The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 25

by | May 25, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing |

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $240,824.31
  • Super High 5: $841.28
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
First Time Starter - A decently-bred horse from a good barn showing a consistent (every 6-7 days) work pattern with the last one from the gate can be a good bet.
Best Bet of the Day
Race 3 / #3 – All I Karabout (9-5)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 5 / #7 – Promote (8-1)
Multi-race Wagers
    • Race 1 – $2 Double 2, 3 w/ 1, 2, 5 ($12)
    • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  3, 7, 8 w/ 8, 9, 10 w/ 3, 7, 13 ($13.50)
    • Race 8 – $2 Double 3, 7 w/ 3, 8, 14 ($12)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the high-80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 3rd, 5th, 7th are ON but 9th is OFF
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – GOOD

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #3 – Icelake (5-1): Drops to the bottom after a pair of sub-par efforts in OC16k company
  2. #2 – Pomeroy’s Package (7-2): Speed of the speed but has been backing up going a 1/16th shorter versus similar           
  3. #6 – The Iron Bank (8-1): Tough to recommend on top (3 for 34) but is always in the mix; possible bottom key in your Trifecta as he’s earned the SHOW purse in 7 for 12 efforts at this distance

Race 2

  1. #2 – Off Road (4-1): First start while in jail after $5k claim for trainer H. Walters seeking first win of ’18; both career wins came at this distance
  2. #1/1A – Albertos Al Quinto/Noregretsfornow (6-1): pair of 3-year-olds versus elders “Al” didn’t fare to well in latest but that was initial turf try while entrymate been hitting the board versus peers since breaking maiden 5 races back
  3. #5 – Brahms Romp (8-1): First start versus elders turns back to sprint; been part of Exacta in last 5 efforts

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – All I Karabout (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Sagamore Farm home bred just 2 for 20 while picking up minor awards but that doesn’t fit this outfits model; back in for tag and makes scond start after layoff, a 27% winning angle for trainer H. DePaz
  2. #8 – Djulpan (6-1): One thing we know, this gelding doesn’t do dirt based on latest which was in Jan.; has faced better with mixed results; should be sprinting IMHO but is 3:1-1-0 at distance
  3. #7 – Bungalow (6-1): Returns to turf after four dirt starts so far in ’18; has early speed on grass to go gate-to-wire versus this group

Race 4

  1. #10 – Maru’s Raven (7-2): Suspicious drop from MSW to bottom level maidens following ugly effort (6th by 23 lengths); encouraging to see A. Cintron back from injury in the irons though
  2. #9 – Army Grey (3-1): Makes third start since being transferred to trainer C. Gonzalez barn; failed as Post Time favorite in latest when third in mud going one mile; cuts back to 6f today
  3. #8 – El Guerrero Azteca (5-2): Quickly becoming poster colt for “Second-itis” as he’s been runner-up in last three outings while heavily bet in all 

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Promote (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Appears to be plenty of early speed in this two-turn, one mile turf contest which should set up nicely for his late kick if the Pim turf 
  2. #13 – Papal Law (15-1): Has among the higher career turf BRIS# (82) among those in this contest; comes off turf sprint which was first start since last Nov. whereas his past turf efforts have come going two turns
  3. #3 – High Society (10-1): Third start after layoff; ran a decent 81 turf BRIS# in last outing versus similar; trainer M. McMullen is quietly having a nice Pim meet (3:1-2-0) 

Race 6

  1. #2 – She’s Achance Too (2-1): Second start with blinkers often renders positive ROI; was a bit bothered while in the gate prior to latest effort; looking for better versus these foes; available for $20k tag v. $25k might be a yellow flag
  2. #7 – Bye Bye Blues (3-1): Debut winner at Tam in April by 10-lengths at the bottom ($8kMCL) earning a lofty 88 BRIS#; adds Lasix and now in the barn of local trainer D. Capuano
  3. #6 – Splendor Gal (12-1): Hopped at the break in 6 furlong, $35k Claimer restricted to 3-year-olds which sealed her fate (4th), her first start against winner; broke her maiden v. elders two back

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Mr. Magician (8-1): Yikes! 2 for 24 on turf, 0 for 7 at the distance but it’s a new year as he showed late interest sprinting in ’18 debut; gets reunited with A. Cintron whose hit the board him in all 3 previous mounts
  2. #7 – The Tortoise (5-2): Someone had a sense of humor naming this Gunpowder Farms home-bred who is 2 for 12, one of those on the turf in gate-to-wire fashion
  3. #3 – Lost Story (5-1): Can boast best career turf BRIS# (88) at this distance; has a win and third in as many efforts versus similar foes last summer on Lrl lawn; exits 1 ½ mile steeplechase course event while carrying 151, gets a 31 lb. break today

Race 8

  1. #3 – Taco Supream (3-1): Held his own against speedy restricted Alw foes in latest; appears S. Russell will be able to have him on the lead with just #7 being a threat to challenge him early
  2. #7 – Oldies But Goodies (6-1): Been away from races since 2-year-old season last Oct. when a distant third in second career start, first against winners; trainer M. Trombetta is 17% with runners first after long layoff; this one has been busy in the A.M. and looks ready to score
  3. #6 – Apolodorodedamasco (8-1): His last three races BRIS#s are good enough to win here as he faced a talented group in latest when just 4+ lengths behind winner

Race 9 is OFF THE TURF

  1. #3 – Reiltin Oir (8-1): Interesting that this gal stays in this off the turf contest as she’s been away since debut on Sar turf last summer in a dull effort; adds Lasix and blinkers; fired bullets at Fai
  2. #14 – Enchanted Evening (6-1): Distant third going 5 ½ furlongs on Lrl dirt two back when in against the boys at this level; showed early speed then before giving way in the stretch
  3. #8 – Bagels and Lox (7-2): MTO entry gets her wish and will run on a fast track, which she’s only raced on once in five career starts; that came three races back v. $25kMCL as she salvaged SHOW purse; showed early speed in that one 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Thursday May 24th at Pimlico had 6 winners from the 9-race card (6 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $2.20 (1st race), $3.60 (2nd), $2.80 (3rd), $3.20 (4th), $7.80 (5th) and $8.00 (6th). Of the suggested multi-race wagers hit the R3-R5 50 cent Pick-3 for $16.00 (cost: $2). Top Selections are 169 for 590 (28.64%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (62:15-15-8; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Item (8th race: 5-1 M/L; 6-1 PT) taken to rate, angled four wide while gathering steam heading to the head of the lane, drifted in advancing past mid-stretch and continued on well to gain the runner-up spot to return $5.40 to PLACE and $3.80 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (60:7-13-8; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Stella Nova (4th race: 10-1 M/L; 5-2 PT) sent to the early lead, saved ground around the turn, dueled inside EYE ON BERLIN the final three sixteenths of a mile, determinedly prevailed by a head to return $7.80 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.40 to SHOW.

Check out...