The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 27

by | May 27, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 0 comments

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6 (Mandatory Payout): $261,774
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – 50 cent Pick-3 7, 8, 9 w/ 3, 4, 5 w/ 1, 2 6 ($13.50)
  • Race 4 – 20 cent Pick-6 1, 3 w/ 3, 5, 7, 10 w/ 2, 6 w/ 2, 3, 5 w/ 2, 4, 6 w/ 2, 3, 5 ($86.40)
  • Race 9 – $2 Double 2, 6 w/ 2, 3, 5 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 8: #2 – Rock It Tothemoon (4-1)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 9: #3 – Uhwarrie Sky (6-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 6th, 8th, 9th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – National Honor (7-2): Hasn’t seen competition since late March when he earned a career best turf Bris# (91) his first outing after trainer J. Cibelli’s claim out of his $16kn2L winning effort   
  2. #8 – Hard Fought (7-2): Patient ride by H. Karamanos on BES Day was only good enough for Show purse behind a pair of well-meant shippers; is 9 days between races enough for a top effort?        
  3. #7 – Too Much Data (6-1): Beaten favorite was claimed out of that contest which just 11 days ago yet is entered today at same level and condition. For claiming rule geeks like myself, he’s eligible because he’s not in for the Tag today (crazy claiming rules)

Race 2

  1. #4 – Kentucky Smooth (4-1): None of these gals have a “need the lead” attitude, so it should be interesting to see which jock actually reads the PPs to take advantage IF they feel their mount can get the lead; this gal did get an early lead on a muddy track so maybe K. Gomez tries for the lead
  2. #3 – Di (5-2): Game filly whose only OTB outing came in latest (10:1-2-6) but the waters get deeper as she takes on older gals (thought only 3 of 5 are) in here for the first time; field lacks early speed so bug boy J. Correas might hustle her early and not look back
  3. #6 – Perfect Exchange (4-1): Usually against my religion to tout three 3-year-olds in a race with older runners but the latter in this N2L contest are a combined 3 for 89; this filly has a pair of Show finishes against the older gals in her last two outings at this level

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #2 – Echo of Victory (5-2): Couldn’t last the entire 5 ½ furlong trip on the Lrl lawn at this $40kMCL level; hot riding apprentice A. Whisman will take the reins for trainer A. Merryman who also saddles #5 in here
  2. #1 – Moonlight Miss (2-1): Worktab with a string of three consecutive bullets in April must have impressed Morning Line oddsmaker or the fact combo of trainer J. Ness and jock T. McCarthy have won with 8 of 15 runners this meet; FTS by Malibu Moon out of a Tiznow mare will not race with Lasix
  3. #6 – Old Line Magic (7-2): Adds Lasix for second start after a furious late run in debut to be runner-up a level lower, yet her Bris# (68) is tops among the four others who have raced on grass; K. Gomez takes over for R. Montanez who has mounts at Del today

Race 4

  1. #1 – Kingston Pike (9-2): Stretches out to two-turns which could help especially with his Stalking style, he’ll have two targets (#2 and #6) winging it on the front end who will likely be looking for the oxygen masks in deep stretch
  2. #3 – Grand Oasis (5-2): Looks to go back-to-back at Pimlico after prevailing as favorite v. a $16kN2L crew in slop after needing a shoe repair in the paddock; hope the farrier got rewarded     
  3. #4 – Maynooth (5-1): Catches a soft group in first start after owner/trainer G. Katz’s claim from winning effort v. $8kn2L contest; another who will benefit from a pace meltdown

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #5 – Bustin Hearts (5-1): 6-year-old mare makes turf debut; all she does is win weather on a fast track (8 for 16) or off track (4 for 10), the feeling is she’ll run on grass as well; one thing for sure, jock S. Russell (22% with trainer H. McMahon) will give a 110% effor
  2. #10 – Queen of Schmooze (4-1): Not a bad turf debut in latest when third, just 3-lengths behind a gal who came back to destroy her competition yesterday; this gal should improve and may be interested in taking flight early from outside; third start after a brief layoff 
  3. #3 – Lucy in the Sky (8-1): Pen-based trainer M. Salvaggio found success at Pim last year with this mare, winning by a nose sprinting on the turf; have to believe he returns hoping lightning will strike twice

