The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 25

by | May 25, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $240,824.31
  • Super High 5: $841.28
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
House Silks - This is a “play against” angle, especially in a maiden race. If the connections did not make their own silks available to the track for the jockey to wear, then what are the odds any of them will show in hopes of getting in a Winner's Circle photo with the jockey not donning the barn's silks?!
Best Bet of the Day
Race 3 / #3 – All I Karabout (9-5)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 5 / #7 – Promote (8-1)
Multi-race Wagers
    • Race 1 – $2 Double 2, 3 w/ 1, 2, 5 ($12)
    • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  3, 7, 8 w/ 8, 9, 10 w/ 3, 7, 13 ($13.50)
    • Race 8 – $2 Double 3, 7 w/ 3, 8, 14 ($12)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the high-80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 3rd, 5th, 7th are ON but 9th is OFF
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #3 – Icelake (5-1): Drops to the bottom after a pair of sub-par efforts in OC16k company
  2. #2 – Pomeroy’s Package (7-2): Speed of the speed but has been backing up going a 1/16th shorter versus similar           
  3. #6 – The Iron Bank (8-1): Tough to recommend on top (3 for 34) but is always in the mix; possible bottom key in your Trifecta as he’s earned the SHOW purse in 7 for 12 efforts at this distance

Race 2

  1. #2 – Off Road (4-1): First start while in jail after $5k claim for trainer H. Walters seeking first win of ’18; both career wins came at this distance
  2. #1/1A – Albertos Al Quinto/Noregretsfornow (6-1): pair of 3-year-olds versus elders “Al” didn’t fare to well in latest but that was initial turf try while entrymate been hitting the board versus peers since breaking maiden 5 races back
  3. #5 – Brahms Romp (8-1): First start versus elders turns back to sprint; been part of Exacta in last 5 efforts

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – All I Karabout (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Sagamore Farm home bred just 2 for 20 while picking up minor awards but that doesn’t fit this outfits model; back in for tag and makes scond start after layoff, a 27% winning angle for trainer H. DePaz
  2. #8 – Djulpan (6-1): One thing we know, this gelding doesn’t do dirt based on latest which was in Jan.; has faced better with mixed results; should be sprinting IMHO but is 3:1-1-0 at distance
  3. #7 – Bungalow (6-1): Returns to turf after four dirt starts so far in ’18; has early speed on grass to go gate-to-wire versus this group

Race 4

  1. #10 – Maru’s Raven (7-2): Suspicious drop from MSW to bottom level maidens following ugly effort (6th by 23 lengths); encouraging to see A. Cintron back from injury in the irons though
  2. #9 – Army Grey (3-1): Makes third start since being transferred to trainer C. Gonzalez barn; failed as Post Time favorite in latest when third in mud going one mile; cuts back to 6f today
  3. #8 – El Guerrero Azteca (5-2): Quickly becoming poster colt for “Second-itis” as he’s been runner-up in last three outings while heavily bet in all 

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Promote (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Appears to be plenty of early speed in this two-turn, one mile turf contest which should set up nicely for his late kick if the Pim turf 
  2. #13 – Papal Law (15-1): Has among the higher career turf BRIS# (82) among those in this contest; comes off turf sprint which was first start since last Nov. whereas his past turf efforts have come going two turns
  3. #3 – High Society (10-1): Third start after layoff; ran a decent 81 turf BRIS# in last outing versus similar; trainer M. McMullen is quietly having a nice Pim meet (3:1-2-0) 

Race 6

  1. #2 – She’s Achance Too (2-1): Second start with blinkers often renders positive ROI; was a bit bothered while in the gate prior to latest effort; looking for better versus these foes; available for $20k tag v. $25k might be a yellow flag
  2. #7 – Bye Bye Blues (3-1): Debut winner at Tam in April by 10-lengths at the bottom ($8kMCL) earning a lofty 88 BRIS#; adds Lasix and now in the barn of local trainer D. Capuano
  3. #6 – Splendor Gal (12-1): Hopped at the break in 6 furlong, $35k Claimer restricted to 3-year-olds which sealed her fate (4th), her first start against winner; broke her maiden v. elders two back

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Mr. Magician (8-1): Yikes! 2 for 24 on turf, 0 for 7 at the distance but it’s a new year as he showed late interest sprinting in ’18 debut; gets reunited with A. Cintron whose hit the board him in all 3 previous mounts
  2. #7 – The Tortoise (5-2): Someone had a sense of humor naming this Gunpowder Farms home-bred who is 2 for 12, one of those on the turf in gate-to-wire fashion
  3. #3 – Lost Story (5-1): Can boast best career turf BRIS# (88) at this distance; has a win and third in as many efforts versus similar foes last summer on Lrl lawn; exits 1 ½ mile steeplechase course event while carrying 151, gets a 31 lb. break today

Race 8

  1. #3 – Taco Supream (3-1): Held his own against speedy restricted Alw foes in latest; appears S. Russell will be able to have him on the lead with just #7 being a threat to challenge him early
  2. #7 – Oldies But Goodies (6-1): Been away from races since 2-year-old season last Oct. when a distant third in second career start, first against winners; trainer M. Trombetta is 17% with runners first after long layoff; this one has been busy in the A.M. and looks ready to score
  3. #6 – Apolodorodedamasco (8-1): His last three races BRIS#s are good enough to win here as he faced a talented group in latest when just 4+ lengths behind winner

Race 9 is OFF THE TURF

  1. #3 – Reiltin Oir (8-1): Interesting that this gal stays in this off the turf contest as she’s been away since debut on Sar turf last summer in a dull effort; adds Lasix and blinkers; fired bullets at Fai
  2. #14 – Enchanted Evening (6-1): Distant third going 5 ½ furlongs on Lrl dirt two back when in against the boys at this level; showed early speed then before giving way in the stretch
  3. #8 – Bagels and Lox (7-2): MTO entry gets her wish and will run on a fast track, which she’s only raced on once in five career starts; that came three races back v. $25kMCL as she salvaged SHOW purse; showed early speed in that one 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Thursday May 24th at Pimlico had 6 winners from the 9-race card (6 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $2.20 (1st race), $3.60 (2nd), $2.80 (3rd), $3.20 (4th), $7.80 (5th) and $8.00 (6th). Of the suggested multi-race wagers hit the R3-R5 50 cent Pick-3 for $16.00 (cost: $2). Top Selections are 169 for 590 (28.64%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (62:15-15-8; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Item (8th race: 5-1 M/L; 6-1 PT) taken to rate, angled four wide while gathering steam heading to the head of the lane, drifted in advancing past mid-stretch and continued on well to gain the runner-up spot to return $5.40 to PLACE and $3.80 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (60:7-13-8; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Stella Nova (4th race: 10-1 M/L; 5-2 PT) sent to the early lead, saved ground around the turn, dueled inside EYE ON BERLIN the final three sixteenths of a mile, determinedly prevailed by a head to return $7.80 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.40 to SHOW.

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