The GQ Approach – Laurel October 21

by | Oct 21, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 0 comments

Laurel Park

First turf race of the 2018 season at Laurel Park. Photo by Jim McCue, Maryland Jockey Club.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live Fall racing meet, Post Time 12:35 pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $7,016
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Off-track Record - When the track gets listed as sloppy, muddy, or good, bettors often fail to realize many horses perform better or worse versus racing on a track labeled as “fast."
Best Bet of the Day
Race 8/ #8 – Mesotherm (8-5)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 4 /#4 – Raging Blaze (8-1)
Multi-race Wagers
  • Race 1 – $2 Double: 2, 7, 8 w/ 5, 10, 12 ($18)
  • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick 3: 1, 4, 6 w/ 1, 3, 4 w/ 5, 7, 9 ($13.50)
  • Race 6 – 50 cent Pick 5: 3, 8 w/ 4, 7, 12 w/ 8 w/ 3, 4, 9 w/ 3, 7, 10 ($27)
  • Race 9 – $2 Double: 3, 9 w/ 3, 7, 10 ($12)

Analysis

  • Weather: Partly Cloudy, high in the low-60s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 2nd, 5th, 7th, 9th, 10th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

1st Race Post Time 12:35pm EDT

Our apologies for the absence of analysis on today’s card.

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #2 – Meow (9-2)
  2. #7 – Talkless Smilestone (7-2) 
  3. #8 – Bonita Springs (6-1) 

Race 2 is ON THE TURF

  1.  #5 – Inle (5-1)
  2. #12 – Kilronan (6-1) 
  3. #10 – King’s Pawn (5-1)

Race 3 

  1. #6 – His Royal Majesty (3-1) 
  2. #1 – Blame the Kids (6-1)
  3. #4 – Mandel (2-1)

Race 4

  1. #4 – Raging Blaze (8-1) $$$ LONGSHOT $$$
  2. #3 – Sunday Red (4-1)
  3. #1 – You Made It (5-2)

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Soar From Shadows (6-1)
  2. #5 – Proudly (8-1)
  3. #7 – A Great Time (5-2)

Race 6

  1. #3 – Ellanation (7-2)
  2. #8 – Super Twenty Five (5-2)
  3. #2 – Waiting for a Star (6-1)

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #12 – Subtle Step (7-2)
  2.   #7 – Galileo’s Melody (8-1)
  3.   #4 – Fort Love (6-1)

Race 8 

  1. #8 – Mesotherm (8-5) *** BEST BET ***
  2. #4 – Chief of Staff (12-1)
  3. #5 – Wild Rider (8-1)

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Oldies But Goodies (3-1)
  2. #3 – Triple Burner (5-2)
  3. #4 – Nice Tune (12-1)

Race 10 is ON THE TURF

  1.  #7 – Bells Irish Fancy (7-2)
  2. #10 – Hip Hop (2-1)
  3.   #3 – Miss Bob (9-2)

Yesterday’s News

  • On Saturday October 20th at Laurel had 6 winners from the 12-race card (5 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD below).
  • Top Selections are 382 for 1331 (28.70%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%). The payoffs of the day’s winners…
    • R1: $9.80
    • R2: xxx
    • R3: $2.80
    • R4: $3.20
    • R5: $2.40
    • R6: xxx
    • R7: xxx
    • R8: xxx
    • R9: $6.60
    • R10: $8.00
    • R11: xxx
    • R12: xxx
  • Of the suggested multi-race wagers, none were hit.
  • BEST BET of the Day (132:41-33-11; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) My Star Potential (9th race: 3-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) bumped at the break, recovered and hustled up to the inside of foes to take command five furlong out, kicked clear and relaxed around the turn, opened up under a drive in mid-stretch then held sway under steady handling late and returned $6.60 to WIN, $4.00 to PLACE and $2.60 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (127:21-24-15; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Crouchelli (11th race: 10-1 M/L; 9-2 PT) settled towards the inside of a rival early on, angled three to four wide for the drive and had a slight rally to finish fifth.

Check out...