The GQ Approach – Laurel June 2

by | Jun 2, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 0 comments

Photo by Dottie Miller.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel for the live summer racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $2,215
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – 50 cent Pick-3 1, 5 w/ 4, 6, 7 w/ 3, 6 ($6)
  • Race 5 – 20 cent Pick-5 3, 6, 8 w/ 5, 6, 7 w/ 2, 5, 7 w/ 3, 6, 8 w/ 1, 4 ($81)
  • Race 9 – $2 Double 3, 6, 8 w/ 1, 4 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 4: #6 – Bullets Child (9-5)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 5: #3 – Boundary Pass (4-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy; highs in the 80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 2nd, 5th, 6th, 8th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #5 – Dear Charlotte (7-5): Insane that a 2 for 32 runner is such a short ML favorite but just look at the rest; improved her speed figures in both outings since trainer D. Capuano claim 
  2. #1 – Yours to Keep (9-5): Loves the Lrl main oval (8:2-2-1) and this one-mile distance (3:1-2-0); toss her lone turf try and this 3 y.o. filly ran admirably first-time v. her elders going a 1/16th further
  3. #6 – Leighla (7-2): Only runner coming off second lifetime win (first on dirt) in latest which came v. $6250N2L at Del where the competition isn’t what it used to be but ran with better N2L here   

Race 2 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Wolverette (5-2): Blinkers come off in 20th career start, fourth consecutive one with leading rider T. McCarthy aboard who hasn’t been able to make the difference and help this filly break her maiden
  2. #6 – Avocado (7-2): Holy Guacamole’! This 3-year-old ships in from NY for trainer R. Rodriguez on the drop while being able to boast career best turf Brisnet# of this bunch
  3. #4 – She’s Divine (3-1): Lone entry on the card for trainer T. Proctor who returns to Lrl after spending the winter trying to break maiden at FG three times without hitting the board; fourth in latest as winner and Show finisher came back to win

Race 3

  1. #3 – Dan’s Girl (2-1): Speed of the speed couldn’t last in latest, settling for runner-up spot at Prx v. Alw12500s in first start after trainer M. Pino $16k claim; winner in lone Lrl outing came 2 1/2 years ago
  2. #6 – Gloria’s Gal (8-1): Missed by a nose to the #2 in here while getting the better of the #8 which came four-months ago in restricted Alw and first start after trainer H. Walters $5k claim; possesses tactical speed to take advantage of potential pace meltdown
  3. #4 – Silly Factor (9-5): Runner-up as 1-5 favorite going two-turns in latest to a next out winner; cuts back to sprint which is more to her liking (5:3-0-1)

Race 4

  1. #6 – Bullets Child (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Just third career start which comes off maiden win over $50kMCL group back in January for trainer D. Dilodovico who spots his runners well after initial win, as they have repeated at a 25% clip in the past few years  
  2. #7 – Forthegreatergood (6-1): Only other 4 y.o. in this contest besides top pick makes third start after layoff; 0 for 5 on dirt but nearly went gate-to-wire off the bench
  3. #5 – Three Phase (7-2): Game 3 y.o. who has faced elders twice before (2nd & 3rd); though just 1 for 14 has been part of Trifecta in last 13 efforts

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Boundary Pass (4-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ No much of a price but card looks pretty chalky IMHO; lukewarm beaten favorite may like firmer footing which he should get today IF the t’storms hold off; versatile running style gives jock J. Toledo pace options
  2. #8 – Mutaraabit (6-1): It’s a mystery to this Capper why it took this 5 y.o. Shadwell Stable home-bred until his 7th/latest race to get on turf which was a winning effort; though only v. $25MCL he’s bred to like the grass and should improve off that one
  3. #6 – Jo’s Bold Cat (7-2): Ugh! 1 for 25 and once again proved why in latest when getting the lead late only to get surprised at the wire when blinkers came off; third start after claim & layoff today

Race 6 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Oldies But Goodies (5-2): Should be able to get a nice stalking trip behind a pair of speedsters; will relish getting the extra half furlong of real estate back on Lrl lawn (2:1-1-0)
  2. #5 – Clever Triad (9-2): Has had minor excuses in the two outings this year in minor stakes; picks up H. Karamanos who is 2 for 9 with trainer A. Merryman; 90 turf Brisnet# tied w/ top pick for best in this field for this distance
  3. #7 – Eastern Bay (4-1): So much for rider loyalty as 7 lb. bug was listed on both #5 and this one in early PPs and he spurns trainer who gave him the opportunity to shine; off track form (7:5-0-0) hasn’t translated to turf yet (2:0-1-0)

Race 7

  1. #2 – Gnarly Mo (8-5): Got an education in his debut when off slow and green but natural ability kicked in the last two furlongs to finish nicely; trainer R. Jenkins quickly gives son of Uncle Mo more real estate to run 
  2. #7 – Creative Budgeting (9-2): MD-bred from trainer T. Pletcher barn makes third trip to the Land of Pleasant Living in search of diploma; second best when beaten 1-2 favorite on stretch out to two turns 
  3. #5 – Tapito (4-1): FTS by Tapit out of a Distinctive Cat mare; this 4 y.o. needed to halt training at age 2 and just made a return to track 3-months ago, showing 6 works in preparation for debut; like the 5f works 

Race 8 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Love You Much (5-2): Taking the winter off was the right move for this F. Allen III runner or he just loved the Pim turf missing by a neck then winning; gets restricted runners here while speed figures have been ascending
  2. #3 – Day the Music Died (12-1): Not sure about the direction trainer M. Trombetta wants to take with this gelded son of Maclean’s Music; was twice scratched in May from making turf debut in favor of facing much tougher dirt foes on Preakness Day where he showed early speed going 45 flat for the half then was done; has a bullet on Fai synthetic surface
  3. #6 – Godlovesasinner (20-1): Had a meltdown in the gate prior to latest, his second after layoff, yet still finished less than 4-lengths behind top pick; off the pace type gets an extra sixteenth here  

Race 9

  1. #4 – Mortal Storm (5-1): Won’t get these odds as the 9-5 ML favorite (#8) is scratched; may have needed latest which was a turf sprint (3:0-0-0 on grass); stretch out to one-mile better suits her as does the Lrl dirt oval (4:1-1-1)
  2. #1 – Toma (6-1): Third race after layoff as this 4 y.o. gray gal used up too much energy early to have enough in deep stretch as she tired versus similar; cuts back a half furlong with a better chance if she can settle early
  3. #7 – One Two Three Go (9-2): Claimed out of $25kMCL victory by trainer C. Gonzalez (29% with this angle); breeding doesn’t necessarily endorse a stretch out to one-mile but with jock A. Castrenze 3 for 6 aboard this trainers Lrl runners, who am I to argue with success