The GQ Approach – Laurel June 2

by | Jun 2, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_box title=”Today’s Carryovers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $1,555
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none[/su_box]
[su_box title=”GQ’s Handicapping Tip of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”][stray-random][/su_box]
[su_box title=”Best Bet of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]Race6 8 / #7 – Henry the King (9-2)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Longshot Play of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”] Race 5 / #2 – Glittering Judy (15-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Multi-race Wagers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
    • Race 1 – $2 Double 6, 9, 10 w/ 3, 5 ($12)
    • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  2, 4, 7 w/1, 4, 6 w/ 2, 5, 7 ($13.50)
    • Race 10 – $2 Double 2, 4 w/ 3, 5, 7 ($12)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy; highs in the upper-70s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 6th, 8th, 10th and 11th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Cyndra (12-1): First turf try from a barn who can get them to Winners’ Circle in this scenario (11%) using “go to” jock S. Russell; takes a step up but moving from dirt to turf is like day and night 
  2. #6 – Sudden Hope (5-2): Can boast career best turf BRIS# (81) of those in here but getting that last 1/16th has been the issue; appears there’s enough other early speed in here to test her stamina even on the multiple class drop
  3. #10 – Congrats Graduate (5-1): Graduated by a nose in latest which also was first start against elders while 6-wide, second start on grass when 20-1; jock switch to HOF E. Prado can only help

Race 2

  1. #3 – Readytotapit (2-1): Best of a poor lot? Of the 2-year-olds who have raced, he lost debut by the least number of lengths (8½) but was sent off 7-2, so connections expected better; drops from MSW to $25kMCL
  2. #5 – Three Phase (4-1): Appeared to get a good education in debut as he had no early speed but was willing with late interest to run on; maybe with a more alert break can be closer earlier
  3. #2 – Joey Gotcha (15-1): Trainer J. Robb does wonders with 2-year-olds; this one broke alertly in debut but quickly dropped back; if he gets clear from rivals today may keep going

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – My Vixen (12-1): Makes ’18 debut looking for win #2 in 17th career start though only 10th on turf; 2 of 4 works are bullets and like that A. Cintron gets the call as he’s 2 for 3 w/ trainer G. Capuano runners; best finishes have come against $16kN2L foes
  2. #2 – Jokers Tothe Right (8-1): CT connection of trainer J. Runco and jock A. Bocachica been winning at a 30% clip the past year have two on today’s card; this one surprisingly took action (7-2) here in turf debut versus better (5th by 5); drops a level
  3. #4 – Lookin Perfect (10-1): Beaten favorite at this level when going 5-furlongs on Pim turf; gets the additional 1/16th at Lrl which should help based on off the pace style 
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Race 4

  1. #6 – Gimme Kimmy (9-2): Just one of two in here to have won at this 7-furlong distance; first start in 3-months with a pair of works and a favorable pace scenario could land her in Winners’ Circle
  2. #4 – Tiz Surprised (9-5): 3-year-old showed late interest going shorter in first start against elders, running to her odds; drops to bottom in hopes of hitting pay-dirt
  3. #1 – One Last Call (2-1): Lightbulb came on under jock R. Chiappe three races back when stretched out to two turns; another win and runner-up efforts followed; first time v. elders and going 7-furlongs

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #2 – Glittering Judy (15-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Yes, she just won her debut by a nose at the bottom turf level in MD but the early fractions she set while the final 1/16th was just under 6 seconds indicate she wasn’t tiring, the runner-up was 5+ clear of SHOW horse; don’t see any foes in here to press her early; claimed from debut by trainer W. Komlo lures J. Pimentel off #1 for M. Trombetta as they’ve joined forced 145 times the past year. Hmmm
  2. #5 – Rithm and Rap (6-1): Should be closest to top pick early with first run at her turning for home; second start following one-year layoff
  3. #7 – Candy Boss (6-1): Hoping blinkers coming off can cure reason she dwelted at the start of latest at Prx; makes third start since being exported from SA where she faced better on their turf    

