The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 11

by May 11, 2019Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: none
  • Super High 5: $1,024
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – $2 Double 1, 7, 8 w/ 3, 6 ($12)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5 7 w/ 3, 4, 6  w/ 4, 5, 6 w/ 2, 4, 5 w/ 1, 3, 8 ($40.50)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 2, 5 w/ 1, 3, 8 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 5: #7 – Ledecka (4-1)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 3: #3 – Neetee Rides Again (12-1)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy; highs in the 60s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th and 9th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – High Noon Rider (5-1): Just missed with a furous late rally on the Lrl lawn v. open $16k claimers; takes a step up in second start for trainer B. Russell    
  2. #1 – Crimson Hayes (10-1): First start in nearly 9 months as this normally speedy gelding showed nothing in first outing off claim at Mth; seven-time winner is 1 for 1 on Pim grass; attracts V. Carrasco           
  3. #7 – Dothat Dance (15-1): Makes first start off trainer P. Schoenthal claim (28% this angle) when making ’19 grass debut on steep drop to $16k; trainer had this one last year competing at this OC$25k level; another who is 1 for 1 on Pim turf   

Race 2

  1. #6 – Slewzer (8-5): Reclaimed by trainer J. Ness for nickel just two starts after losing this speedy gray gal; don’t see any others in here to challenge her early so she should catch a breather at the half and outlast late comers      
  2. #3 – Greely’s Striker (9-2): 7-year-old mare last visited Winners Circle 9-races backversus Alw5000s and has been inconsistent since; just missed paydirt two back at this level as the winner won next outing; jock change might be what the doctor ordered as A. Cruz is 1 for 5 with trainer V. Testerman
  3. #4 – Holiday Magician (12-): Wide trip when going two-turns versus similar threw out the anchor in the stretch, finishing 20 behind 9-length winner while Place runner came back yesterday to win by 10. Return to sprint could help chances in here at a juicy price   

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Neetee Rides Again (12-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Has third best career turf Brisnet# even though best placing on grass is third; has been a closing sprinter and finally gets the two-turn distance her sire Kitten’s Joy loved so much; third start after layoff is often a charm     
  2. #6 – Kentucky Smooth (8-1): Makes second career turf start immeidately following so-so debut on it sprinting; should do better stretching out here as those with Street Cry in sire line have done well when going two-turns for first time in racing career, which is the case for this filly making tenth start      
  3. #11 – Janelle Dreams (3-1): Likely Post Time favorite but owns a 1 for 23 record and yet to crack top two positions on turf (5:0-0-4), she’s a stronger play underneath; has earned best turf Brsnet# of this N2L bunch     

Race 4

  1. #7 – Rein Surpeme (4-1): Eligible for this Alw5000s via lone try for a nickel on steep drop, trainer J. Maldonado took the bait, got her and she’s provide divdends winning her next two versus much better; returns after a brief layoff in hopes of catching early speed late                          
  2. #5 – Truly Hot (3-1): Trainer M. Eppler barn at Pim seems poised to get to Winners Circle during this meet; this mare chased a next out winner in an open $16k claimer in latest; has been bridesmaid a number of times to next out winners; retains services of hottest jock (T. McCarthy) on MD circuit these days   
  3. #8 – My Chesa Charm (7-2): Will find herself the widest of a likely trio of early duelers just as she did in her latest in this same condition and distance when weakening late to hold the Show spot as 3-5 favorite   

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Ledecka (4-1): *** BEST BET *** Took a ton of money early in debut going long on the Lrl turf 9 months ago but late rally was only good enough to be runner-up as SHow finsiher graduated in her next start; gets Lasix for first time in her return follwoing a lengthy work tab at Tampa then at home on Fair Hill tapeta track                    
  2. #6 – Pepper Sprout (10-1): Nice turf breeding for this 4-year-old making career debut by Street Sense out of a Theatrical mare; trainer E. Graham doesn’t have many flat runners but has +11.80 ROI with first-timers; top local turf rider H. Karamanos is 1 for 2 with Graham     
  3. #5 – Perfect Kind (8-1): High profile owners (West Point T’breds) shelled $235k last March for this Noble Mission (GB) filly but after three turf tries at different venues 9Sar, KD, Bel) last year, she’s still a maiden; leave it to trainer G. Motion to have figured her out while she’s been consistently working in the A.M. the past 2 months                

