 1 for 13 lifetime but 1 for 1 on dirt; w/ 9 mounts today, appears X-Man’s goal may be the riding title  
  2. #4 – The Mason Factor (8-1): Solid at this level sprinting on Lrl dirt; has pedigree to handle added distance       
  3. #6 – Road to Oz (2-1): Trainer K. Magee wins at 35% on similar class drop; third start after layoff & gets 30% jock in E. Gonzalez        

Race 2 

  1. #7 – Perfectlyintune (3-1): Makes third career start which could be a charm as she clocked best early speed figs in first two compared to today’s foes   
  2. #5 – Oya (6-1): 3-yr-old daughter by El Padrino makes debut; nice string of 4f works; only mount for jock A. Rodriguez       
  3. #2 – More Better (2-1): Third start after 14-month layoff; cut back in distance and drop in class could be formula for a Win        

Race 3 

  1. #3 – Unkiss Me (9-2): Away since May when runner-up v. $10kN2L; 2 back led through first two calls at CD going 6f then tired in same condition    
  2. #1 – General Fund (4-1): Used to bull-ring as all 6 previous starts were at CT as that venues leading jock comes to ride; rail helps     
  3. #4 – Nightmare (9-5): 0 for last 12 but gets class relief; lone win was at 5½f; turf-to-dirt angle; has shown speed on fast  dirt    

Race 4

  1. #9 – Heningham (4-1): Suspicious steep drop for this MD/home-bred filly who tends to run on late; just s start since last  Nov.     
  2. #4 – Towson (6-1): Lone win came here last year in gate-to-wire fashion; first start after leading MD trainer C. Gonzalez claim   
  3. #7 – Two Step Sis (5-1): Owns best last race Brisnet speed fig of this crew, a career best which she’s improved upon in last three efforts     

Race 5 

  1. #1 – School Song (6-1): More career starts (11) than his 6 foes have combined; earns diploma with quick start & rail trip    
  2. #7 – Baravelli (7-5): Jock/trainer combo winning at 27% clip the past year; been on the shelf since Jan. with just 2 works of late   
  3. #4 – John’s Promise (7-2): First-time starter whose half-siblings are multi-race, dirt sprint winners; trainer is 20% w/ debut Maiden Claimers      

Race 6 

  1. #6 – Emelina (7-2): 9-yr-old been strictly turfin’ at Lrl this year; makes third career start here, won and was runner-up in ‘14  
  2. #7 – Glotonasa (8-1): CT based runner, trainer and jock looking to go back-to-back; will be part of hot-early pace
  3. #3 – Gingeresk (5-1): Away since Dec. but has off-the-pace running style which bodes well in this contest filled with early speed      

 Race 7 

  1. #1 – Giggling (3-1): Quick from the gate in debut on Lrl lawn but tired in the stretch; trainer C. Lynch wins 20% with runners second career start    
  2. #3 – Papparoxy (7-2):This gray daughter by The Big Beast boasts bullet drill for debut; dam won when sprinting and so have siblings; gate-to-wire threat; jock/trainer 12 for 25 past year   
  3. #9 – Rapidashqueen (7-2): Sent off 2.40-1 in debut, chased very fast fractions early then tired; cuts back in distance and adds blinkers for trainer J. Robb    

Race 8 

  1. #5 – Lion Lord (4-1): *** BEST BET *** Won v. $16k Open Claimers in first outing after trainer R. D’Angelo claim; today’s foes been competing in conditional races       
  2. #1 – Hanalei’s Houdini (9-5): Honest running colt has never failed to hit-the-board (3:1-1-1) at this distance on dirt v. tougher      
  3. #6 – Coach Adams (10-1): Winless in ’19 but loves this distance (14:3-1-5); gets pilot upgrade in G. Almodovar who does well at The Big T    

 Race 9 

  1. #8 – Defend the Bay (6-1): $ LONGSHOT $ Second best but DQ’d two races back in dirt sprint; lacked stamina going one mile in latest
  2. #9 – El Rojo (7-2): Owner/trainer combo did well here in ’18; first time on dirt since March (5 races back) when getting SHOW purse v. better
  3. #3 – Giant Viking (5-1): Third start after layoff often gets positive results; multi-class level drop from last dirt outing three races back