Race 6 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Lemon Zip (9-2): Bred for grass and to run all day makes this mare takes on the boys with in second start with blinkers back on as the first resulted in a win v. Hcp16000s on Tam turf going 1 3/8; with the lack of early speed, she may inherit it early, though jock on #5 may force the issue
  2. #2 – Tap the Moment (7-2): Comes off a strong runner-up effort at Great Meadows (VA) first time stretching out to this 1 ½ mile on the grass when carrying 151lb. and will be in here 18 lbs. lighter though still eligible for N2L events his career best turf Bris# (83) is good enough to win this one
  3. #4 – Broad Expanse (4-1): late pace numbers measure up against today’s foes though he’s being asked to travel 3/8ths further than ever before; his pedigree indicates it’s doable and top local turf rider knows him well to give him best trip possible

Race 7

  1. #3 – Curlin’s Knight (9-5): When in doubt play the percentages, so the nod goes to this gelding whose trainer-jock combo have been winning at a 35% clip (28 for 81) over the past year; lost by a nose on steep drop in latest 
  2. #2 – Joey Gotcha (9-2): Third start after layoff in which trainer R. Sanchez-Salomon must have cured his ills because he earned a career high 73 Bris# in latest, a winning effort v. bottom level maidens here on opening day
  3. #5 – America’s Prince (7-2): Put on the sunglasses when this 3-year-old white gelding hits the track; claimed two races back when a gate-to-wire maiden winner; somehow has top Bris Prime Power number

Race 8 is ON THE TURF

  1. #2 – Rock It Tothemoon (4-1): *** BEST BET *** Third time/start will be the charm for this gelded son of Malibu Moon out of a More Than Ready mare making turf debut; showed early speed then tired badly in both dirt sprints going 6f v. MSW; cuts back to 5f on grass and fired a bullet in final prep on Fai tapeta; trainer M. Trombetta breaks his 0-fer the Pim meet; the fact that jock J. Pimentel is my Kryptonite makes this a dicey proposition. I need my head examined!
  2. #4 – Bold Trek (3-1): FTS by Kantharos out of an Indian Charlie mare has evenly spaced worktab, none on turf, not even when at Elloree, SC but do like the 5f one two back on a “good” track which may indicate a liking to grass
  3. #6 – Egregious (10-1): Adds blinkers for fourth career outing, second after layoff, first on turf which is key for this gelded son of More Than Ready (yes, I’m a huge fan of More Than Ready runners getting on turf, deal with it); the fact that trainer D. Barr is 0 for 21 when adding blinkers and just 1 for 41 moving runners from dirt-to-turf, gives cause for pause in backing this one

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Uhwarrie Sky (6-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Gelded since last start which came over 6-months ago at the end of a ’18 campaign where he couldn’t catch a break with Mother Nature, having to run in four consecutive off the turf contest; he won his last turf try v. $16kN2L earning a 82 Bris#, good enough to be in the mix today           
  2. #5 – Ride the Sunset (7-2): Hunch Play for last race of Pimlico meet… until next years’ farewell meet; a private purchase after most recent start back in Feb.; trainer M. Salvaggio has taken his time bringing this gelding back in a spot he can be successful 
  3. #2 – Electro (3-1): First start after conquering $16kN2L and being claimed by top trainer C. Gonzalez (30% this angle) but his 6% with turf starters makes one wonder; gelding owns the career best turf Bris# (85) of this bunch but that came over a year ago 

Good Luck to all on the Rainbow 6 mandatory payout today! Enjoy your summer as ol’ GQ needs some R&R until The Big T meet.

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Sunday May 26th at Pimlico had 7 winners from the 8-race card (1 Top Selection; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $13.20 (1st race), $5.40 (3rd), $3.20 (4th), $11.40 (5th), $7.00 (6th), $2.80 (7th) and $3.20 (8th).
  • BEST BET of the Day: Determined Mission (3rd race: 3-1 M/L; 8-5 PT) saved ground along the rail stalking the early leaders, took advantage of an opening at the rail and returned $5.40 to WIN, $2.80 to PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day: Brushing (5th race: 12-1 M/L; 7-1 PT) lacked speed, hugged the inner rail in the stretch and was caught in close quarters in mid-stretch and finished sixth.