The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 27

by May 27, 2018Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

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  • Rainbow Pick 6: $279,837.20
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: $8,173.87[/su_box]

[su_box title=”GQ’s Handicapping Tip of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”][stray-random][/su_box]

[su_box title=”Best Bet of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]Race 2 / #1A – Calvi (9-5)[/su_box]

[su_box title=”Longshot Play of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”] Race 7 / #4 – Cannon’s Roar (6-1)[/su_box]

[su_box title=”Multi-race Wagers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]

    • Race 1 – $2 Double 4, 6 w/ 1 ($4)
    • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  3, 4, 5 w/ 1, 4, 7 w/ 2, 3, 7 ($13.50)
    • Race 6 – 50 cent Pick-5 3, 5, 9 w/ 1, 4  w/ 3, 4, 9 w/ 2, 6 w/ 3, 7, 12 ($54)

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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Weather: Partly Cloudy with mid-day showers; highs in the mid-80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 4th, 6th, 8th are ON but 10th is OFF
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #6 – Yes Means No (6-5): Need to draw a line through his last race which was a turf experiment that trainer R. Bailes won’t try again; drops to lowest level in hopes of earning diploma in 10th start
  2. #4 – Fiery Challenge (5-1): Another who realized turf racing is not in his future; two back was 3+ lengths behind a pair who finished 3rd and 4th yesterday in $10kN2L
  3. #5 – Redeemed Gentleman (12-1): Best performance was latest, showing early speed going long after dueling with rivals then faded in the Pim mud; at least he’s improving race over race

Race 2

  1. #1A – Calvi (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Nice pair was entered by trainer G. Motion as both finished ITM in their debut, on same day in different races; #1 Top Czar was scratched which indicates confidence in 4-year-old stablemate who was a game runner-up after a tardy start going one mile; should get a better price since it’s no longer a 2 for 1 deal      
  2. #6 – Top Me Off (10-1): Third in debut at Kee in $50kMCL when ignored at the windows (29-1); stretches out to two turns which is what he wants based on breeding
  3. #5 – Chateau (2-1): Nearly pulled off a 78-1 shocker at Kee when runner-up sprinting and first natural dirt start in 9th overall; must have impressed “The Toddster” as he purchased this one privately providing the ultimate upgrade  
  4. #2 – C C Rider (3-1): TC nominated but didn’t debut until Mar. 3rd finishing 21-lengths behind Derby participate Hofburg w/o Lasix; runner-up in next two on turf when given Lasix; was it turf or Lasix that made the difference?

Race 3

  1. #4 – Tiz Majesty (7-2): Tough to separate this group but landed on this one due to Pim main surface favoring the front runner a bit; 1 for 32 lifetime though, might be a good race to get a beverage
  2. #5 – Love in Excess (3-1): Turf to dirt angle here while dropping back into bottom level N2L; third in lone two turn dirt outing
  3. #3 – Dear Charlotte (9-2): An ill-advised turf start when first time in against winners since she finished OTB in previous 5 on the grass; beat top two when breaking maiden 1/16th shorter

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Race 4 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Daddy’s Copy (1-2): Yeah, yeah… GQ you chalk eating weasel; last three speed figure-wise tower over his competition today; could be vulnerable on Pim “softer than GP” turf but that’s a big IF; has hit the board in all 3 on GP turf behind multiple next out winners
  2. #7 – Railroader (10-1): Second start with blinkers after being runner-up, unable to get by early leader late when in against elders though was 3-5 Post Time favorite; a small step forward and he’ll challenge top pick 
  3. #4 – Maynooth (8-1): Has been a huge disappointment while always well backed but has Seconditis (8:0-4-1); three changes here… jock, in for tag and gelded might be the charm

Race 5

  1. #7 – Max Crown (8-5): Keeps getting buried when put in against Alwn1x as he was in latest; drops to a level where he can be successful though 0 for 8 at distance; watch toteboard early for a clue
  2. #2 – Greek God (5-1): Trainer J. Maldonado does well with turf-to-dirt runners (25%) with a positive ROI; if top pick doesn’t want early lead, this one will take it and to try a gate-to-wire score
  3. #3 – I’m Mr. Blue (8-1): Pure class dropper play on third start since layoff; 4 for 34 lifetime but likes Pim (2:0-1-1); hasn’t visit Winners’ Circle in past 20 starts 