Race 6 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Henry the King (9-2): *** BEST BET *** See a lot of early speed in here to allow this gelding to make a late run as he did in latest but hopefully this time won’t encounter any traffic along the way; gets hot riding F. Lynch in the irons as he’s 3 for 11 with trainer H. McMahon’s runners
  2. #8 – Fly E Dubai (12-1): Goes for natural Hat Trick on third different surface but this is his preferred one; in capable hands of J. Pimentel to negotiate a good trip
  3. #3 – Crimson Secret (15-1): Speed of the speed; makes second start with blinkers and after a brief layoff; 2 of 3 career wins have come at this distance and surface

Race 7

  1. #9 – Glory Hound (3-1): Just missed in first start against winners when properly spotted in $5kN2L; wheels right back 
  2. #8 – Cannon’s Roar (4-1): Gave up early when in against a weak $16kN2L group; takes appropriate drop to the bottom as this outfit wants to win regardless of the level
  3. #5 – Southern Cross (6-1): Claimed out of latest at Tam by trainer W. Potts had a colony racing at Tam this winter; though winless in 4 starts there, earned a check in every race v. $8kN2L 

Race 8 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Kid Jeter (3-1): Though just 1 for 25 he has the turf numbers to get the job done against these foes; makes first start since last Nov. and trainer K.  Rubley has trained perfectly, pointing him to this spot
  2. #4 – Blame the Kids (15-1): Second of two runners for trainer J. Runco on the Lrl card; been sprinting in all 5 career outings with latest on grass; breeding is begging to go long as he will today
  3. #2 – Red Clay Road (10-1): Second start after layoff as he had a troubled trip in first one sprinting as that had the look of “getting a race into him” since he’s a two turn turfer; ITM in all 3 at this distance; note: E. Prado picks up mount as R. Chiappe is off

Race 9

  1. #4 – Showalter (3-1): Namesake for O’s manager has had same troubles getting into the Win column of late; lightly raced 5-year-old is in for tag first time in career; hoping he can hold off others long enough to get the 6 furlongs
  2. #3 – Hickory Hill (5-1): Comes off 5-month layoff; if Prado decides to challenge top pick early, they both will get cooked; banking on a smart ride just off the pace and pounce late
  3. #5 – River Deep (5-2): Former NY state resident was transferred to trainer P. Schoenthal barn last Fall; early speed going long in only two Lrl dirt efforts prior to layoff since mid-January

Race 10 is ON THE TURF

  1.  #4 – Tempt Me Twice (6-1): Draw a line through latest when off the turf and contested on a muddy Lrl main track; versatile turf runner can go short or long; look for A. Cintron to give her a nice stalking trip
  2.  #2 – Best Yes (3-1): Gets back to turf after being beaten favorite in first start of ’18 when off the turf; likes Lrl lawn (7:4-0-1)
  3.  #8 – Dundalk (4-1): Makes ’18 debut…”bless your heart, hon!”; defies breeding by doing well on the grass (6:1-1-2) and owns career best turf BRIS# (92) at this distance in this assembled group

Race 11 is ON THE TURF

  1. #5 – Jumpstartmyheart (9-2): First start with trainer C. Gonzalez is a winning angle 24% of the time though just 7% with runners coming off extended layoff; last race against similar resulted in a nose loss here
  2. #3 – Dona Elba (8-1): Has run well in first off a layoff which is the case here as trainer N. Abramson has been work this mare in the A.M. and appears ready to fire
  3. #7 – Royal Katy (8-1): Failed as lukewarm favorite versus better last month sprinting on the Lrl lawn; stretches out to two turns for first time in 17th career start; breeding suggests she’ll like it

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Friday June 1st at Laurel had 8 winners from the 10-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $9.20 (1st race), $4.20 (3rd), $4.80 (4th), $4.80 (5th), $8.00 (6th), $5.40 (8th), $12.00 (9th) and $3.60 (10th). Top Selections are 182 for 632 (28.80%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (66:17-16-8; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Shotdowninflames (6th race: 4-1 M/L; 7-5 PT) prompted the pace off the rail and to the inside of a rival, asserted herself and took command near the three eighths pole, moved clear under coaxing soon after, drifted in towards the rail leaving the three sixteenths and steadily widened under a drive to win by six-and-one-quarter lengths and returned $4.80 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.80 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (64:8-15-8; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Joyful Noise (7th race: 12-1 M/L; 7-2 PT) two wide inside horses leaving the turn, rallied to be much the second best and returned $5.00 to PLACE and $3.00 to SHOW.