The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 23

by May 23, 2019Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $198,373
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – $2 Double 1, 3, 8 w/ 2, 9 ($12)
  • Race 4 – 50 cent Pick-5 3 w/ 2, 3, 8 w/ 1, 4, 7 w/ 1, 7 w/ 3, 4 ($18)
  • Race 7 – $2 Double 1, 7 w/ 3, 4 ($8)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 4: #3 – Angelinas Star (5-2)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 7: #7 – Sue Me (6-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Partly Cloudy; highs in the 70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Storm Net (6-1): Vet scratch 14 days ago but throwing caution to the wind as HOF trainer KTL worked this 6-year-old one mile in preparing for ’19 debut; has back class to handle these    
  2. #1 – Speed Game (8-5): Can boast best last race Bris# (80) which was a winning effort in this same open $12,500 claimer level in first race off the bench, just needs to go 1/16 further today        
  3. #3 – Smart Two a T (8-1): In first turf try in over a year was fourth behind a pair who returned on Preakness Day v. better to repeat as 1-2 finishers; 7 lb. bug girl T. Lyapustina fits this runner like a glove

Race 2

  1. #9 – Gemagility (7-5): Just one of two in here with a race under their belt; was well backed in debut (3-5) facing just 3 foes, led in the stretch but was a bridesmaid being much the second best finishing 5+ lengths in front of Show finisher
  2. #2 – Capture the Light (8-1): Trainer J. O’Dwyer (26% in ’19) as done very well with babies this season (Rookie Salsa won KY Juv. Stakes at CD on May 1); this FTS by Uncaptured by a Colony Light mare nothing flashy in the A.M. but gets go-to rider A. Suarez (7 of 15 w/ trainer); no Lasix
  3. #7 – Evan’s Chile (6-1): Stronger of the uncoupled entry for trainer A. Farrior based on Morning Line odds for this FTS by First Samurai out of an Invisible Ink mare gets J. Toledo who has been trainers go to rider (22%); works are nothing special but are breezing v. stablemates handily      

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #2 – Flan (9-2): Gets second career start 2 months after debut at Tam when showing more than connections expected, picking up Show purse as 15-1 longshot; steps up one maiden level but majority of foes are 3-years-olds 
  2. #5 – Bestatgettingbetter (6-1): Makes ’19 debut after failing miserably in two off the turf contests last Fall; drops one level and finally will run on grass… if Mother Nature cooperates
  3. #6 – Trois Ponts (6-1): Adds blinkers after she wasn’t given much of a chance to show her ability in turf sprint debut as she was jostled and pinched at the start; J. Garcia w/ trainer L. Ashby combo have won at 38% clip the past year

Race 4

  1. #3 – Angelinas Star (5-2): *** BEST BET *** Too much speed to contend with versus better following $5kN2L win; should find these gals not as quick early and be able to hold them off late 
  2. #7 – String Bean (6-1): Way over her ahead in turf try as tote told the story (137-1); 7 lb. bug boy A. Whisman has looked impressive in irons during this meet and could be MD’s next Eclipse award winning Apprentice
  3. #5 – Gateau St Honore (2-1): Easy win against $5kN2L on drop from $16k which came on a sloppy surface; has had a nasty habit of running second so hard to trust on top at this short price  

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Cosmic Love (4-1): Lands in trainer G. Motion barn after tiring badly over 6-months ago at on WO turf; shows nice work pattern since early March perfectly leading up to this contest           
  2. #2 – Stereo Viewing (4-1): Beaten favorite in 2 of last three with maiden win sandwiched between the runner-up efforts; 5-wide in latest when missed by a length but worst defeat (by 3 ½) came at this distance which was only time she went beyond one mile
  3. #3 – Adult in the Room (8-1): This filly better turn out to be good with a name only a millennial could like; another who has been waiting on turf season at Fair Hill; broke maiden after a 9-month layoff last year

Race 6

  1. #1 – Sweet Brother (6-1): Makes fifth career start, second on Lasix follwing so-so turf debut considering he moved up in class; drops back to MD bottom level maidens for Olympic gold winning medalist owner Bode Miller; could try to take field gate-to-wire with rail trip
  2. #4 – Salutelute (7-2): Latest (fourth by 10) at this level was filled with drama so one could easily toss it especially with V. Carrasco staying abroad; was runner-up in only two other outings versus similar; usually bounces back from a clunker so 10th start could be graduation day
  3. #7 – Kustaafu (5-2): Bug boy gets replaced by journeyman “Rosie Mo” after this gelding was a non-threatening third as favorite; quick comeback in just 14 days to make amends is a good sign      

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Sue Me (6-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Third start after 15-month layoff as second start result (3rdd and best career turf Bris#) looked much better first one at Kee; T. McCarthy back in the saddle for trainer G. Motion
  2. #1 – Ghost Hunter (5-2): Primary part of entry with AE Marengo Road; won 20th from 60 starts in latest which came following 7-month vacation; not concerned about class drop and being offered for $35k… trainer J. Ness basically saying if anyone wants a 9-year-old gelding, be my guest
  3. #10 – Brucarita (9-2): Drops in against an easier group an he faced in last two at GP; deep closer will need some pace help to be heard from late; trainer M. Matz having a down year (5 of 48)     

Race 8

  1. #4 – High Roller (3-1): Couldn’t handle first time v. N4L at Pen after disposing of N3L for same tag; takes precipitous drop to a nickel but maybe trainer D. Capuano figures get the win and cut bait as he’ll be out of conditions               
  2. #3 – Took Over (9-5): Been popular in the Racing Office as he’s been claimed in last three outings; trainer K. Magee looking for a “W” wheels him back at same level and brings CT rider G. Almodovar in for only mount on the card… they have won at a 31% clip over the past year
  3. #8 – Dr. Cerrato (6-1): Nice first try after trainer C. Frock claim as he looked like a winner until foe snuck up along rail to get the money which came just 7 days ago; jock jumps ship for #5 or maybe V. Rosales was trainers choice                          

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Saturday May 18th at Pimlico had 9 winners from the 14-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $8.20 (1st race), $2.80 (3rd), $11.40 (5th), $6.60 (6th), $3.00 (7th), $3.60 (8th), $13.00 (9th), $4.80 (12th) and $6.20 (14th).
  • BEST BET of the Day: Wentz (6th race: 4-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) vied outside Lewisfield to about mid-stretch then gave way and finished fourth.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day: Angel at War (7th race: 15-1 M/L; 20-1 PT) briefly chased the pace down the backstretch, raced between horses and weakened to finish ninth.