The GQ Approach – Laurel August 12

by | Aug 12, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Laurel Park

First turf race of the 2018 season at Laurel Park. Photo by Jim McCue, Maryland Jockey Club.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live summer racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $10,137
  • Super High 5$2,084
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Off-track Record - When the track gets listed as sloppy, muddy, or good, bettors often fail to realize many horses perform better or worse versus racing on a track labeled as “fast."
Best Bet of the Day
Race 4/ #5 – Pool Winner (4-5)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 8 /#4 – Fellowship (8-1)
Multi-race Wagers
  • Race 8 – 50-cent Pick 3: 4, 5 w/ 1, 8, 9 w/ 3, 6, 10, 13 ($12.00)
  • Race 9 – $2 Double: 1, 8, 9 w/ 6, 10, 13 ($18.00)

Analysis

  • Weather: Intermittent thunderstorms, high in the low to mid-80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 2nd, 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

1st Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #4 — Fleet Admiral (7-2): Takes big drop out of NY-bred $40k claiming to this spot; first in Nuesch barn
  2. #5 — Nangle Nation (1-1): Deserving favorite was en route to graduation when he crashed through the inner rail in upper stretch in last; concern here is how he handles first time back in the afternoon following
  3. #7 — Redeemed Gentleman (12-1): Can improve back on turf

Race 2 is ON THE TURF

  1. #11 – Glittering Judy (5-2): First time in blinks did the trick as she motored to impressive score; might be main speed again
  2. #3 – Feisty Madam (8-1): Third time off a break is also first time sprinting on grass; two decent tries at a mile might stand her in good stead when staring at long run to second wire
  3. #7 – Kitty’s Right (9-2): Ran on willingly inside in last turf sprint versus better

Race 3

  1. #6 – Boss Boss (3-5): Ran a good one last out to just miss after race delayed 20 minutes for lightning; one of two to run back graduated next out
  2. #4 – Blue Danube (6-1): Was well behind top choice here in debut effort; trainer Corrales (6-21 with 2yo second-start maidens) adds Lasix for this tilt
  3. #3 – Follow the Dog (9-2): Bandbox colt was a $40,000 auction purchase

Race 4 is ON THE TURF

  1. #5 – Pool Winner (4-5): Goldberg trainee has run three straight terrific races without getting the money but should find easier group to his liking
  2. #1 – Celebration (8-1): Has caught a pair of rugged groups in first two North American starts; trainer Abbott adds blinks here on a runner who owns short sprint win 
  3. #7 – Triple Burner (9-2): Last was a disappointment in PA Governors Cup but can give improved account of himself back on home turf (five local wins)

Race 5 

  1. #5 – Premier Event (5-2): Crushed ’em two back at 10k N2L level; trainer Maldonado figures to be doing early afternoon rain dance
  2. #3 – One More Round (6-5): Runner has a bit of seconditis (second or third in eight of 16 starts) but fits snugly here; second off a break and first time in the Pino barn
  3. #6 – Here Comes Michael (10-1): Owns a win at the trip

Race 6 is ON THE TURF

  1. #1 – Katy’s Cooper (6-1): Return to turf a plus for runner making second start of ’18
  2. #2 – Throw the Deuce (9-2): Last was a mess but return to green stuff a positive; takes big drop and showing sharp work 8/6
  3. #6 – Hayne’s Fever (12-1): Lone turf try was respectable, esp. as runner was throwing his head about and had to be steadied early; two from that tilt who ran back on turf posted a win and a second in follow-ups

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Slot Receiver (7-5): Enjoy the tasty chalk! Runner takes two-level drop following credible effort
  2. #5 – Optical Illusion (9-2): Rallied smartly while following winner home after brief steady on turf in last
  3. #6 – Tarahumar (20-1): Shifts to turf for second start; one sib was a three-time winner on the green

Race 8

  1. #4 – Fellowship (8-1): This guy’s inconsistency might be a bit of an illusion as regards this race: he’s run a bunch of good ones at this track and distance
  2. #5 – Lewisfield (7-5): Deserving fave ran a good one last out vs. killer field
  3. #3 – It’s the Journey (5-2): Keeps churning out good races and has never been worse than third in four tries at the trip

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Rithm and Rap (3-1): Second off a break for a runner who stumbled on turn when clipping heels with #8 in here in last; can turn tables with clean trip
  2. #8 – Bye Bye Blues (2-1): Speedy sort has run two good ones on the lawn
  3. #1a – Words of a Feather (8-1): Squeezed a little bit at the break in last, which was first turf try and first off short break; rider Cintron chooses this one over trainer Eppler’s other entrant

Race 10 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Uhwarrie Sky (8-1): Return to turf should pay dividends in wide open heat
  2. #10 – Bushmill Giant (5-1): Third time of ’18 for Capuano trainee; note trainer protected him in first off the bench
  3. #13 – Hatteras Bound (15-1): Turf bow in VA-bred stake wasn’t bad, and added ground on offer here a plus

Yesterday’s News

  • On Saturday, August 11 at Laurel had 5 winners from the 10-race card (1 Top Selection; payoff in BOLD below).
  • Top Selections are 276 for 973 (28.37%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%). The payoffs of the day’s winners…
    • R1: $10.00
    • R2: xxx
    • R3: xxx
    • R4: xxx
    • R5: $4.80
    • R6: xxx
    • R7: $5.60
    • R8: $12.20
    • R9: $13.40
    • R10: xxx
  • Of the suggested multi-race wagers, did not hit any.
  • BEST BET of the Day (98:25-27-9; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Sweet Turn (10th race: 4-1 M/L; 4.10-1 PT) quickly cleared to the lead, set a spirited pace that was by far the day’s fastest at the distance, was joined leaving the quarter pole, fought on gamely past the furlong grounds, and gradually gave way to finish fourth, beaten by 1 1/2 lengths.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (95:16-19-11; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) More Abundance (9th race: 10-1 M/L; 5.70-1 PT) set the pace near the rail, opened a clear lead in upper stretch, and then held off the late exertions of the favorite to win by a half-length, returning $13.40 to WIN, $6.20 to PLACE, and $4.20 to SHOW.

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