The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 26

by May 26, 2019Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $251,028
  • Super High 5: $2,672
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – 50 cent Pick-3 5, 7, 8 w/ 1, 2, 5, 6 w/ 1 ($6)
  • Race 4 – 20 cent Pick-6 1, 6 w/ 3, 4, 7 w/ 5, 7, 9 w/ 5, 6 w/ 3, 6, 8 w/ 3, 7, 9 ($64.80)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 6, 8 w/ 3, 7, 9 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 3: #1 – Determined Mission (3-1)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 5: #8 – Brushing (12-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 4th, 5th, 7th, 8th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Ravenel (3-1): Lone entry on Sunday Pim card for trainer T. Proctor who has been trying to get this one in a race all month; drops in for $40k tag after a couple so-so turf efforts at FG this winter; first start since Jan.; second start with blinkers 
  2. #5 – Lemon Drop Dreamer (6-1): FTS by Lemon Drop Kid out of an unraced Malibu Moon mare; been pointing to turf as training stopped late last Fall at Lrl then resumed in mid-March for debut    
  3. #8 – Mahkato (8-1): Artie Shiller daughter should appreciate the stretch out to one-mile from her turf debut sprinting v. MSW; one nice 5f work on tapeta at Fai since that outing; second start with blinkers while still no Lasix for third start

Race 2

  1. #5 – Bash (5-1): Only 5-year-old mare in this contest v. five 3-year-old fillies; first start after J. Maldonado $5k claim where she was second best in the slop to a gal who came back on Thursday to win again; can handle step up in this spot
  2. #6 – True to Jeanine (9-5): Bridesmaid in latest at Del which came v. 3-year-old peers just 11 days ago; trainer J. Ness is killing it at the Pim meet (20:9-2-1)
  3. #2 – Barbsgray Lion (9-2): This gray gal is 1 for 15 and only win came at Lrl going 5 panels; earned identical 71 Bris#s in last two which is second best to Morning Line favorite (#6) for best last race number       

Race 3

  1. #1 – Determined Mission (3-1): *** BEST BET *** Wasn’t a fan of the Lrl mud as she was 8-wide in first start after trainer D. Capauno claim at this level with blinkers added; tough rail assignment but get hot riding 7 lb. bug A. Whisman (17:5-3-2 at Pim)
  2. #6 – Venetian Drive (6-1): Willing to toss this MD-breds debut on turf v. $40kMCL but it may have been a good education for her; aggressive drop and switch to dirt should help as in the A.M. she’s been liking the Pim dirt
  3. #4 – Shackforlove (8-5): Big improvement in second start in mud at Lrl when runner-up but got the dreaded “hung” Chart Caller comment because she gave up the lead late; note she was well backed (3-1) in debut v. better yet was ignored in next (13-1)

Race 4 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Precocious Peach (9-2): Roughed up at the start in latest at GP when in a bit over her head when trying for 3-in-a-row; 3 out of 4 sprint on the rock hard GP turf will find Pim grass not as firm but hopefully can still wire these gals
  2. #4 – Market Money (6-1): Might behoove bug boy J. Correa (4 for 16 w/ trainer R. Reid) to stalk the top pick and a couple others to save her best for getting first run on the leg-weary speedsters; toughest task to date as conquered $16kN3L on Lrl turf in latest 
  3. #7 – Eye On Berlin (9-5): Third start after layoff, owes best last race Bris# of this group and that was in a $100k stakes events on Preakness Day (just 8 days ago)… can she give a top effort in 3rd race in a span of 17 days?

Race 5 iis ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Brushing (12-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Makes 15th career start but just second on turf; first came in debut 20-months going 5f in which she displayed a furious late kick; beaten favorite in Lrl slop at this level in last outing; field is filled with early speed which sets up a perfect pace scenario for her
  2. #7 – I’m Listening (9-2): Speed figs have been ascending in last 3 all on turf and the combination of her Brisnet E2-LP numbers are the tops in this group; trainer M. Eppler seeks first win at home (5:0-1-1 at Pim meet)
  3. #5 – Blue Atlas (3-1): NY-bred makes MD circuit debut after first 12 of 13 starts for The Toddster in NY and FL turf courses; trainer H. DePaz takes over (0 for 8 with this angle) but best turf speed figures are much the best in here

Race 6

  1. #5 – Kresses (4-1): Second best to a run-away winner in latest, which was her second start after a layoff; speed figures are moving in the right direction for this Pim-based runner owned/trained by N. Abramson (3:1-1-0 at Pim meet)
  2. #6 – Courageous Lynne (7-5): Hard to trust the Pen speed fgures as they tend to be a bit inflated v. those on MD circuit but trainer-jock combo of B. Houghton and F. Boyce have gotten to Winners Circle 5 times with just 14 runners the past year
  3. #1 – Gfour (5-2): Confidence level was rather high when first start after trainer C. Mancila claim came in Alw5000s and the results were predictable; back in N4L or since Nov. condition in which she earned Show purse in two previous to last one

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Whenthedovescry (8-1): Broke maiden sprinting on this turf course last year and loves this distance (6:3-0-2); been facing much better during winter races at GP; earned eligibility for this Starter when he made racing debut in $10kMCL on dirt; a stalking trip gets it done today
  2. #8 – American Sailor (4-5): one look at last 3 races tells you why this 7-year-old is prohibitive Moring Line favorite… minor turf stakes at 3 different venues where she held lead early and was in the mixed late; not All-In on him since latest came just 8 days ago and he’ll have press early 
  3. #3 – Delta Outlaw (15-1): Has tactical speed to sit off what should be quick early fractions and get first run at tiring leaders in mid-stretch

Race 8 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – She’s Right Again (3-1): Earned a monster 97 Bris# in latest, her first start after nearly a 4-month layoff yet was only good enough for the Show purse; been mixing it up with better than is in here 
  2. #3 – Pugilist (5-2): A winning move on and off the track as she was transferred to B. Russell barn prior to beating $16k beaten claimers going two-turns on turf; appears removing the blinkers three back helped as well as she’s hit the board in all three 
  3. #9 – Meow (8-1): 6-year-old mare bred for turf returns to it as 3 of 4 career wins have come on the grass, none with current trainer who claimed her for $20k five races back; amazing negative stat on 25% trainer C. Gonzalez, he has just 9 wins from his last 142 turf starters (6%), yikes!

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Saturday May 25th at Pimlico had 7 winners from the 9-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $39.40 (1st race), $5.80 (2nd), $7.00 (4th), $8.80 (6th), $11.40 (7th), $5.60 (8th) and $7.60 (9th). Of the suggested multi-race wagers hit R8-R9 $2 DOUBLE for $24.20 (cot: $12).
  • BEST BET of the Day: Top Czar (4h race: 5-2 M/L; 5-2 PT) broke slow, rushed to the lead, had a rival to his shoulder into the far turn, put that one away entering the stretch and won going away  and returned $7.00 to WIN, $4.00 to PLACE and $2.60 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day: Carolina Ice (3rd race: 12-1 M/L; 8-1 PT) led through the first three-quarters but weakened in mid-stretch to finish fifth.