The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 24

by May 24, 2019Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $217,321
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – 50 cent Pick-3 1, 2, 7 w/ 4, 5 w/ 1, 4, 6, 7 ($12)
  • Race 4 – 20 cent Pick-6 4, 9 w/ 5, 6, 11 w/ 1, 5, 9 w/ 6, 7 w/ 2, 3, 7 w/ 3, 4, 11 ($64.80)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 2, 3 w/ 3, 4, 11 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 2: #4 – Lucky Ninety Nine (9-5)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 5: #11 – Pep Talking (8-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 5th, 7th, 9th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #1A – Helloitsme (4-5): Just like old times with trainer J. Vasquez running in MD, but now he ships in from Prx; he’s 1 for 1 at Old Hilltop and scratched the stronger part of the entry (#1); often this is done to get a price which this one will go off much higher than posted ML
  2. #7 – Young American (8-1): Has the back class to take another step forward as trainer W. Potts seems to have found this gelding’s old form
  3. #2x – Parade of Nations (5-1): Quick turn-around coming back in after racing 6 days ago (on Preakness Day); not so sure he even worked up a sweat as he was in way over his head but has won in 2 previous outings at Pim

Race 2

  1. #4 – Lucky Ninety Nine (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Bris# has been climbing since debut three back and makes second start with blinkers; game in defeat when steadied along the way
  2. #5 – Hail to Leader (8-5): FTS by Cairo Prince out of a Meadowlake mare cost a cool $260k in Kee as a yearling; extensive worktab at Prx for trainer Jo. Servis; gives J. Vargas, Jr. (26% w/ him) a leg up
  3. #2 – Jump for Sally (4-1): Beaten favorite in first start v. elders; boasts top Brisnet Prime Power# and gets W. Hamilton as pilot for first time replacing F. Boyce

Race 3

  1. #4 – Bring Me Answers (6-1): Second start with blinkers often translates to positive result; owns a pair of Show finishes at this Starter condition in last two with K. Gomez in irons 
  2. #7 – Hashtag Selfie (3-1): Typical result for a C. Gonzalez runner in that they win big then comeback in same condition, go off as favorite and lay an egg, next outing bounces back at a better price
  3. #1 – All Good Times (5-2): Came alive when sent to Tam for the winter then really got good when blinkers were added three races back; only entry on the Pim card for trainer J. Rigattieri (25% in ‘19)

Race 4

  1. #4 – Lunar Image (2-1): Usually the best of a poor lot prevails in these bottom level ($10k) maiden claimers and that points to this gelding; owns best career Bris# of this bunch having just 3 career races, top Prime Power# and drops from $16kMCL where he was third-best 
  2. #9 – Junior Jumper (7-2): On paper looks ugly for such a short price but a repeat of speed figure from latest when lost by 12-lengths makes him a strong contender to graduate 
  3. #2 – Sing a Verse (10-1): Disappointing effort when 3-1 running 5+ lengths behind #8 – L’Overture when that one was runner-up at 62-1; let’s return to reality today and turn the tables

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #11– Pep Talking (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Makes third start after 6-month layoff and gets back on turf where he earned an 85 Bris# (second best in this field) at Lrl going this distance; amazing negative stat on 25% trainer C. Gonzalez, he’s just 9 wins from last 140 turf starts (6%), yikes!
  2. #6 – Hillsdown (5-1): 20% trainer M. Pino claimed this one at GP two back; nice try against better than these in latest, now comes north and gets D. Centeno 
  3. #5 – Jag (3-1): Third as 3-5 favorite at this $40kMCL last time after a horrific trip… stumbled at the start then checked at the quarter pole; only concern is WHY offer him for $35k just to get 2 lb. weight break when T. McCarthy is the pilot?

Race 6

  1. #5 – Trapper’s Delight (12-1): Don’t get excited about the ML odds as the 8-5 favorite (#4) and two others were scratched so looking at about 6-1; re-evaluated this contest and landed here I hopes of a gate-to-wire performance
  2. #1 – Sensational Notion (12-1): First start since last September and drops to MD circuit bottom level doesn’t give one a warm and fuzzy feeling about his chances but has done well on this Pim oval (5:1-2-0) compared to career stats (21:2-5-3)
  3. #9 – Moneymeister (7-2): It’s been a long road for J. Miller to get back in the irons and trainer W. Potts been giving her opportunities to shine; returns here after a runner-up effort going one mile so cut back to 6 furlongs makes this one a serious threat

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Veil Dance (7-2): Thought this one would be a price but not so based on Moring Line; would rather go get a beverage than take a WAG on this N2L contest but with a gun to my head, let’s give this 1 for 17 on turf runner a prayer to finally beat winners
  2. #7 – Missimard (10-1): The good news: she owns the best career turf Bris# among the gals in this contest; the bad news: that came two years ago and she’s 1 for 34 lifetime; on the bright side she’s 1 for 15 on turf, 1 for 10 at this distance
  3. #2 – Simonela (12-1): Hear me out… yes, she’s just 1 for 33 but only two tries on turf; though OTB in both, she earned an 83 Bris# in one which indicates she faced better; maybe too much to ask for a win with trainer J. Shannon 1 for 50 this year, but this runner usually gets minor awards

Race 8

  1. #3 – Big Boots (3-1): In this competitive $40kMCL where no one stands out, going with the what the stats say as this one makes first start off trainer C. Gonzalez claim who gets 30% to Winners Circle with this angle
  2. #2 – Reds Winning Call (3-1): Tried two turns in fourth career start in last outing and weakened in the stretch; maybe that helps in the stamina department to run on as he cuts back to sprint     
  3. #7 – Fernwood Drive (5-2): Must be doing OK as he was scratched out of $25kMCL on Preakness Day to go here; will be quickest from the gate but will likely have #5 breathing down his neck    

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #4 – You Made It (5-2): 3-year-old filly has knocked heads with elders in last two holding her own getting Place and Show purses; should get a good pace to run at late          
  2. #3 – Princess Killmain (10-1): Bridesmaid in first start of ’19 even after in tight quarters at half mile pole; if she improves slightly she’ll find her way to the Winners Circle              
  3. #11 – Squibnocket (8-1): Beaten favorite in first turf sprint effort based on two previous two-turn turf tries in which she showed early speed; look for J. Ruiz to hustle her early this time    

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Friday May 23rd at Pimlico had 4 winners from the 8-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $2.40 (1st race), $3.00 (2nd), $3.20 (4th) and $8.40 (6th).
  • BEST BET of the Day: Angelinas Star (4th race: 5-2 M/L; 3-2 PT) vied inside a rival then rated back, angled out nearing the half, bumped with the winner when challenging between foes in mid-stretch, kept on willingly past the sixteenth marker then faded to finish third and returned $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day: Sue Me (7th race: 6-1 M/L; 3-1 PT) hugged the rail on the turns, eased out to the two path turning for home and rallied between horse to be second best and returned $5.40 to PLACE and $3.40 to SHOW