Race 6 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Trafficplan (9-2): Makes turf debut and though the turf breeding isn’t there, she’s been sprinting in fast fractions; her rivals today have shown zero early speed; take a flyer on her in hopes A. Cruz reads the PPs, puts her on the lead and can put the others to sleep
  2. #9 – Fed Up Fired Up (5-1): Made a furious late run in first off layoff but came up short going 1/16th shorter than today to next out winner; has best turf BRIS# at this distance in this group
  3. #5 – Believe in Angels (9-5): Trainer C. Martin gets the jump on the Del meet by traveling down to saddle this mare; will give A. Cintron a leg up as they’ve gotten 2 of 6 to Winners Circle as a team

Race 7

  1. #4 – Cannon’s Roar (6-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Though he faced a soft bunch in the $16kN2L in first try against winners, he was challenged early plus could have bounced off career best effort in maiden breaker; jock change and ability to clear early can reverse fortunes
  2. #1 – Mutaraamy (5-2): Failed as lukewarm favorite in latest when pinched back at the start then ran on late, making up 8-lengths in the stretch; a better break will help chances versus these 
  3. #6 – Bad Angel Burke (7-2): has been part of some quick, early fractions when going shorter; gave up lead late in quest to beat peers at $15k Claimer level right after maiden breaker in slop

Race 8 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Proud O’Paddy (4-1): Lone entry on the Pim card for trainer J. Cibelli who makes a brief stop after spending winter in So. FL on her way to her summer digs at Mth; extra real estate helps    
  2. #3 – Talkless Smilemore (7-2): Has the ability to take this field from gate-to-wire; trainer K. Rubley seems to have prepped all of her runners well for the Mid-Atlantic turf season and this newcomer should be no different
  3. #4 – Mini Hero (5-1): Don’t be surprised if this 6-year-old mare takes action early, it’s due to the E. Prado effect at Pim; makes first start of ’18; has nice preps at Prx

Race 9

  1. #6 – Deep Red (2-1): Earned her career best BRIS# (88) in latest which is same number as ML favorites latest; this gal is much more seasoned having gone post-ward eleven times while earning black type
  2. #2 – Zorally (7-5): Chased a monster in vain on sloppy Pim surface on Black-Eyed Susan Day when much the second best; quick turn-around though wheeling right back, hope she is fit
  3. #9 – Pearl Gem (10-1): Been away since last Oct. when fourth in MD Million Lassie; tough spot for her 3-year-old debut but trainer M. Eppler barn is red hot of late

Race 10 is OFF THE TURF

  1.  #7 – Me Darlin Kara (9-2): Third start after 7-month layoff, though first two were on turf, he has shown speed on dirt and only going 5 furlongs here could make every pole a winning one for KTL 
  2.  #3 – My Brothersledge (5-2): Full sibling to turf stakes winning My Sistersledge; stays in this off the turf event; did so 3 races back showing foot then weakened late; second start with blinkers  
  3.  #12 – Sonic Boom E Jet (20-1): Looking for a price that could bring down the P6 having a $279k+ carryover? Here you go… first start for 25% trainer C. Gonzalez; hasn’t run since last Oct. but shows a quintet of serviceable works; gives a leg up to “go to’ rider J. Torres

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Saturday May 26th at Pimlico had just 4 winners from the 10-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $3.40 (1st race), $7.80 (4th), $3.60 (5th) and $3.00 (8th). Top Selections are 174 for 609 (28.57%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (63:16-15-8; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Top Hat City (6th race: 3-5 M/L) was a late scratch when race was taken off the turf.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (62:7-14-8; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Madam Alex (3rd race: 10-1 M/L; 6-1 PT) prompted the early pace in the three-path, continued on gamely in the stretch but could not get to the winner and returned $6.00 to PLACE and $4.60 to SHOW.