Race 6

  1. #4 – Johnny Banks (3-1): First start since being reported as a gelding as he was a badly beaten even money favorite in latest; good sign to see J. Pimentel still willing to ride… then again when the trainer is C. Gonzalez, it’s a good business practice to say, “Yes” especailly when he’s not in for the tag in this OC25k event         
  2. #6 – My Good Man (9-5): Hard not to like this son of Curlin who has a win and two runner-up efforts in three ’19 starts, all at this level after graduating in 8th career start as one can only guess the lightbulb finally came on and now it’s shining brighter than ever; can improve off earning career high 89 Brsinet# in latest 
  3. #3 – Shortlist (2-1): Looked good winning last month at this level when in for $25k tag but there were no takers, so trainer J. Englehart can now protect this 5-year-old gelding and does   

Race 7  is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Get a Valentine (7-2): Can makes amends for being beaten favorite on step up in first start after H. McMahon claim but to be fair, the switch to turf made him the logical choice; cut back to 5 furlongs should help rider K. Davis hold him together in deep stretch        
  2. #5 – Bibbo (4-1): Third start after layoff and after an exteme cut back from 2 miles at Aiken two back to 5 1/2 furlongs at Lrl in latest, when understandably a step slow then wide prior to a late rush to finish just one-and-one-half lengtsh behind the winner; drops one level    
  3. #4 – Black Stetson (9-2): Versatile running style but has shown early speed in both outings on dirt since trainer J. Ness claim for same price as today; all 4 turf tries have comes against much better after winning turf debut in $100k stakes at the Big A last year        

Race 8

  1. #2 – Monaco Princess (2-1): Ironically has improved on her Brisnet# by a whooping 19-points from first-to-second and second-to-third start, figuring the additional of blinkers helped; trainer C. Gonzalez must have been tipped off at her talent, as he claimed her for $20k out of 9+ length maiden win at Kee, her latest effort when earned a 90 Brisnet#     
  2. #5 – Mae Sai Princess (9-2): Adds blinkers, first-time two turns and different rider in hopes of getting her to Winners Circle after she’s ht the board in all four starts this year; speed figs have been gradually climbing; tactics might be to send and put the others to sleep early      
  3. #4 – Toma (9-5): Runner-up in last three outings totalling four times in 9 career starts puts her in the running for “Second-itis” Poster Girl as she was beaten favorite in latest at same level; tries fourth different distance in her last four starts; she’s the only 4-year-old in here v. 3-year-olds                        

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #1 – Pepper Pot (8-5): Second start with blinkers often provides positive results; only a matter of time before she earns diploma as she’s been in the top 3 in all three career starts while competing against the best maidens; a win would be the icing on the cake for jock T. McCarthy who has mounts in 8 of the 9 races            
  2. #3 – Graceful Request (12-1): Connections are hell-bent on seeing this 4-year-old Scat Daddy filly graduate on turf as she’s 0 for 6 with best finish being fourth, in each of her last three efforts; the latest sprinting after an 11-month layoff; back to two-turns today should help           
  3.  #8 – Ortinola (15-1): Hooked up in a long duel in first turf try and with blinkers in latest , weakening in the stretch; might be able to get a lone early lead and make every pole a winning one as jock V. Carrasco has won with 2 of 7 runenrs for trainer C. Doran over the past year  

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Friday May 10th at Pimlico, had 3 winners from the rain-shortened 5-race card having $2 WIN pay-offs of $6.00 (2nd race), $4.20 (3rd) and $6.80 (4th).
  • BEST BET of the Day was Torch of Truth (9th race: 4-1 M/L) but never ran due to the cancellation of the card as torrential rains at the area during race 5.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day was Crookit (3rd race: 6-1 M/L; 8-1 PT) two-wide on the first turn, saved ground along the rail and ran evenly behind a 10-length winner, unable to grab the Place position, thus returned $2.80 to SHOW.