The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 9

by | May 9, 2019 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 1 comment

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today’s carryovers

  • Rainbow Pick 6: none
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none

Multi-race wagers

  • Race 1 – $2 Double  6, 7 w/ 1, 2, 5 ($12)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5  2, 8, 9 w/ 6, 9 w/ 7, 9, 10 w/ 4, 6 w/ 1, 2, 3 ($54)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double 4, 6 w/ 1, 2, 3 ($12)

Best Bet of the Day

  • Race 8  #6 – Sanavi (7-2)

Longshot Play of the Day

  • Race 4  #6 – Hayne’s Fever (10-1)

 Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy; highs in the upper-60s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th and 9th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Uncle Youdge (2-1): Beaten favorite in his last two for a gelding that was 7 for 17 at the distance; getting 1/16th less ground to cover and lack of pace pressure makes him one to beat 
  2. #6 – Fly E Dubai (8-1): Seeks first win in ’19 (0 for 5) while returning to surface he had success in ’18 (3:0-2-0) versus a notch lower; like that A. Cintron gets the call 
  3. #3 – Tricky Lion (7-2): Second starter after trainer P. Schoenthal claim has resulted in a hefty ROI (+4.45); will be winging it early with the ML favorite (#7) so we’ll quickly see how the PIM turf plays

Race 2

  1. #1 – Get There John (4-1): No Lasix in debut for this January foaled son of Algorithms whose youngsters do well at first asking; rail is no prize but counting on bug boy V. Rosales to help him flash early speed like his last 3f work (36 3/5), the fastest of 14      
  2. #2 – So Street (9-5): Debuting son of Street Magician out of a Mr. Greeley mare will probably make his living going longer, but has been quick in the A.M. at Del, firing two bullets, the latest from the gate going 5f; no Lasix
  3. #5 – On the Turf (5-2): His name wasn’t mentioned that often during the 2018 Pimlico meet but might have been by Lrl Clockers after his 35 4/5 bullet just 5 days ago; check the Probable Doubles prior to the opener to get a gauge on the chances of this MD-bred son of Imagining 

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Eye On Berlin (2-1): Makes ’19 debut in this perfect Starter spot to stalk all the speed to the inside for a clear late run; jock/trainer combo clicking at a 22% clip over the past year   
  2. #8 – Queen of Schmooze (15-1): Had a great 3-year-old campaign but not so much following trainer R. D’Angelo (4 for 17 in ’19) claim three back (Sept. ’18); worth a shot as she should take to the new surface as she does an off track (1 for 1)    
  3. #6 – Aggregator (15-1): Addition of blinkers for turf debut may surprise at a juicy price as she’s turned in two consecutive bullets since latest outing, ya think she had the hood on for those?  
Race 4

  1. #6 – Hayne’s Fever (10-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Takes appropriate drop, reunited with bug girl T. Lyapustina who will at the very least get this gelding involved early; been part of Trifecta in 11 of 12 tries at this distance   
  2. #8 – Cause He’s Western (2-1): Should get early lead but it won’t be easy plus if the track comes up “off”, he’s vulnerable (6:1-0-0) when stretching out  
  3. #7 – Bobby the Brain (4-1): Runner-up at Pen after failing as PT favorite at Lrl, both at this level, lowest of 28-race career; top trainer/jock combo in Ness/McCarthy 

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Daystrike (6-1): 1 for 1 on Pim grass; 7-year-old has held his own in better company on turf and gets F. Boyce back in the irons; owns second best career Brisnet turf number in this contest     
  2. #9 – Front Line Paige (5-1): Takes a huge step up while “in jail” for trainer W. Potts coming off $5k claim but could be a steal based on past turf form (17:3-3-2 earning $121k); gets favorable pace scenario for a late run     
  3. #2 – Minister’s Strike (3-1): Trainer J. Ness drops off claim (25%) which came 10-months ago; expensive vacation if someone jumps in to claim here but this gelding has run well off layoff with a second and win when in high-profile barns 

Race 6

  1. #6 – Mike the Tiger (5-1): Beaten favorite in tenth career start, his latest which came in February; might be the definition of insanity touting this 5-year-old maiden but the others are no prize either
  2. #9 – Awesome Agenda (3-1): Not a fan of backing 3-year-olds v. elders but trainer R. Sillaman is 29% with 2+ class droppers and saddling second-time; best effort came on a “good” Lrl oval      
  3. #7 – Kustaafu (9-5): Need to toss turf effort but leery why K. Gomez goes with 15-1 runner (#4 – Hug On Nolan who does get first Lasix in second start) instead of staying here after riding this 3-year-old last 5 outings; replaced by 7lb. bug F. Pinero; first time trying two-turns  

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #10 – More Abundance (7-2): Breeder and owner S. Dempsey turns over official training duties to L. Garibay (0 for 13 in ’19) as this speedy WV-bred makes ’19 debut with J. Acosta in irons which should guarantee a quick exit from the gate    
  2. #9 – Love You Much (9-2): Early Mother’s Day hunch play even though he’s a logical choice based on turf record (12: 3-3-2) at the distance; Hammy Smith can get them to the Winners Circle in first start after lengthy layoffs
  3. #7 – Jarvis Steel (4-1): This 6-year-old gray should love the cut back from the usual 5 ½f to 5 f as he rarely gets beat to the first call but leg weary the last 1/16th; not concerned over 9-month vacation as he’s been working well the past 2 months 

Race 8

  1. #6 – Sanavi (7-2): *** BEST BET *** Invader from Prx rarely misses a paycheck regardless of the venue as he’s competed at SA, Sar, Bel, Aqu, Prx and Pen; should benefit from a fast pace and pick up the pieces late with regular pilot M. Sanchez making the trip down I-95 for only mount 
  2. #4 – Aveenu Malcainu (5-2): Trainer J. Englehart runners feast on MD races (16:3-3-2 at Lrl) and will introduce this 6-year-old gelding to Pimlico, whose three wins have come against NY-breds       
  3. #5 – Throw the Fade (8-5): Likely speed of the speed but can the 7 lb. bug J. Correa rate this gelding when others are breathing down his neck? Earned career best 97 Bris# in last two 

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #2 – Zen’s Land (5-1): Weaker of the two for trainer J. Ness (also has #1) according to Morning Line but ran a strong second in only try on Pim grass a few years back v. N1x foes; D. Centeno’s only mount on the card
  2. #1 – Speed Game (5-2): Horrendous trip win last seen in the afternoon on turf 5 months ago; like the barn confidence moving up a level and T. McCarthy in irons but might need this one
  3. #3 – Senor Louie (6-1): This 11-year-old makes his 93rd career start, in search of his 11th victory, 2 of 6 coming at this distance; whether he’s race-ready in first start since last October is the question; C. Cedeno subs for listed rider R. Silvera

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

On May 5th the Laurel Park Winter-Spring Meet concluded. Yours truly will be providing selections and analysis throughout the 12-day Pimlico Spring Meet, as well as reviewing previous race day winners in this section.