The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 26

by | May 26, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $251,028
  • Super High 5: $2,672
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – 50 cent Pick-3 5, 7, 8 w/ 1, 2, 5, 6 w/ 1 ($6)
  • Race 4 – 20 cent Pick-6 1, 6 w/ 3, 4, 7 w/ 5, 7, 9 w/ 5, 6 w/ 3, 6, 8 w/ 3, 7, 9 ($64.80)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 6, 8 w/ 3, 7, 9 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 3: #1 – Determined Mission (3-1)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 5: #8 – Brushing (12-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 4th, 5th, 7th, 8th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Ravenel (3-1): Lone entry on Sunday Pim card for trainer T. Proctor who has been trying to get this one in a race all month; drops in for $40k tag after a couple so-so turf efforts at FG this winter; first start since Jan.; second start with blinkers 
  2. #5 – Lemon Drop Dreamer (6-1): FTS by Lemon Drop Kid out of an unraced Malibu Moon mare; been pointing to turf as training stopped late last Fall at Lrl then resumed in mid-March for debut    
  3. #8 – Mahkato (8-1): Artie Shiller daughter should appreciate the stretch out to one-mile from her turf debut sprinting v. MSW; one nice 5f work on tapeta at Fai since that outing; second start with blinkers while still no Lasix for third start

Race 2

  1. #5 – Bash (5-1): Only 5-year-old mare in this contest v. five 3-year-old fillies; first start after J. Maldonado $5k claim where she was second best in the slop to a gal who came back on Thursday to win again; can handle step up in this spot
  2. #6 – True to Jeanine (9-5): Bridesmaid in latest at Del which came v. 3-year-old peers just 11 days ago; trainer J. Ness is killing it at the Pim meet (20:9-2-1)
  3. #2 – Barbsgray Lion (9-2): This gray gal is 1 for 15 and only win came at Lrl going 5 panels; earned identical 71 Bris#s in last two which is second best to Morning Line favorite (#6) for best last race number       

Race 3

  1. #1 – Determined Mission (3-1): *** BEST BET *** Wasn’t a fan of the Lrl mud as she was 8-wide in first start after trainer D. Capauno claim at this level with blinkers added; tough rail assignment but get hot riding 7 lb. bug A. Whisman (17:5-3-2 at Pim)
  2. #6 – Venetian Drive (6-1): Willing to toss this MD-breds debut on turf v. $40kMCL but it may have been a good education for her; aggressive drop and switch to dirt should help as in the A.M. she’s been liking the Pim dirt
  3. #4 – Shackforlove (8-5): Big improvement in second start in mud at Lrl when runner-up but got the dreaded “hung” Chart Caller comment because she gave up the lead late; note she was well backed (3-1) in debut v. better yet was ignored in next (13-1)

Race 4 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Precocious Peach (9-2): Roughed up at the start in latest at GP when in a bit over her head when trying for 3-in-a-row; 3 out of 4 sprint on the rock hard GP turf will find Pim grass not as firm but hopefully can still wire these gals
  2. #4 – Market Money (6-1): Might behoove bug boy J. Correa (4 for 16 w/ trainer R. Reid) to stalk the top pick and a couple others to save her best for getting first run on the leg-weary speedsters; toughest task to date as conquered $16kN3L on Lrl turf in latest 
  3. #7 – Eye On Berlin (9-5): Third start after layoff, owes best last race Bris# of this group and that was in a $100k stakes events on Preakness Day (just 8 days ago)… can she give a top effort in 3rd race in a span of 17 days?

Race 5 iis ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Brushing (12-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Makes 15th career start but just second on turf; first came in debut 20-months going 5f in which she displayed a furious late kick; beaten favorite in Lrl slop at this level in last outing; field is filled with early speed which sets up a perfect pace scenario for her
  2. #7 – I’m Listening (9-2): Speed figs have been ascending in last 3 all on turf and the combination of her Brisnet E2-LP numbers are the tops in this group; trainer M. Eppler seeks first win at home (5:0-1-1 at Pim meet)
  3. #5 – Blue Atlas (3-1): NY-bred makes MD circuit debut after first 12 of 13 starts for The Toddster in NY and FL turf courses; trainer H. DePaz takes over (0 for 8 with this angle) but best turf speed figures are much the best in here

Race 6

  1. #5 – Kresses (4-1): Second best to a run-away winner in latest, which was her second start after a layoff; speed figures are moving in the right direction for this Pim-based runner owned/trained by N. Abramson (3:1-1-0 at Pim meet)
  2. #6 – Courageous Lynne (7-5): Hard to trust the Pen speed fgures as they tend to be a bit inflated v. those on MD circuit but trainer-jock combo of B. Houghton and F. Boyce have gotten to Winners Circle 5 times with just 14 runners the past year
  3. #1 – Gfour (5-2): Confidence level was rather high when first start after trainer C. Mancila claim came in Alw5000s and the results were predictable; back in N4L or since Nov. condition in which she earned Show purse in two previous to last one

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Whenthedovescry (8-1): Broke maiden sprinting on this turf course last year and loves this distance (6:3-0-2); been facing much better during winter races at GP; earned eligibility for this Starter when he made racing debut in $10kMCL on dirt; a stalking trip gets it done today
  2. #8 – American Sailor (4-5): one look at last 3 races tells you why this 7-year-old is prohibitive Moring Line favorite… minor turf stakes at 3 different venues where she held lead early and was in the mixed late; not All-In on him since latest came just 8 days ago and he’ll have press early 
  3. #3 – Delta Outlaw (15-1): Has tactical speed to sit off what should be quick early fractions and get first run at tiring leaders in mid-stretch

Race 8 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – She’s Right Again (3-1): Earned a monster 97 Bris# in latest, her first start after nearly a 4-month layoff yet was only good enough for the Show purse; been mixing it up with better than is in here 
  2. #3 – Pugilist (5-2): A winning move on and off the track as she was transferred to B. Russell barn prior to beating $16k beaten claimers going two-turns on turf; appears removing the blinkers three back helped as well as she’s hit the board in all three 
  3. #9 – Meow (8-1): 6-year-old mare bred for turf returns to it as 3 of 4 career wins have come on the grass, none with current trainer who claimed her for $20k five races back; amazing negative stat on 25% trainer C. Gonzalez, he has just 9 wins from his last 142 turf starters (6%), yikes!

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Saturday May 25th at Pimlico had 7 winners from the 9-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $39.40 (1st race), $5.80 (2nd), $7.00 (4th), $8.80 (6th), $11.40 (7th), $5.60 (8th) and $7.60 (9th). Of the suggested multi-race wagers hit R8-R9 $2 DOUBLE for $24.20 (cot: $12).
  • BEST BET of the Day: Top Czar (4h race: 5-2 M/L; 5-2 PT) broke slow, rushed to the lead, had a rival to his shoulder into the far turn, put that one away entering the stretch and won going away  and returned $7.00 to WIN, $4.00 to PLACE and $2.60 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day: Carolina Ice (3rd race: 12-1 M/L; 8-1 PT) led through the first three-quarters but weakened in mid-stretch to finish fifth.