The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 24

by | May 24, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 0 comments

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $217,321
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – 50 cent Pick-3 1, 2, 7 w/ 4, 5 w/ 1, 4, 6, 7 ($12)
  • Race 4 – 20 cent Pick-6 4, 9 w/ 5, 6, 11 w/ 1, 5, 9 w/ 6, 7 w/ 2, 3, 7 w/ 3, 4, 11 ($64.80)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 2, 3 w/ 3, 4, 11 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 2: #4 – Lucky Ninety Nine (9-5)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 5: #11 – Pep Talking (8-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 5th, 7th, 9th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #1A – Helloitsme (4-5): Just like old times with trainer J. Vasquez running in MD, but now he ships in from Prx; he’s 1 for 1 at Old Hilltop and scratched the stronger part of the entry (#1); often this is done to get a price which this one will go off much higher than posted ML
  2. #7 – Young American (8-1): Has the back class to take another step forward as trainer W. Potts seems to have found this gelding’s old form
  3. #2x – Parade of Nations (5-1): Quick turn-around coming back in after racing 6 days ago (on Preakness Day); not so sure he even worked up a sweat as he was in way over his head but has won in 2 previous outings at Pim

Race 2

  1. #4 – Lucky Ninety Nine (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Bris# has been climbing since debut three back and makes second start with blinkers; game in defeat when steadied along the way
  2. #5 – Hail to Leader (8-5): FTS by Cairo Prince out of a Meadowlake mare cost a cool $260k in Kee as a yearling; extensive worktab at Prx for trainer Jo. Servis; gives J. Vargas, Jr. (26% w/ him) a leg up
  3. #2 – Jump for Sally (4-1): Beaten favorite in first start v. elders; boasts top Brisnet Prime Power# and gets W. Hamilton as pilot for first time replacing F. Boyce

Race 3

  1. #4 – Bring Me Answers (6-1): Second start with blinkers often translates to positive result; owns a pair of Show finishes at this Starter condition in last two with K. Gomez in irons 
  2. #7 – Hashtag Selfie (3-1): Typical result for a C. Gonzalez runner in that they win big then comeback in same condition, go off as favorite and lay an egg, next outing bounces back at a better price
  3. #1 – All Good Times (5-2): Came alive when sent to Tam for the winter then really got good when blinkers were added three races back; only entry on the Pim card for trainer J. Rigattieri (25% in ‘19)

Race 4

  1. #4 – Lunar Image (2-1): Usually the best of a poor lot prevails in these bottom level ($10k) maiden claimers and that points to this gelding; owns best career Bris# of this bunch having just 3 career races, top Prime Power# and drops from $16kMCL where he was third-best 
  2. #9 – Junior Jumper (7-2): On paper looks ugly for such a short price but a repeat of speed figure from latest when lost by 12-lengths makes him a strong contender to graduate 
  3. #2 – Sing a Verse (10-1): Disappointing effort when 3-1 running 5+ lengths behind #8 – L’Overture when that one was runner-up at 62-1; let’s return to reality today and turn the tables

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #11– Pep Talking (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Makes third start after 6-month layoff and gets back on turf where he earned an 85 Bris# (second best in this field) at Lrl going this distance; amazing negative stat on 25% trainer C. Gonzalez, he’s just 9 wins from last 140 turf starts (6%), yikes!
  2. #6 – Hillsdown (5-1): 20% trainer M. Pino claimed this one at GP two back; nice try against better than these in latest, now comes north and gets D. Centeno 
  3. #5 – Jag (3-1): Third as 3-5 favorite at this $40kMCL last time after a horrific trip… stumbled at the start then checked at the quarter pole; only concern is WHY offer him for $35k just to get 2 lb. weight break when T. McCarthy is the pilot?

Race 6

  1. #5 – Trapper’s Delight (12-1): Don’t get excited about the ML odds as the 8-5 favorite (#4) and two others were scratched so looking at about 6-1; re-evaluated this contest and landed here I hopes of a gate-to-wire performance
  2. #1 – Sensational Notion (12-1): First start since last September and drops to MD circuit bottom level doesn’t give one a warm and fuzzy feeling about his chances but has done well on this Pim oval (5:1-2-0) compared to career stats (21:2-5-3)
  3. #9 – Moneymeister (7-2): It’s been a long road for J. Miller to get back in the irons and trainer W. Potts been giving her opportunities to shine; returns here after a runner-up effort going one mile so cut back to 6 furlongs makes this one a serious threat

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Veil Dance (7-2): Thought this one would be a price but not so based on Moring Line; would rather go get a beverage than take a WAG on this N2L contest but with a gun to my head, let’s give this 1 for 17 on turf runner a prayer to finally beat winners
  2. #7 – Missimard (10-1): The good news: she owns the best career turf Bris# among the gals in this contest; the bad news: that came two years ago and she’s 1 for 34 lifetime; on the bright side she’s 1 for 15 on turf, 1 for 10 at this distance
  3. #2 – Simonela (12-1): Hear me out… yes, she’s just 1 for 33 but only two tries on turf; though OTB in both, she earned an 83 Bris# in one which indicates she faced better; maybe too much to ask for a win with trainer J. Shannon 1 for 50 this year, but this runner usually gets minor awards

Race 8

  1. #3 – Big Boots (3-1): In this competitive $40kMCL where no one stands out, going with the what the stats say as this one makes first start off trainer C. Gonzalez claim who gets 30% to Winners Circle with this angle
  2. #2 – Reds Winning Call (3-1): Tried two turns in fourth career start in last outing and weakened in the stretch; maybe that helps in the stamina department to run on as he cuts back to sprint     
  3. #7 – Fernwood Drive (5-2): Must be doing OK as he was scratched out of $25kMCL on Preakness Day to go here; will be quickest from the gate but will likely have #5 breathing down his neck    

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #4 – You Made It (5-2): 3-year-old filly has knocked heads with elders in last two holding her own getting Place and Show purses; should get a good pace to run at late          
  2. #3 – Princess Killmain (10-1): Bridesmaid in first start of ’19 even after in tight quarters at half mile pole; if she improves slightly she’ll find her way to the Winners Circle              
  3. #11 – Squibnocket (8-1): Beaten favorite in first turf sprint effort based on two previous two-turn turf tries in which she showed early speed; look for J. Ruiz to hustle her early this time    

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Friday May 23rd at Pimlico had 4 winners from the 8-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $2.40 (1st race), $3.00 (2nd), $3.20 (4th) and $8.40 (6th).
  • BEST BET of the Day: Angelinas Star (4th race: 5-2 M/L; 3-2 PT) vied inside a rival then rated back, angled out nearing the half, bumped with the winner when challenging between foes in mid-stretch, kept on willingly past the sixteenth marker then faded to finish third and returned $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day: Sue Me (7th race: 6-1 M/L; 3-1 PT) hugged the rail on the turns, eased out to the two path turning for home and rallied between horse to be second best and returned $5.40 to PLACE and $3.40 to SHOW